Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (5/7/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-4   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (10/6/3/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (8/10/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (9/3/1/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (2/4/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIRATE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80 42% 1.40    
2  JUST STEEL Jun17         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
3  SAISIR LE JOUR         (romero rafael)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 6% 14.60    
4  SPECIAL ELEMENT         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  ARTETA         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
6  SHERIFF JOE         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR GOLD Jun11 May12 Apr15 Mar26 Feb20 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
2  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD May28 Apr29 Nov20 Oct06 Sep03 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  TOMMY GUN Jun17 May14 Sep24 Aug24 Jul14 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
4  EAST COAST GIRL May29 Apr22 Mar05 Jan27 Jan06 (david carlos )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
5  TALKIN PHAROAH May27 Apr14 Aug07 Apr20   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ICEATUDE Jun17 May18 Apr14 Dec31 Dec11 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
7  CHARLIE FIVE O Jun03 Apr27 Apr20 Apr06 Mar25 (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
SAR-3   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISOLA (IRE) Sep10 Aug09 Jul13 May05   (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 11% 8.10    
2  KING'S SECRET (GB) Mar05 Jan22       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WHY WASTE WORDS         (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 118 30.00    
4  PARIS STYLE (FR) Apr07         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
5  VANISHED Jun10 May13       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  TACITURN         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
7  HEAVENLY APPOINTED May24         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
8  NO DELI (IRE) Jun24         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
9  HOLA GATA Nov05 Aug21 Jul24     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
10  EPIC MISS JUSTICE May29 Apr16 Sep11     (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  BEST PERFORMER Jun24 May03 Apr07 Feb23 Jan16 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  PORTAGE Jun23 May20 Mar16     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50    
SCR  PARTY AT GRANTS May02 Mar16       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC14 FIRM Diana Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEV ROVER (IRE) Jul01 Oct08 Aug21 Jul24   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 7% 13.20    
2  IN ITALIAN (GB) Jun09 Apr15 Nov05 Oct08 Jul16 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.40    
3  MARKETSEGMENTATION Jun09 May07 Apr01 Feb04 Dec31 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
4  FLUFFY SOCKS May06 Oct08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun18 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
5  WHITEBEAM (GB) May20 Apr16       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
SAR-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEEBEAR May29 May06 Apr15 Mar26 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
SCR  NEWPORT BRIDGE Jun09 May05 Apr07     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
2  ALWAYS CHARMING Jun17 May12 Apr01 Jun16 May21 (klesaris robert)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
3  ON THE HILL Dec11 Nov13 Aug27 Jul29 Jul03 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NINETEEN OYSTERS May06 Mar31 Feb24     (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
5  AGILITY May29 Apr22 Mar24 Feb05 Dec29 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 11% 8.50    
6  RED D G P Jul03 Jun04 May11 Apr23 Jan19 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
7  G MUNNING Oct15 Aug27 Jul31 May30 Apr23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
8  MARIACHI Jun17 Nov26 Oct27     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
SAR-6   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROM HELLO Jun11 May12 Apr21 Mar24   (brown bruce )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
2  SOLIB Jun10 May18 Oct20 Oct15 Aug24 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00    
3  KOSUKE May29 Apr15       (bond ja)TORRES A 115 8.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  CANDY MONET Jul08 Jun17 Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 (persaud eddie)CASTELLANO J 123 30.00    
5  GALLEY HEAD Jun10 Mar24 Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 (lerman s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
6  SALS DREAM GIRL Jun25 May29 Mar26 Jan25 Dec26 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  LADY JASMINE Jun25 May29 May04 Apr08 Sep01 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
8  LADY OF THOROTON Jun10 May12 Apr21 Nov19 Oct20 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
9  SNOWY EVENING Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr08 Feb24 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 9% 10.80    
10  SILVER SKILLET Jun10 May11 Dec16 Oct30 Sep22 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
11  WATERVILLE May29 Apr08 Nov06 Sep05 Aug12 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  SWEETEST PRINCESS May29 Apr08 Mar17 Feb19 Jan14 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
