Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - March 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(1/2/3/6)-(7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-2   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(7/5/1)-(6/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(6/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(6/8/1/3)-(2/11/5/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (6/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/3)-(6/8/1/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/3)-(6/8/1/3/11)-(6/8/1/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/1/3)-(2/11/5/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/3)-(2/11/5/10/4)-(6/7/4/12/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-5   WIN (2/11/5/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/5/10/4)-(2/11/5/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/5/10/4)-(2/11/5/10/4)-(2/11/5/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/5/10/4)-(6/7/4/12/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/11/5/10/4)-(6/7/4/12/10)-(1/8/5/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (6/7/4/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/12/10)-(6/7/4/12/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/12/10)-(6/7/4/12/10)-(6/7/4/12/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/4/12/10)-(1/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/12/10)-(1/8/5/2)-(5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2/6)-(1/8/5/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/5/2)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/2)-(5/1/6)-(4/10/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-8   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/10/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-9   WIN (4/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/5)-(4/10/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/5)-(4/10/1/2/5)-(4/10/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE OF ST. JOHN Sep28 Sep02 Aug15 Jul21 Jul01 (andrade h)CORREA L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ENDLESS Jan24 Jan03 Dec08 Nov02 Oct11 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.60    
TALK RADIO Jan24 Dec22 Aug16 Aug05 Jul13 (wittek karyn)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
TAMI ANN Feb10 Jan11 Oct07 Sep20 Aug15 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
MAMITA LINDA Feb09 Nov07 Oct07 Aug30 Aug12 (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
SCR  SUPER LUCY Feb16 Feb07 Aug05 Jun22 May17 (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
SECOND EXCHANGE Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 (melton chris)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
GIN N SIN Jan11 Nov07 Oct15 Sep23 Sep14 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 10.00    
 
TP-2   03/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZING JUSTICE Jan31 Dec23 Nov29 Nov02 Oct02 (melton c)RODRIGUEZ A 125 4.50 25% 2.90    
JAY BIRD Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct15 Sep17 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.00 22% 3.50    
BOURBON LIFE Feb02 Dec15 Nov25 Sep05   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 10% 8.90    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Feb08 Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 Sep12 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 6.00    
JAHEZ Feb17 Feb08 Jan25 Jan05 Sep16 (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 125 5.00    
CONNECT ME Oct19 Sep13 Aug24 Jul12 Jun19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 12.00 6% 14.70    
PALHACO Feb10 Jan18 Dec20 Nov26 Nov15 (meraz antonio)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
SERPA Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Nov14 Oct27 (williams )CORREA L 125 20.00    
SCR  INDY CARR Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 Nov08 Oct24 (tooley jen)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00    
 
TP-3   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICK HAT Feb10 Jan27 Nov29 Sep06 Aug19 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  KAIYAS SONG Feb08 Jan05 Dec28 Nov20 Oct06 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00    
SCR  JACK'S SUMMER Feb10 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02 Nov16 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 125 2.50    
MEGAN'S NOEL Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Sep30 Aug11 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 3.50    
SHEWILLGHOSTU Feb16 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul07 (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.50 23% 3.40    
CINDERELLA STORY Jan27 Jan03 Oct16 Sep28 Aug22 (paque)ULLOA PATRICIO 125 6.00    
STARSHIP BELMONT Feb10 Dec08 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 (walsh ryan )CONCEPCION AXEL 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
TP-4   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTY COURT Feb07 Dec22 Dec13 Nov29 Nov02 (brooks )DE CRUZ 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  BULLBRIAR Nov08 Oct17 Oct06 Sep15 Aug23 (guida e)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
COLBALOAF Feb09 Dec21 Nov18 Oct12 Sep15 (cano muno)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Jan25 Dec14 Sep13 Sep02 Jul13 (howard jo)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
NOT SO EASY Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 Jul05 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00    
MID ATLANTIC Feb01 Dec22 Jan28 Jan12 Dec29 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
FASTBYTE Jan12 Dec22 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 3.50    
TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Feb07 Jan25 Dec02 Sep26 Sep05 (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
LUCKYINKENTUCKY Feb02 Dec22 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
10  SECRETARY OF WAR Feb07 Jan13 Dec23 Nov27 Oct25 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
11  CAROM Feb07 Jan12 Dec22 Nov29 Sep20 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 10.00    
12  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Feb07 Dec22 Nov10 Oct05 Sep15 (salas felip)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
 
