Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/10/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/10/5)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/5)-(2/10/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/5)-(2/10/7/8/5)-(2/10/7/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/10/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/10/5)-(2/1/5)-(6/4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3)-(5/2/7/9/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/2/7/9/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/2/7/9/1)-(1/5/7/8/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/9/1)-(5/2/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/9/1)-(5/2/7/9/1)-(5/2/7/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/9/1)-(1/5/7/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/9/1)-(1/5/7/8/9)-(7/5/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (1/5/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/8/9)-(1/5/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/8/9)-(1/5/7/8/9)-(1/5/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/7/8/9)-(7/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/8/9)-(7/5/4/1)-(3/1/5/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(3/1/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/1)-(3/1/5/8/9)-(11/1/2/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-9   WIN (3/1/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/8/9)-(3/1/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/8/9)-(3/1/5/8/9)-(3/1/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/8/9)-(11/1/2/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-10   WIN (11/1/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/2/4/9)-(11/1/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/2/4/9)-(11/1/2/4/9)-(11/1/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYAN'S CAT Jan07 Dec30 Dec07 Oct14 Apr01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
2  COMMERCE COMET Jan12 Nov16 Aug12 Jun06 Apr28 (englehart c)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE Dec30 Nov30 Sep13 Aug02 Jul01 (barker edward )LUZZI J 118 15.00    
4  LAFITTE'S FLEET Dec29 Nov04 Oct07 Sep02 Aug19 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
5  JUST CALL RAY Dec16 Nov19 Nov04 Oct22 Sep21 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
6  CANDY TYCOON Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.80 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-2   02/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPORT THE CAT Jan18 Jan04 Nov22 Oct16 Sep25 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
2  CAPTAIN PARTY Jan06 Jun23 Jun01 May06 Jul08 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
3  ENGLISH STORM Jan04 Dec10 Oct05 Jul26 Nov20 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
4  ALPHA SONNY Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 Jul21 Jul07 (ferraro j)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00    
5  FOUR EYES Jan18 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 (follett no)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAJESTIC ARC Jan18 Dec07 Nov10 Oct15 Sep22 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
7  WAR CHROME         (giangiulio)RIVERA R 117 8.00 ★    
8  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Mar30 Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 Nov11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 ★    
9  PERFECT OUTCOME Dec10 Nov04 Oct21 Sep21 Aug30 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
10  QOROKWE         (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 5% 17.70    
 
AQU-3   02/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPERMENTAL Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Aug11 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 10% 8.70    
2  TIMELY CONQUEST Nov16 Aug27 Aug11 Jun16   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 60% 0.70    
3  EROS'S GIRL Jan05 Dec07 Nov14 Oct02 Sep13 (ferraro antho)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
4  HARLAN'S BOND Jan12 Dec29 Dec17 Dec03 Nov09 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
5  RUVIES IN TIME Sep09 Aug12 Jul20 Jun16 Mar24 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEAK OF CHIC Jan11 Dec08 Nov15 Sep25 Jun12 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 1.40    
 