13  SARATOGA CHROME Nov06 Oct08 Aug11 Jul16 Jun04 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 125 20.00    
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT Jun23 May19 Apr13 Jun24   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  TIMELY CONQUEST Jun16         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYLIST Jun15 Feb18 Jan22 Nov18 Aug25 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  BOMBDIGGITY Nov20 Oct26 Jun25 May21 Apr10 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
3  BOWL OF CHERRIES Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar26 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00    
4  BREEZE EASY (GB) Jun16 May18 Nov27 Oct15 Sep18 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
5  LADY MILAGRO Jun16 May12 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 (martin carlos )TORRES A 119 5.00 7% 13.70    
6  GLITTER UP Jun24 Jun04 Feb08 Jan15 Dec18 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
7  TRACY ANN'S LEGACY May20 Apr19 Feb18 Feb03 Aug05 (orseno f)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
SCR  QUICK MUNNY Jun23 May28 Apr29 Jan14 Dec17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  HYDRA Jun24 May12 Apr07 Feb10 Jan27 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBRACEABLE GAL         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHOTGUN PATSY Jul02         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
3  KRYSTALHEIR May21 Mar18 Feb11     (coffey mar)DAVIS A 119 15.00 10% 8.60    
4  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Jun16         (miceli mic)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
5  BON ADIEU Jun16 Apr29 Feb10 Dec16   (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
6  ISLAND ROSE         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
7  SWEET LIBERTY Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Oct06 (quick patrick )TORRES A 114 8.00 7% 12.90    
8  FOXY CARA Jun25 May21 Apr29 Apr06   (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  NEIGH JUDE         (breen j)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
10  ICHIBAN Jun25 Apr15 Mar18 Jan21   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
11  MIM Jun16 Oct08 Sep02     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Kelso Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH BEE Jun01 May04 Mar04 Jan13 May21 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANNAPOLIS May04 Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 Aug06 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE Jul01 Jun01 Apr13 Dec07 Aug14 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
4  ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) Jun10 May14 Apr22 Feb18 Nov27 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
5  BIG EVEREST (GB) May27 Apr15 Nov13 Sep29 Aug04 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
6  FILO DI ARIANNA (BRZ) Jun10 Apr29 Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
7  ANACONDA Jun10 May06 Apr15 Mar11 Feb04 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
8  CASA CREED Jun10 Nov05 Oct08 Aug13 Jun11 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  GUN IT Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr22 Mar11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 0.60    
 
SAR-10   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Sanford Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL THE CAVALRY Jun04         (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
2  JIVE May19         (serpe philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
3  DICKENS Jun10         (alvarado juan)ZAYAS J 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
4  YO YO CANDY Jun11 May23       (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FACTOR U AND ME IN May01         (coletti j)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
6  RAMMING SPEED Jul03 Jun14       (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
7  TRIPLE TREA Jun04         (minshall j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
8  HIS RIGHTS Jun19         (romero rafael)CASTELLANO J 120 30.00    
9  GOLD SWEEP Jun11 May18       (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 0.60 58% 0.70    
10  MARKET STREET Jun29         (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-11   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONET NEVER (IRE) Apr26 Mar19 Feb19     (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  SCHNITTKER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
2  BEER RUN Jun17 Apr26       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  CIGARETTE BOAT Apr22 Mar25 Jul02 Jun02 May04 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
4  FLAT TOP BOX Jun17 May05       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 11% 8.40    
5  NICKEL NICKEL         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
6  PAXSATIONAL Jul01 May28 Jan06 Dec16   (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
7  PARTY WITH SMARTY         (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 50.00 5% 19.00    
8  CITY FEVER         (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
9  TWO MINUTES APART Aug14 Jul23 Jul01     (crook-demasi k)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
10  METALLURGIC         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
11  AMERICAN KNOW HOW Jun17 May21 May05     (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
12  BAIE LONGUE Sep25 Aug13 Jul23     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00    
SCR  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Aug06 Jul22       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  LUDWIG May21 Apr29 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.