Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/9/5)-(8/4/9/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/4)-(13/7/6/1/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(13/7/6/1/4)-(4/6/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-2   WIN (13/7/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/7/6/1/4)-(13/7/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/7/6/1/4)-(13/7/6/1/4)-(13/7/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/7/6/1/4)-(4/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (13/7/6/1/4)-(4/6/5)-(6/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(6/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(6/8/2/1)-(3/12/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-4   WIN (6/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/1)-(3/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/1)-(3/12/6)-(4/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/12/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/12/6)-(3/12/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/12/6)-(3/12/6/9/10)-(3/12/6/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/12/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/12/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(1/10/12/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6)-(1/10/12/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/6)-(1/10/12/5/11)-(5/3/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/10/12/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/12/5/11)-(1/10/12/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/12/5/11)-(1/10/12/5/11)-(1/10/12/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/12/5/11)-(5/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/10/12/5/11)-(5/3/1/6)-(2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-8   WIN (5/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/12/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/12/6)-(5/3/1/12/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/6)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-9   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/14/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/14/5)-(2/4/3/14/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE PRICE Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 Jun07 May18 (townley steve)ORM CORY 124 12.00    
INDIGO RICH Sep28 Sep14 Aug11 Jul15 Jun29 (riley donna)MORALES JOSHUA 124 12.00    
RATE CONFIRMATION Feb09 Jan12 Dec20 Nov03 Aug28 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
SCR  SATURN BOY Jan06 Dec01 Oct11 Sep12 Aug11 (kinmon k)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.00 5% 17.70    
KICK ROCKS KID Feb14 Jan18 Dec28 Sep02 Aug17 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Feb17 Jul13 May25 May12 Apr29 (fernandez)CORREA L 124 20.00    
JUDO Jan24 Dec29 Dec14 Nov14 Oct19 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Jan26 Mar18 Jan05     (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50 72% 0.40    
ETERNAL BLISS Jan27 Jan06 Nov07 Oct05 Sep18 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 124 4.00    
 
TP-2   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CHEEKS Jan25 Dec16 Oct03 Sep23 Jul13 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 10.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  CUTADAY Feb14 Jan19 Dec20     (brooks brian)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 20.00    
ROYALLY BITTER Mar31 Mar17 Feb15 Jan19   (pinzon ma)CORREA L 126 15.00    
LEAD ACTOR Feb08 Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Jul06 (quezada inocen)PAULY SUMMER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
JARED THE WARRIOR Jan25 Jan05 Dec27 Sep09 Aug31 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
EGYPTIAN KING Feb10 Jan05 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 3.00 11% 7.90    
SHOCKWAVE Jan26 Dec28 Dec07 Oct21 Sep25 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Dec16 Nov29 Aug12 Jul13 Jun24 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 126 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN RAIDER Feb17 Jan25 Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 126 6.00    
10  PURE CANE SUGAR Jan25 Dec07 Nov16 May06 Jan27 (toye l)PETERSON FERRIN 126 15.00    
SCR  NORBERT Feb08 Jan26 Jan11 Dec15 Nov10 (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 126 5.00    
12  MOON CHARGER Feb14 Feb02 Jan11 Dec27 Dec14 (alvarez nery)ROMAN A 118 12.00    
13  SOLOMON VANDY Feb01 Jan07 Dec15 Nov24 Oct25 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
TP-3   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GRASS IS BLUE Feb10 Jul17 Jun16 May24 Apr29 (pitts c)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
FAITHFUL RULER Jan05 Dec02 Oct12 Jul19 Jun15 (watkins m)LEON SONNY 120 4.50    
PURE PANIC Feb10 Dec02 Nov09 Oct18 Sep13 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00    
SOLIDIFY Feb10 Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Nov09 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
MOLTO VIVACE Jan31 Jan04 Oct15 Sep23 Aug27 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 Oct28 Sep06 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
TP-4   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODE'S ROSE Jan27 Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 Nov02 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
MABEE LUCKYNWILD Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Dec08 Oct11 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
LOONA LUV Feb07 Dec05 Nov13 Oct31 Oct05 (cook brian)PAULY SUMMER 110 20.00    
PROTOMAGIC Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Nov15 Oct14 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 0.80    
EIDA'S STORM Oct07 Sep28 Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 (meredith charl)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
YOGA QUEEN Feb07 Jan13 Dec12 Oct25 Sep22 (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL Jan03 Oct23 Sep26 Aug31 Jul26 (cook brian)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Oct03 Sep14 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
MY TOMMY LEE Feb16 Jan03 Dec22 Dec08 Oct07 (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
 
TP-5   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S THE WINE         (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 120 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
KISS ME AGAIN         (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUHRIOUSLY KISSED by LANGFUHR)
SILK Jan17 Dec20       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
THUNDERS SONG         (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THUNDER AND HONEY by THUNDER GULCH)
BONHAVEN         (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOIETY by BERNARDINI)
SWEET LILIBET Aug02         (walsh d)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 19% 4.20    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
CAROUSING         (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PERFECT KAY by KANTHAROS)
CLOSING PRAYER         (baker james)ROCCO S 120 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Dec06         (morey e)LEON SONNY 120 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HIDDEN ROSIE by SIGNATURE RED)
10  BEYOND LUCKY         (thomas jonatha)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
11  MAY MAY STRONG         (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY TIZNOW by TIZNOW)
12  ULTIMATE READY         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ULTIMATE REWARD by LITE THE FUSE)
SCR  NIKI NINE DOORS Jan31         (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Jan27 Jan03 Dec13 Nov17 Nov02 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
 
