Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (3/2/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-3   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TDN-4   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SURF AND TURF Apr25 Apr10 Nov06 Oct25 Oct03 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU May04 Apr25 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
CENTSOFWANDER Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 Feb15 Jan03 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
DISCLOSURE May06 Apr22 Apr09 Apr02 Mar12 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHT TIME RULER May06 Apr02 Sep12 Aug16 Jul18 (urieta johann)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00    
BLESS THE KITTEN Apr22 Mar28 Mar07 Jan31 Dec30 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
R CARDINAL PRINCE May06 Apr04 Mar19 Mar12 Feb26 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-2   05/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIFT OF OAK May06 Mar13 Feb29 Mar16 Jan15 (bookman dona)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN May06 Apr02 Mar13 Feb15 Jan22 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Apr02 Mar14 Feb29 Jan30 Dec30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
DASH OF FIRE Apr24 Apr02 Mar11 Feb28 Feb15 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00    
RED HOT POWER Apr24 Mar25 Mar14 Mar06 Feb21 (gonzalez donaci)BARBARAN ERIK 121 8.00    
BAD BOY BOOGIE Mar13 Feb15 Feb06 Jan15 Dec26 (romero oscar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
STARS N SPACE May07 Apr04 Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 (overholt)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 13% 6.90    
WETZEL Dec28 Nov09 Oct23 Sep30 Sep11 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 4.50 11% 8.10    
TAMMY'S TOY May01 Mar25 Mar06 Feb24 Feb08 (brown glenroy)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 20.00    
 
TDN-3   05/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONALIST May09 Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 Mar05 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
SCR  SIERRA DIAMOND May04 Apr24 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE May08 Apr11 Apr03 Mar17 Mar05 (rotunno r)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
EPICUREAN May04 Apr23 Mar27 Mar18 Feb28 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 30% 2.40    
MISS SHADY May04 Apr01 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50    
ROSY APPLE May04 Apr23 Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   05/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICGIRL May04 Sep27 Sep12 Aug17 Jun21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
LILAC LACE May04 Apr03 Mar11 Feb21 Nov14 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 34% 1.90    
SWEET BELEN Mar28 Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 Jan22 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
PALMARY Apr27 Apr11 Mar14 Mar02 Feb17 (farrior anthony)BRACHO A 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  OUT ONA LIMB Jul18 Dec13 Nov23 Oct24 Oct05 (hay r)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  FRANKLY MY DEAR May08 Apr11 Mar28 Mar05 Feb19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
ROWDY DAISY Apr22 Mar02 Feb04 Dec29 Dec16 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH UNITY May01 Nov01 Oct19 Oct02 Aug29 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Mar24 Feb23 Jan28 Nov24 Nov12 (sanchez-salomon ro)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
AYE AYE SIR Nov02 Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 6% 15.00    
FREE SAILIN May01 May19 Apr22 Mar30 Feb23 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 64% 0.60    
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK May01 Mar11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun21 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
DEACON DOUGIE Feb15 Jan18 Nov15 Aug12 Jul24 (dacosta jason)PETERSON FERRIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN BEAR May06 Apr21 Nov20 Oct25 Oct06 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 123 5.00    
 
TDN-6   05/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY'S EMPIRE May07 Apr09 Feb14 Jan30 Dec28 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
SCR  EKATI'S WAY May04 Apr13 Mar08 Oct28 Oct12 (cline c)BRACHO A 115 3.00    
SCR  WILDCAT PRIDE May07 Nov27 Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
MAILS HERE May04 Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb07 (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
FACT NOT FICTION May04 Aug15 Jul27 Jul13   (hamm timothy)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.00 43% 1.30    
KINGDOM DIAMOND Jan31 Jan16 Dec29 Dec19 Dec01 (meyers shane)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SHOWTIME BOY Apr27 Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
LINO'S KID Feb24 Feb14 Mar22 Feb26 Jan16 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROLL A QUARTERS May04 Apr23       (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE ME UP BABY Apr13 Mar26 Oct05 Sep07 Jul25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 7% 13.10    
CHARGINA Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 Feb13 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
MALICED Jul25 Jun24 Jun07 May09 Apr13 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 119 6.00 7% 13.00    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE May01 Feb28 Jan31 Jan23 Dec06 (skerrett jeff)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
COMMAND STRIKE May01 Oct02 Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 57% 0.70    
LIONISTIC Apr29 Dec26 Nov20 Oct31 Oct11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
PASSIONFORTREASURE Apr19 Mar24 Mar13 Feb18 Jan31 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 121 15.00    
SCR  MAGIC PALACE Apr03 Feb06 Nov21 Oct31 Sep29 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
SHEISTHEHERO Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 Feb24 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 6.00    
 
TDN-8   05/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LITTLE BEAST Nov19 Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 Aug17 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 7% 12.70    
IT'S FATE Jan04 Dec20 Nov20 Oct13 Sep27 (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
K P SILVER BULLET Apr30 Oct21 Oct03 Sep12 Jul20 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
SAHM TEQUILA Apr13 Mar06 Feb17 Jan24 Jan05 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 12% 7.60    
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Apr30 Mar20 Mar06 Sep18 Aug22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Apr30 Dec28 Dec04 Aug15 Jul17 (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTIN THE RULES Feb05 Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.