Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/4)-(9/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/4)-(9/8/7/2)-(6/1/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-2   WIN (9/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2)-(9/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/7/2)-(6/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/2)-(6/1/4/3)-(1/8/6/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3/8)-(6/1/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/4/3)-(1/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/3)-(1/8/6/10)-(9/8/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-4   WIN (1/8/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/10)-(1/8/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/10)-(1/8/6/10)-(1/8/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/10)-(9/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/10)-(9/8/1/6)-(1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-5   WIN (9/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/12/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/12/6)-(9/8/1/12/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/1/6)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/6)-(1/5)-(3/4/2/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/4/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/8/12/10/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5/9)-(3/4/2/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/5)-(3/8/12/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/5)-(3/8/12/10/2)-(4/1/5/8/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/8/12/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/12/10/2)-(3/8/12/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/12/10/2)-(3/8/12/10/2)-(3/8/12/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/12/10/2)-(4/1/5/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TP-9   WIN (4/1/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/8/7)-(4/1/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/8/7)-(4/1/5/8/7)-(4/1/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL SPIN Dec08 Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 Jul30 (cristel mar)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 8.00    
MORNING ANGEL Dec13 Nov01 Oct16 Sep28 Aug31 (richard)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSY DREAM Nov17 Oct16 Aug19 Jul18 Jun21 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 8.00    
RIBALDRY (IRE) Dec08 Nov15 Oct26 Sep02 Aug17 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOMITIA LUCILLA Nov24 May30 May02 Apr03 Feb28 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
SCR  KIT CAN RUN Sep30 Sep06 Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 121 4.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  POSTNUP Aug02 Jun11 May09 Mar10 Apr24 (green troy)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50    
CLARA BELLE Dec08 Aug31 Aug11 Jul12 Mar25 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 14% 6.10    
STATE OF GRACE Nov30 Nov08 Oct25 Sep22 Sep07 (cline robert)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
 
TP-2   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE LIKE KYLE Nov18 Nov04 Aug28 Aug16 Apr19 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00    
MAGNA RULER Dec29 Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul11 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOT THE BOB Nov15 Nov07 Jun04 May20 May03 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 Mar10 (alessi )DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
I NINETY FIVE Dec29 Aug29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00    
KING OF KENTUCKY Dec08 Sep18 Aug29 Aug11 Jul21 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 121 6.00    
ETERNAL BLISS Nov07 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 Aug08 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 5.00 6% 14.70    
EASY OPERATOR Dec08 Nov10 Oct24 Sep07 Aug15 (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
TIGER PAW (IRE) Dec01 Sep13 Sep02 Aug05 Jul06 (meah m)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
TP-3   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. FAVERSHAM Nov25 Oct11       (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
ONE FAST MIDDIE         (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
DIRBAS Nov30 Oct29 Sep09 Aug12   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ATHENS QUEEN by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SHARON'S PRINCE Dec06 Oct12 Sep10     (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 7% 13.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET STING by AWESOME AGAIN)
INTOLERABLE Sep14 Aug19       (ramos o)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
CLOUDY HOLIDAY Dec09         (sharp joe)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 49% 1.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
COASTING BY         (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
BAYTOWN BRUISER Nov30 Oct05 Sep20     (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHES TRICKEY by PROUD CITIZEN)
HIGH ALERT Nov30         (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HARD TEN HOPPING by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  ALL ABOUT TONITE Oct12 Aug31 Aug12     (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CATCHY TUNE by BERNSTEIN)
 
