Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM DADDY         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
ALPHA LEA         (howard maryanne)BAYS BROOKE 109 20.00 11% 8.40    
STEEL HAWK Nov17 Oct01       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
SECOND LIEUTENANT         (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 12% 7.20    
PARACHUTEBATTALION Nov09 Sep07       (rider m)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
SCR  GO FOR IT Nov17 Nov09 Sep26     (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 3.00    
SILENT VOTE Aug05 Jul08       (foster eric)RAMOS D 119 6.00    
MARTINI SHOT Oct23 Sep25 Aug21     (barkley jason)MCKEE J 119 20.00    
EAST BY WEST         (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
10  LUCKY DAY A'COMIN Oct20         (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 15.00    
 
TP-2   12/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY CHROME Aug24 Jul14 May27 Apr16 Feb21 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
MOMMA RIO         (brumley willi)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
VAVITE Nov28 Nov11 Aug24 Aug01 Jul04 (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
LUCKY SHORE Oct11 Sep09 Aug22 Jul12 Jun29 (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
GREEN BANANAS Nov11 Oct23 Sep30 Sep16   (manley steve)ORM CORY 118 15.00    
MY TOMMY LEE Nov30 Nov03 Oct19 Sep23 Aug24 (sands shane)RAMOS D 120 4.00    
SCR  REVELING Oct11 Sep09 Aug25 Jun24 Jun17 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
FRIEND Nov25 Nov18 Nov08 Oct23 Oct08 (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 118 8.00    
SCR  LADY JEWELS Nov08 Jun13 May23 Apr13   (gorder k)RODRIGUEZ A 111 15.00    
10  MOON PARTY Oct28 Oct08 Sep05 Jul24 Jun19 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 6% 15.30    
11  TRACKER JACKER Oct19 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (estvanko rich)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
12  LADY SIERRA Sep26 Sep13 Jul24 Apr07 Mar04 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
13  LUCKY US Nov30 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 120 20.00    
 
TP-3   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM TRAVELER Nov22 Oct31 Aug22     (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
KILBAHA (IRE) Oct05         (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50    
CRACK THE MOON Oct20 Sep22       (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00    
SCR  BELL CURVE         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
HENDRIX Nov11 Oct14       (morey willia)RAMOS D 119 3.50    
SCR  MENDELJOHN (IRE)         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  UNCLE HEADLEY Sep03 Jun27 Apr28     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
SMALL SAILOR Nov11 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 Aug26 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 119 20.00    
DON'T CROSS JACK Jun29         (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00    
 
TP-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 2 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY AND BOLD Oct06 Jul29       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
B G WARRIOR Nov15 Oct24 Sep15 Aug10 Jul29 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
JULIA'S CHARDONNAY Nov10 Oct12 Sep23 Sep14 Jun19 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
LADY OCEAN Nov20 Nov10 Oct30 Jul15   (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
HAPPY CLOUDS Nov19 Nov03 Sep15 Jul16 Jun23 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
CASTELMOLA Oct09 Sep09       (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 122 12.00    
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Nov19 Oct26 Sep16 Aug06 Jul04 (danner doug)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 10.00    
ADALINDA Nov20 Nov07 Oct04 Sep23 Aug26 (short thomas)MUSARRO JOE 120 30.00    
TIKI BAR Sep13 Aug16 Jul26     (stidham michae)ROCCO S 122 3.50    
10  FEE Nov02 Sep18 Aug05     (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 4.00 6% 15.40    
11  STORM RATE Oct05 Sep05 Aug20 Jul17   (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
12  FIRING BULLETS Nov05 Oct08 Aug14     (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  VIOLENT WONDER Nov15 Oct05 Aug30     (lyster stephen)ROCCO S 122 15.00    
SCR  PROVE MY LOVE Aug25 Aug10       (lynch cath)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
TP-5   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVEN'S NEST         (blair jordan)ROCCO S 119 12.00    
TAPPING OUT A TUNE Sep29         (barkley jason)MCKEE J 119 15.00    
PENNY'S PROSPECT         (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
OLAZABAL Oct30 Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
GOLDEN REIGN Nov03 Sep23 Jul30     (toye lin)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
TURESKIS         (romans dale)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
MUCINO Oct29 Oct10 Sep03 Aug07   (mora le)DE CRUZ 119 4.00    
ROYAL VICKY         (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 10.00    
MONBA QUAKE Oct09 Sep24       (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 30.00    
10  SANTORINI Oct21         (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00    
11  GOOD SOUL         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00    
12  RETAINED Oct14 Sep11 Aug06 Jul08   (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  SPANISH DOUBLOON Oct15 Sep08 Aug21 Jul16   (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  ST. ELMO         (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
 