TP-6   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECT A LIL Jan31 Jan03 Nov22 Feb24   (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 125 15.00    
SAVE THE BEES Feb09 Jan13 Dec28 Nov18 Oct28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 5.00    
RIVIERE Feb03 Dec14 Oct28 Oct12 Sep02 (morey e)LEON SONNY 127 1.60 9% 9.80    
SHEAR Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 May10 Apr13 (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 3.00 60% 0.70    
YAREE D TAT Feb07 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 Oct06 (gilliam james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 15.00    
KATIE GOT LUCKY Jan24 Dec23 Dec02 Nov01 Oct19 (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROSE DARLING Jan24 Jan10 Dec28 Dec02 Oct27 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 6% 15.90    
STUPENDOUS Feb03 Jan17 Dec23 Sep26 Sep05 (riley donna)MORALES JOSHUA 125 15.00    
 
TP-7   02/28/2024 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESIDER Jan25 Dec28 Dec02 Nov08 Oct12 (caramor)DE CRUZ 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
EL AHIJADO Jan10 Dec08 Nov08 Oct19 Jun29 (guerrero sal)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00    
GLOBAL SENSATION Jan12 Dec22 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 6.00    
EXEMPLIFIED Jan26 Dec16 Oct25 Oct15 Sep28 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 15.00    
CUPID'S CLAWS Jan31 Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 10% 8.90    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 8.00    
MR YETTIE Jan11 Sep20 Aug16 Jul23 May09 (reed r)FELIX E 125 30.00    
MARQUET MALICE Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Jul08 Apr22 (douaihy m)CORREA L 125 15.00    
JR'S GIFT Jan25 Jan10 Nov04 Oct19 Sep23 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00    
10  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Jan26 Jan03 Nov30 Oct25 Oct07 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
11  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Jan31 Jan05 Nov07 Oct24 Sep19 (brown h)ELLIOTT JANE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  MIRACLE ON ICE Jan27 Apr27 Mar25 Feb16 Jan25 (hughes g)LEON SONNY 125 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  NOW AND LATER Feb02 Jul01 Jun16 May04 Jan28 (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Dec16 Oct25 (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 125 10.00    
 
TP-8   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. BENEDICTS PREP Dec20 Nov23 Oct12 Jul28 Jun23 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  ENDLESS Jan24 Jan03 Dec08 Nov02 Oct11 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
FIRESIDE KITTEN Jan17 Dec07 Oct23 Jul15 Jun13 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
TAG TEAM Jan03 Nov11 Oct21     (carroll j)LEPAROUX R 125 12.00    
CURL GIRL Jan10 May05 Apr13 Feb05 Aug21 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
TITUBA Jan31 Nov15 Oct01 Sep13 Jun29 (maker m)DE CRUZ 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDLE Nov05 Oct08 Jul01 Jun16 Apr08 (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00    
BIRDIE ROSE Jan03 Dec02 Oct12 Sep15 Aug26 (salas felipe)LEON SONNY 125 20.00    
SCR  ROBIN SAGE Oct27 Oct01 Sep07 Aug13 Jul20 (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 12.00    
10  MISS QUEST Jan03 Oct26 Sep28 Aug28 Aug08 (morey e)FELIX E 125 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE DIXIE Feb01 Jan03 Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 (reavis l)MCKEE J 125 15.00    
12  FOREVER AFTER ALL Oct20 Sep23 Jun24 May27 May05 (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 5.00    
SCR  KITTEN CALLS Feb06 Nov28 Oct25 Sep12 Jul18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 15.00    
SCR  SCARLETTA Jun18 May13 Apr22     (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 125 20.00    
 
TP-9   02/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET DOCKET Dec30 Nov16 Nov07 Oct12 Sep14 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
SENOR JOBIM Feb10 Jan31 Jan12 Dec16 Dec07 (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.80 59% 0.70    
THIS ILL DEFEND Jan31 Jan13 Dec16 Oct07 Sep23 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
READY TO ROLL (IRE) Dec15 Oct13 Aug26 Jun16 May28 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
CLEARING WAIVERS Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Nov08 (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
SCR  THALBERG Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Nov29 Sep20 (brooks )DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
KEEN ON YOU Oct24 Oct05 Sep27 Sep10 Aug18 (miller f)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 Dec30 Nov29 (adams nan)CORREA L 120 20.00    
FINGERS Sep28 Sep14 Jul27 Jun30 May19 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 8.00    
10  RAF Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 Dec30 Dec06 (jarvis kathy)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
11  STRETCH RUNNER Jan11 Mar16 Feb02 Jan11 Oct26 (shetron )RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Jan13 Dec05 Aug27 Aug20 Aug09 (cook brian)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
13  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jan24 Jan02 Dec13 Nov06 Sep28 (tooley jennifer)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
14  MAILBOX MONEY Feb01 Jan12 May25 May11 Oct09 (adams l)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.