Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-5   Win (5/8/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (2/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (2/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (8/1/10/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (9/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   09/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIOT HILLS         (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
IRISH GENT (IRE)         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
SONOFASHIP Jul08 Jun01 May03 Apr13   (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
SANDERSON         (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
HARD PAR Jul27         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
REVEREND MOON Aug12         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
CIGALE Aug05 Jul19 Jun19     (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
SCR  JOE'S DREAM         (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 15.00    
VESTURE         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN         (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
 
SAR-2   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLOMITE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
PERFECTLY MPERFECT         (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
POSEIDON'S MIST Jul27         (david a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
MUNNY GRAB         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 7% 14.20    
CAROL T         (jimenez l)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SNARKY Aug10         (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
WISE CONVERSATION Jul09         (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 114 20.00    
MY MANE SQUEEZE Aug10         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
MOTHER MARY         (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 17.60    
 
SAR-3   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESAWILDJOKER Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 May31 Nov02 (bartlett w)DAVIS A 123 12.00    
SECURITY CODE Aug03 Jul07 May29 Apr16 Mar24 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
KHALI MAGIC Jun23 Jun03 Apr21 Mar03 Feb05 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00    
SILVER FIST Jul07 May29 Apr23 Oct01 Sep23 (lawrence james)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
FANCY JOKE Jul07 May21 Apr16 Jul01   (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
RIBOT'S VALENTINE Aug03 Jun01 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00 7% 14.30    
OK HONEY Aug03 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 116 12.00    
 
SAR-4   09/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 GOOD Saranac Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKING CANDY Jul22 Jun24 May21 Aug20   (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 12% 7.70    
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) Aug11 May06 Feb25 Jan21   (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 0.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  FREEDOM TRAIL Jul15 Jun03 Apr07 Mar11 Nov26 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
YACOWLEF (IRE)         (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Aug13 Oct16 Aug20 Jul23   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Aug13 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr08 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
LOST ARK Jul21 Jun09 Nov04 Oct08 Aug27 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  GILMORE Aug30 Jul28 Jun10 May06 Apr08 (walsh p)RIDER TBA 119 1.40    
 
SAR-5   09/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTETA Jul15         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
GOLDEN PLATE         (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
STURDY         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
HAMILTON'S WAY Aug05         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
LOCKED Aug05         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 49% 1.00    
DRUM ROLL PLEASE Jul29         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
FLASHY FAST         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT TO VOTE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6% 15.50    
RESILIENCE         (mott i)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6% 15.50    
10  TORNADO ROAD         (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  DON VINO VICI Aug10         (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
 
SAR-6   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EKWANOK Aug10         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
MY KINDA MISCHIEF Aug09         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
FOCUS POCUS Jul27         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
MIDNIGHT CONCERTO         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
MISS MAXIMUS         (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
MOON CHARIOT Aug15         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 30.00    
STORMY DISCO         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNICORN CAKE         (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
CALL HER BLUFF Aug09         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
10  REGENERATOR Jul27         (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
 
SAR-7   09/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARREL Jul14 Jun22 May27 Nov19 Oct27 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
1A  RHOMBIQUE Jul26 Jul04 Nov27 Nov18 Oct23 (ribaudo rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
STEPHANIE'S CHARM Jul14 Jun22 May13 Mar11 Feb04 (jimenez l)TORRES A 115 15.00    
SCR  TAMARAMA (GB)         (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
SCR  ROOT CAUSE Jun22 May12 Mar19 Aug14   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
SWOOP TO FINISH Jul04 Jun16 Oct29 Sep11 Jul24 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
DEAR LADY Jul22 Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 Nov26 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 29% 2.50    
I'M SO SORRY Jul26 May27 Apr16 Feb26 Dec31 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) Jun11 May07 Apr08 Jan14 Nov20 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 May20 May04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
SCR  COPPA GIRL Aug09 Jul15 Jun10 May05   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00    
SCR  RAGING SEA Aug09 Nov04 Oct07 Aug07   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Aug16 Aug06 Jun10 May05 Mar27 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  RUN DEVIL Aug25 Aug03 Jun02 May11 Mar26 (rodriguez )SANTANA JR 124 15.00    
 
SAR-8   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING CUP Jul01 May04 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
AMERICAN LAW Jul22 Jun10 May06 Apr01 Jan08 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
PINE VALLEY Aug10 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (jones e)ALVARADO R 121 30.00    
FIGHT FIERCELY Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 May04 Apr12 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
GUN MAESTRO Aug18 Jun18 Jun09 May21 Feb22 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
BASIS RISK Aug09 Jul29 Jun23 May14 Apr30 (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 121 30.00    
HATCH (GB) Jul29 Jun23 May21 May05 Jan26 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
FORCED RANKING         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
IMPROPER Jul03 May05 Mar10 Jan08 Dec09 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES L 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUN SMITTY RUN Jul19 Jun23 Feb25 Oct08 May29 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
 
SAR-9   09/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY FLAVOR Nov20 Oct15 Aug19     (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
VACATION DANCE Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May20 Apr27 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
KING MOONRACER Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 May28 May13 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
BAR FOURTEEN Aug15 Jul13 Jun17 May21 Apr27 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
FEATHERS ROAD Aug26 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 May13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DISCO DEANO Jul12 May29 Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 (ferraro anthon)COA J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ME 'N SAP Aug02 Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 Sep22 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
DISARMED Jul28 Jun24 May28 May05 Apr07 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
WINNERS LAUGH Jul13 Mar19 Feb05 Jan07 Apr16 (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 5.00    
10  SAINT SELBY Jul22 Jun10 May20 Apr28 Sep30 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  SCILLY CAY Aug13 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 May13 (donk david)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
 
SAR-10   09/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKATE TO HEAVEN Aug10 Jul08 Jun10 Jul04 Apr16 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCOTTO Aug10 Jul07 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 (jones edua)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
MAYFIELD STRONG Jun02 Apr28 Mar30 Sep14 Jul24 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
INSPECTOR Jul22 Jun03 Apr21 Dec08 Oct27 (giangiulio mic)TORRES A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Jun15 Apr30 Feb24 Feb12 Jan07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SOUNDS SPOOKY Aug10 Jul28 Mar31 Mar11 Mar05 (jones e)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
EXCESS DEMAND Jul29 Jul19 Jun23 May13 Mar28 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  PROVEN HOPE Aug13 Jul29 May14 Apr15 Mar31 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
DEPUTY CONNECT Aug10 Jul22 Jun29 Mar02 Jan27 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
10  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Aug13 Jun24 May21 Feb11   (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
11  STRONG LIGHT Aug16 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun01 (younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
12  BOLD LOOKER Aug20 Jul21 Jun18 May13 Apr19 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
SCR  ABLETON Nov05 Oct06 Aug18 Jun17 May13 (bond ja)TORRES A 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.