TP-6   12/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALBERTA SUN Nov15 Aug03 Jun25 Jun09 Apr16 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR Nov13 Sep22 Jul31 Jun12 May19 (fletcher kevi)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00    
BYE BYE BERTIE Nov12 Oct29 Sep17 Sep05 Jul23 (powell leonar)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00    
RICHIES GREAT GIRL Oct16 Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 Jul18 (cano ju)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
STRONG ODOR Oct29 Sep30       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
PRAISE AND HONOR Oct19         (beattie m)ROCCO S 120 10.00    
GUANA CAY Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 Aug21 Jul18 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
FORGOTTEN PEACE Oct26 Oct12 Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 (girten tim)RAMOS D 120 4.50 55% 0.80    
WICKED GROOVE Oct20 Sep22 Aug27 Jul30 Jun14 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
10  GIRL WITH A DREAM Nov21 Mar05 Feb05     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00    
11  LADY GOLDSTART Nov10 Oct19 Aug21 Jun25 May26 (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
 
TP-7   12/09/2022 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Nov24 Sep16 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50    
SHOGUN WARRIOR Oct22 Sep05 Jul24 Jul09 May30 (hughes byron )CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00    
CHANGI Nov12 Oct21 Jun06 May15 May01 (dolan jeanne )BECKMAN ALICE 114 50.00    
KAZAN (IRE) Nov04 Oct01 Sep05 Aug05 Jun19 (wong jonath)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  ARGENTELLO (IRE) Sep01 Apr20       (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 Sep12   (dyer john)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
C F V BULLET Nov22 Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 Aug30 (gonzalez lil)RAMOS D 118 20.00    
BRIGHT PROSPECTER Sep05 Jul24 Jul01 Apr22 Mar05 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
BLUEBERRY Oct19 Oct05 Aug30 Jul29   (rodriguez ger)LEBRON VICTOR 118 20.00    
SCR  WAITA MINUTE HAYES Nov18 Sep30 Aug25     (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00    
11  CAROM Nov12 Oct15 Mar17 Feb10 Jan02 (kenneal)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS Sep14 Jul17 Jun18 Mar19   (newton troy)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00 7% 13.90    
13  SUMMER ANTHEM Jul16 Jun04 Apr29 Feb26   (brion keri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 12.00    
SCR  BAKWENA Oct26 Oct05 Sep05 Jun18 May22 (miller darrin)ROCCO S 121 10.00    
 
TP-8   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID SHELLEEN Nov30         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
HABITUS (GB) Nov11 Sep12 Aug12 Jul24 May13 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 10.00    
VERSATILE Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 (garcia isra)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00    
GUS GUS Nov09 Mar12 Feb16 Jan07   (garcia gena)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 12.00 6% 15.70    
MUCHO MOJO Oct05 Aug12 Jul10 Jun26 Jun03 (foster eric)RAMOS D 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
TAP THE CANDY Nov23 Oct08 Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
TRICOLOUR Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug19 (miller ke)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00    
ALFIO Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 Sep20 May07 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 121 20.00    
NORDIC LIGHT Oct19 Aug30 Aug04 Jul01 May20 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 15.00    
10  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Oct19         (hughes byron )CANNON DECLAN 117 20.00    
11  DEMANDED         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
SCR  SEVEN AND SEVEN Nov02         (romans dale)GILLIGAN JACK 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  OFF THE CUFF Nov11 Feb16       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00    
SCR  AQUACAT Sep25 Aug05 Jun24 Apr28   (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.