Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/2/4)-(6/8/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(6/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(6/8/5/4)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/4)-(6/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/4)-(6/8/5/4)-(6/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/4)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/4)-(5/2/1)-(1/9/4/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/9/4/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/9/4/8/2)-(6/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/9/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/8/2)-(1/9/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/8/2)-(1/9/4/8/2)-(1/9/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/4/8/2)-(6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4/8/2)-(6/2/3)-(7/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(7/1/5/2)-(9/6/8/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(9/6/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/6/8/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/4/7)-(9/6/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/4/7)-(9/6/8/4/7)-(9/6/8/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KUPP Mar10 Feb19 Jan14 Jan01 Dec16 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00    
2  CEES GET DEGREES Feb09 Aug18 Jul14 Jun22 May19 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY Mar03 Jan07 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
4  EMERALD FOREST Feb23 Dec31 Nov30 Oct14 Sep24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  LOST IN ROME Feb19 Aug02 Jul02 Jun15 May27 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LORD CAPTAIN Feb25 Feb02 Aug02 Jul23 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 
AQU-2   03/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC NIGHT Mar01 Jan12 Oct13 Sep21 Sep02 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
2  JUST CALL RAY Mar16 Feb16 Feb03 Dec16 Nov19 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 8.00 11% 7.70    
3  PREDICTED Mar15 Mar08 Jan13 Dec13 Nov17 (jones eduard)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00    
4  THUNDERIAN Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 Dec06 Nov10 (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRAFALGAR Feb25 Jan27 Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 0.80    
6  FIRST GLIMPSE Mar07 Dec02 Oct13 Aug03 Jul01 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-3   03/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY GORGEOUS Mar02 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 (reynolds pa)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00    
2  DRAMATIC EFFECT Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 Nov05 Oct06 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
3  OUR REWARD Feb17 Jan07 Jan01     (brown bruce )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00    
4  JAYLA Mar15 Feb15 Dec27 Nov30 Nov08 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DREAM ON CARA Feb02 Jan07 Aug12 Jul03 Jun18 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
6  MALU Feb16 Jan13 Dec15 Nov17 Oct12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 34% 1.90    
7  KRYSTALHEIR Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Aug27 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
8  THE SPLENDID ONE Feb16 Jan13 Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-4   03/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEZOS Jan01 Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 Sep16 (persaud ed)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHAT'S UP BRO Mar10 Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 Oct19 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MAGIC EXPRESS Mar09 Feb14       (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
4  CHILENO Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 Jul13 May28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
5  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Mar02 Feb09 Jan14 Dec29 Dec16 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  MANDATORY Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Dec29 Dec02 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
 
AQU-5   03/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY'S LIGHT Feb11 Jan05       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  PRETTY UP Jan18 Dec03 Oct12 Sep15 Aug10 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAVIN Mar03 Jan18 Jan01 Nov26 Nov09 (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
4  SUN AND WIND Feb18 Jan19 Dec16 Oct20 Sep15 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
5  LOVE LIKE CRAZY Feb03 Dec28 Dec03     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
6  AWESOME GLO Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Dec16 Oct08 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
7  BORNFORGREATNESS Jan19 Dec28 Nov24 Nov09 Oct20 (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
8  DAME CATHERINE Feb16 Jan19 Dec28 Nov24 Nov02 (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  BLUE EYED WARRIOR Feb18 Dec28 Oct28     (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-6   03/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Feb16 Jan18 Sep21 Mar19 Feb25 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
2  LOCKE AND KEY Mar09 Jan11 Dec16 Nov10 Oct01 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  THE INSTITUTE Feb16 Jan18 Dec30 Nov22 Nov08 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEACH BOY AL Mar10 Jan27 Dec30 Nov21 Nov08 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 123 6.00    
5  TEN CENT TOWN Feb16 Jan13 Dec16 Dec01 Oct15 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00    
6  DONEGAL SURGES Feb24 Jan27 Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-7   03/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUT FEELING Mar02 Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 Oct07 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  COLLECT FROM IKE Mar08 Jan11 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MEMPHIS Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Dec28 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 123 12.00    
4  WHAT A BLAST Mar16 Jan26 Jan12 Nov02 Oct09 (martin car)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
5  GRANDPA'S KID Mar15 Feb29 Feb11 Dec29 Dec15 (persaud randi)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 13% 6.40    
6  SEEKING UNITY Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 Nov03 Oct22 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.50    
7  APOLLO RISING Mar02 Jan12 Dec07 Oct13 Jul21 (walden willia)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-8   03/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT MILE Feb24 Jan13 Nov18 Oct20 Sep16 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50    
SCR  FREEZE POP Jun15 May20 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
2  SOUTH STREET Mar16 Feb29 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00    
2B  G MUNNING Feb16 Jan26 Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
3  QUICK HAMMER Feb16 Feb10 Dec28 Nov24 Sep16 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
4  AGILITY Feb17 Jan13 Dec30 Jul15 May29 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 Dec28 Dec09 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
6  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Feb29 Feb17 Jan06 Dec17 Nov24 (rice linda)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
7  CHALKY CAT Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Oct15 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PINEAPPLE MAN Feb24 Aug31 Jul03 May29 May06 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
9  THANK YOU JON Feb16 Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.