Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(1/3)-(1/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/2/6)-(5/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/7/3)-(5/3/4/2/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(5/3/4/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(5/3/4/2/8)-(5/6/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/4/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2/8)-(5/3/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2/8)-(5/3/4/2/8)-(5/3/4/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/4/2/8)-(5/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/2/8)-(5/6/8)-(1/3/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/8)-(5/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/8)-(5/6/8)-(5/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/8)-(1/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8)-(1/3/4/8)-(1/2/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/8)-(1/2/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/10)-(1/2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/10)-(1/2/3/10)-(1/2/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUREST PERFORMANCE Feb02 Dec30 Nov25 Nov05 Oct15 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY GORGEOUS Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 117 30.00    
3  MISS FASHIONISTA Dec30 Nov17 Dec16 Nov18 Oct01 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  ACCELERINA Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Sep01 Jul04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
5  MALU Jan13 Dec15 Nov17 Oct12   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Dec15 Oct29 Sep16 Sep02 Jun23 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
7  THE SPLENDID ONE Jan13 Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-2   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CALL RAY Feb03 Dec16 Nov19 Nov04 Oct22 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Feb02 Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
3  MARKET ALERT Jan04 Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 Jul23 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Jan13 Nov11 Aug31 Jul22 Jul04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
5  ROYAL TRYST Jan26 Jan06 Dec29 Nov30 Oct28 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
6  BOLD VICTORY Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Oct12 Jul13 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50    
 
AQU-3   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURSAL Jan14 Dec14 Oct26 Sep22 Aug12 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  REMAIN ANONYMOUS Dec14 Oct28 Oct01 Aug21 Nov23 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Oct04 Sep02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80    
4  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Nov26 Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 Jul22 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
5  SHESALITTLE EDGY Dec14 Nov24 Feb24 Jan27 May19 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
6  COLLECT DATTT Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DACTILOGRAFA Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 Nov19   (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
2  KHALI'S STORM Jan11 Dec16 Aug27     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
3  AWESOME GLO Feb03 Dec16 Oct08 Sep01   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  WILD MAGIC Feb03         (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
5  DAME CATHERINE Jan19 Dec28 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  BELLS TOLLING Jan19 Dec28 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
7  HOLDER CLOSE Jan12 Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-5   02/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMENTO MI Dec15 Nov10 Sep22 Jul17 Jun19 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
2  SHOOPTHEREITIS Dec31 Nov14 Oct23 Oct05 Sep04 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 118 6.00 5% 18.50    
3  MAGGIE T Dec31 Dec14 Jun18 May04 Apr28 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 115 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  VAX Jan07 Dec30 Oct26 Sep24 Aug25 (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 6% 14.70    
5  MAGGIE Dec03 Oct26 Sep15 Jul30 Jul16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  JOEY THE FISH Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 Aug09 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 123 10.00    
7  TRY IT AGAIN Feb04 Jan26 Dec03 Nov19 Oct26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
8  JACKSON AVENUE Jan11 Dec29 Dec15 Nov13 Oct23 (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIMPLE SUGAR Jan11 Dec10 Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
 
AQU-6   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BADGE OF WAR Nov14 Oct03       (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
SCR  HEARD ON THESTREET Feb10 Jan12       (jacobson d)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
2  DON VINO VICI Dec14 Oct13 Sep14 Aug10   (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE Feb02 Dec29 Sep03 Aug26 Aug04 (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
4  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Jan13 Oct26 Sep28 Aug19   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
5  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Jan12 Nov30       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  GUM ISLAND Dec08 Nov24 Oct01     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  SHAMROCK SHAKE Dec08 Oct27 Sep02 Jul29   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
8  CONNIVING Sep29 Sep11       (chapman james )LUZZI J 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-7   02/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN CENT TOWN Jan13 Dec16 Dec01 Oct15 Aug12 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
1A  BIG ENGINE Jan12 Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 Nov03 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 ★    
SCR  BEACH BOY AL Jan27 Dec30 Nov21 Nov08 Sep20 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
3  BE THE BOSS Dec03 Nov10 Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
4  THE INSTITUTE Jan18 Dec30 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  DISCO DEANO Nov15 Sep01 Jul12 May29 Oct10 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 115 30.00    
6  ZEEBEAR Dec30 Dec07 Oct29 Sep28 Sep21 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
7  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Jan18 Sep21 Mar19 Feb25 Jan15 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
8  WHAT'S UP BRO Jan01 Dec10 Oct19 Oct05 Aug23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9% 10.00    
9  JEMOGRAPHY Jan26 Dec03 Nov11 Oct14 Sep04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
SCR  WHO HOO THATS ME Jan01 Nov24 May19 Jan21 Dec10 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK HAMMER Feb10 Dec28 Nov24 Sep16 Jul30 (handal raymon)OLVER MADISON 115 4.00    
1A  THANK YOU JON Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 27% 2.60    
2  MANDATORY Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 May13 Apr20 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
3  BEST BET Dec16 Jun19 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  RED D G P Nov24 Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 May11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
5  BATTUTA D'ORO Jan26 Jan02 Nov06 Oct03 Sep18 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 50.00    
6  BOBBY THE TANK Jan01 Dec01 May21 Apr27 Feb20 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Dec01 Oct15 Aug31 Jul28 Jul04 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  WHAT A BLAST Jan26 Jan12 Nov02 Oct09 Aug04 (martin f)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jan13 Aug05 Jul03 Jun03 May05 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
10  G MUNNING Jan26 Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 Aug31 (atras rob)RIVERA R 115 8.00 11% 8.30    
11  MAGIA NERA Jan27 Jun23 Jun02 Mar31 Feb11 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.