TP-5   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIO Jan26         (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
PLANET Oct25 Oct01 Sep05 Aug19   (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 3.00 46% 1.20    
AZOI Jan31 Dec21       (morey e)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
RIESENBERG         (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
PATCH O'BRIEN Feb01 Nov23 Sep17 Aug12 Jun16 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
WHERE IS LISA Jan26 Dec28       (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
SCR  DECATUR STREET Jan26 Jan11 Nov19     (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00    
FASTER Dec21 Nov11       (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
WAUHATCHIE Jan26 Oct28 Sep21     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
10  DIRBAS Jan31 Jan06 Nov30 Oct29 Sep09 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 10.00 6% 14.60    
11  ALL ABOUT TONITE Jan31 Oct12 Aug31 Aug12   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  ILLINI Feb01         (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
13  MIDNIGHT AWARD Feb01 Dec29 Dec06 Oct03 Sep02 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
SCR  BROTHER RICE Feb15 Jan18       (blair j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
TP-6   03/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Battaglia Memorial Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS Jan28 Jan01 Oct29 Aug06   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JOJO WARRIOR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
ODE TO BALIUS Aug12 Jul14       (torres concepcio)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HAIL TO ROCKNROLL by SCAT DADDY)
MR. FAVERSHAM Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 Oct11   (lyster s)MOJICA O 118 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
BOLT AT MIDNIGHT Feb09 Jan12 Dec03 Nov10 Sep30 (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MY MIDNIGHT AFFAIR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
FIDGET Jan01 Nov09 Sep08 Aug03   (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TINABUD by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
EPIC RIDE Feb02 Jan05 Dec08     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by BLAME out of PICK A TIME by GIO PONTI)
BLUE EYED GEORGE Feb02 Oct26 Sep10 Jul31   (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 14% 6.40    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of ACTING NAUGHTY by OFFLEE WILD)
SCR  BREAK OUT Jan28 Dec28 Nov25 Oct22 Sep10 (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of AFTERNOON TANGO by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
MISSION READY Jan18 Dec22 Nov25 Oct26 Sep09 (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GRANBY GIRL by BADGE OF SILVER)
10  GOOD BALI Feb02 Dec01 Oct26 Sep10 Jul14 (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of IN GOOD COMPANY by SOUVENIR COPY)
11  MUGATU Feb10 Jan18 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
12  ENCINO Jan26 Dec29       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GLITTERING JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
13  KARLWITHANARL Feb02 Dec29 Dec21 Nov19 Oct18 (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RIGHT ON RENEE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  KATHEEB Jan13 Dec06       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
 
TP-7   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSH OF A STORM Jan05 Dec16 Nov30 Oct18 Sep18 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 44% 1.20    
KOOLHAUS Dec15 Apr16 Jan27 Dec17 Jun17 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Jan18 Dec20 Nov07 Sep17 Dec16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
JUNGLE WARFARE Jan05 Apr20 Jan27 Jan07 Nov04 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Jan27 Dec16 Nov05 Oct13 Aug31 (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 7% 13.00    
BARBERINI Jan05 Nov30 Mar04 Feb04 Dec17 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00    
COLOSSEO Jan20 Dec09 Oct06 Sep07 Aug28 (catalano m)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
READY TO PURRFORM Apr20 Jan21 Oct29 Sep05 Aug05 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
PACKS A WAHLOP Jan05 Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 Jan08 (morey e)FELIX E 124 5.00    
 
TP-8   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAPPER Jun11 Apr29 Mar25     (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CLICK YOUR HEELS by PULPIT)
TRUMPTASTIC May14 Apr15 Feb11 Jan14   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 5.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TWENTY IN ONE by INVASOR (ARG))
TAPPING OUT A TUNE Feb03 Dec09 Sep29     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BERN OBSESSION by BERNSTEIN)
SIDE EYE Feb17 Apr23 Mar19 Dec17   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
FROST MOUNTAIN Feb03 Aug03       (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by FROSTED out of TIZAQUEENA by TIZNOW)
NO NO JOE Feb03         (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 18% 4.40    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEDUCTIVE CHARM by MACHO UNO)
SCANDALOUS MOON         (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCANDALOUS SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  TONKA TROUBLE         (wismer g)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KAYCE LU by LONHRO (AUS))
 
TP-9   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK OF KELLS Feb09 Jan10 Mar25 Feb24 Feb03 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
BEARINGS Jan26 Nov16 Nov05 Sep23 Dec03 (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
SPUNS SON Feb09 Dec29 Nov29 Nov01 Sep20 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 8.00    
MY BOY TONY Jan27 Jul23 Apr08 Mar10   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.00 66% 0.50    
SPEED INSTITUTE Feb09 Jan27 Dec28 Dec02 Nov01 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
ASCRIBE Jan26 Dec08 Sep25 Aug02   (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 126 8.00    
SCR  SURFACE TO AIR Nov24 Nov01 Oct06 Sep03 Aug01 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 6.00    
SCR  BATTLE BORN Feb24 Jan10 Dec20 Dec13 Nov24 (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 126 20.00    
HIGH ALERT Jan25 Jan06 Nov30     (howard jo)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
10  WE WILL CONQUER Jan26 Dec29 Nov22 Nov01 May29 (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
11  CURLINS INCHARGE Feb17 Jan26 Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 (asmussen steve)CONNER TYLER 126 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.