TP-4   01/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST N HAPPY Dec22 Nov26 Sep24 Aug18 May28 (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
LIMANI Nov11 Sep26 Sep03 May12 Apr08 (childers v)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00    
PITTORE D'ORO Dec22 Mar25 Feb23 Feb01   (michael brian)ORM CORY 122 20.00    
SCR  GAMBI Jul29 Jul14 Jun29 Jun07 May13 (alessi j)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  SOUL HEIR Dec14 Nov24 Nov01 Sep26 Aug31 (fields christo)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
LASERJET Dec23 Nov09 Sep17 Jun23   (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 122 3.50 5% 17.30    
SCR  PROUD LAURIE         (perez c)CRUZ JUAN 122 15.00    
BOLTS BABE Dec23 Dec02 Jul08 Jan11 Nov13 (ruis mi)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
GIRL GOODBYE Nov30 Sep28       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
10  PLEDGULATIONS Sep14 Aug11 Jul12 Jun07   (rider m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCIDENT Dec09 Nov17 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00 6% 16.50    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
BAD BOY FOR LIFE Nov18         (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WORLD PEACE by READY'S IMAGE)
SCR  CODE ONE Aug13 Jun23 May27 May12 Apr01 (martinez kell)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
PAPA ALDEN Dec09 Nov04 Apr16     (kerrick lacy)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SCARAB Jun11 Apr28       (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHESAKITTY by TAPIT)
I'M HIM         (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
FREAKY Z Dec09         (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
  (by MR. Z out of RIDE THE LINE by LINE OF DAVID)
STREET FIGHT Sep29 Aug01 Jul11 May29 May01 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of JENNYS PRAYER by TAPIT)
YANGARRA Nov19         (russell bri)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
10  UNCLE WILLIAM Dec08 Nov04       (guida ant)CORREA L 122 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of AWESOME MARY by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  FIVE STAR G MAN Dec09 May06 Apr22     (gowan willia)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FIVE STAR RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
12  CUSP Aug27 Jul16 May27     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
TP-6   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turfway Prevue Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOTE NO Oct08 Sep13 Aug23     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SISTAS READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  SWEET SODDY J Dec30 Dec08 Nov11 Oct28 Oct07 (ginter raymond)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
JOE SHIESTY Dec21 Dec08 Nov12     (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of READY TO UNLEASH by MORE THAN READY)
QUARRYMEN Dec20 Nov07 Sep19 Aug09   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TWIXT AND SHOUT by DISCREET CAT)
TAGLIATELLE Dec20 Nov26       (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ORECCHIETTE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  CEEPEEGEE Dec08 Sep29 Aug20     (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DANCE FOR DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
LET'S GO MARK Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 Oct07 Aug13 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
TP-7   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARDY CHOICE Dec14 Nov15 Oct19 Sep17 Mar17 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
VERBAL Dec07 Aug19 Jun22 Apr13 Feb04 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 6% 17.00    
SANTORINI Dec02 Oct28 Sep07 Aug11 Jun01 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
BROMLEY Nov26 Oct28 Sep20 Mar04 Jan21 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 6% 14.90    
MUCHO MOJO Dec08 Nov03 Sep10 Aug27 Aug04 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PROMISE ME A RIDE Nov26 Oct28 Sep02 Aug04 Jul09 (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
J. P. RACE Dec16 Nov26 Jun03 Apr13 Mar22 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00    
RARIFIED FLAIR Dec09 Nov15 May29 Apr07 Mar25 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
BROKEN RIB Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Sep29 Aug04 (hiles r)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
 
TP-8   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAY BIRD Dec14 Nov16 Oct15 Sep17 Jan11 (meah m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
STIRLING'S GOLD Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (dobbsjr)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC CREATION Nov18 Oct19 Jun25 May07 Apr15 (terranova )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  LE COOP Dec08 Nov09 Mar10 Jan13   (humphries tho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
BOCO Oct28 Sep20 Aug17 Jul06 May15 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00    
SATURN BOY Dec01 Oct11 Sep12 Aug11 Jul18 (kinmon keith)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 12.00    
SOUTHERN CRUSH Dec08 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jan01 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
MENDEL'S SECRET Dec15 Oct19 Sep13 Feb11 Jan21 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  MERLOTTI Nov18 Nov04 Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 20.00    
10  CAIRO'S GHOST Nov08 Oct12 Sep16 Aug11   (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  DUAL MONARCHY Nov23 Oct20 Sep14 Aug04 Jun29 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 5.00    
12  AUTO GLIDE Nov03 Aug29 Jun27 May25 May06 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
13  ICONICUS Nov10 Oct14 Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  GAMER Dec16 Nov10 Oct19 Jul28 Jun24 (asm)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00    
 
TP-9   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE ON MUTE Dec06         (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
EAST FROM WEST Nov23 Sep20       (garcia genaro)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
ACACIO Oct24 Aug22 Aug11 Jun10   (contreras)CORREA L 120 10.00    
PUBLIUS Nov25 Oct28 Aug31     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 36% 1.80    
MENDELSFLY Dec09 Oct12 Sep10     (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
MELEE (GB) Oct26         (drury thom)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
PAPA YO         (castillo ric)RAMOS D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNBRIDLED CHAOS         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00 6% 17.10    
HIGH HEADED Nov19         (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 8.00    
10  LOMACHENKO Sep29         (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
11  BEST MAN SPEECH Nov11 Oct17 Aug29 Aug01   (lynch e)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
12  MASTERY N POLISHED Dec09         (wittek karyn)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00    
SCR  SKY KEY         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 12.00    
SCR  BETTER LUCK Dec21 Aug12       (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.