AQU-4   02/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE ABARRIO Jan01 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Oct07 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
2  MIDNIGHT WORKER Jan12 Dec10 Jun18 May13 Apr29 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
3  ANTHRACITE Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 Nov26 Nov10 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9% 10.30    
4  MONTEBELLO Dec03 Aug23 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  HATCH (GB) Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
6  DEVIL'S CAY Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 Oct08 Jul28 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.40 31% 2.20    
7  ROCK THE WEEKEND Jan13 Dec16 Dec10 Nov11 Oct21 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/03/2024 6270ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIC WAY Jan04 Nov26 Mar25 Mar10 Mar04 (barrera os)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
2  GOOD SKATE Jan07 Nov12 Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
3  IRON WORKS Jan01 Nov26 Nov11 Oct13 Sep17 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  KUCHAR Aug28 Jul21 May19 Apr06 Jul02 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM Dec29 Oct29 May29 Apr16 Apr01 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
6  LEADING CONTENDER Dec30 Nov30 Oct22 Sep03 Jul22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.50 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-6   02/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORE TIME Jan07 Dec29 Dec10 Sep14   (siculietano dan)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
1A  FRATELLINO Jan18 Dec29 Dec10 Sep21   (siculiet)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
2  LIBERTY CENTRAL Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov04   (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 10% 8.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
3  RED FLYER         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FREE AS TRISTAN by CRAFTY FRIEND)
4  JAXIMUS         (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by AL KHALI out of SAMMZILLA by PEACE RULES)
5  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Dec16         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60 61% 0.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
6  SWEPT Jan13 Nov11 Oct22 May28   (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 50.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAICHI SWEEPIN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
7  HE HAS IT ALL         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 6% 16.10    
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
8  AELFGAR         (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
9  SORORITY PRANK Dec29 Nov04 Oct04 Sep04   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
AQU-7   02/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARGAINING POWER Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Oct05 Aug17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
1A  DEPUTY CONNECT Dec28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 Sep01 (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  BASIC TRUTH May06 Mar25 Feb09 Jan05 Dec02 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 50.00    
3  FULL COMPLEMENT Nov23 Nov08 Oct26 Sep27 Aug24 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
4  OPPORTUNITY SET Jan11 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 Sep14 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
5  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Dec30 Dec09 Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  SCOTTO Jan06 Dec28 Dec17 Nov11 Oct15 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
7  NINETEEN OYSTERS Jul15 May06 Mar31 Feb24   (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  ICE ROAD Dec28 Nov25 Oct21 Aug31 Aug12 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 6% 15.80    
9  VERY DEBONAIRE Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Aug22 (belsoeur yvon)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SORPRESO Jan14 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct24 (delauro edw)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 30.00    
11  FLASHY ALEX Jan06 Dec17 Jan01 Dec04 Nov25 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Toboggan Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE ARMOR Jan12 Dec29 Nov26 Nov11 Sep03 (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of HOMESICK ANGEL by DIVINE PARK)
2  MURRAY Dec31 Nov02 Oct12 Sep15 Jun18 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of NOW NOW by DARBY CREEK LANCE)
3  MANNY WAH Dec30 Nov04 Oct06 Apr08 Feb18 (walden william)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  STAGE LEFT Dec30 Dec23 Dec08 Nov18 Oct27 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
5  SUPER CHOW Dec24 Nov20 Oct22 Aug05 Jul16 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  SKYLANDER Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul03 Jun09 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FITFUL SKIES by DUBAWI)
7  KINETIC SKY Dec31 Dec28 Nov17 Sep21 Sep15 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
 
AQU-9   02/03/2024 5940ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Withers Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED RUNNER Dec08 Oct08       (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED SUCCEEDS by GONE WEST)
2  DEPOSITION Dec30 Nov21 Nov14 Nov04 Oct14 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 50.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
3  LIGHTLINE Dec31 Oct14 Sep14     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of UPPERLINE by MARIA'S MON)
4  EL GRANDE O Jan06 Oct29 Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  SEMINOLE CHIEF Dec02 Oct21 Sep11     (sisterson j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 7% 12.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of SECRET SONG by DUNKIRK)
6  SOCIETY MAN Dec08 Jul22       (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
7  MISSION BEACH Dec22 Nov19 Sep04 Aug05   (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STOWESHOE by FLATTER)
8  UNCLE HEAVY Dec27 Nov28 Oct23     (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00 7% 12.60    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of EXPECT WONDERFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
9  KHANATE Jan06 Nov09 Oct11 Sep03 Aug10 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONGOLIAN SHOPPER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
AQU-10   02/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NYQUIST         (contessa g)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 12.00 18% 4.50    
2  ZHEN LOU Jan14 Dec31 Dec01     (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET Jan05 Sep15 Aug24     (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
4  MAMBAGIGI         (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 16% 5.20    
5  LADY LAWRENCE Jan11         (progno michael)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
6  AWESOME GLO Dec16 Oct08 Sep01     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
7  REZOOM Jan11         (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 6.00    
8  ALOTTA JAYS Jan11 Nov24 Oct20 Aug02   (schettino do)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
9  WILD MAGIC         (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMY'S LIGHT Jan05         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
11  LOVE LIKE CRAZY Dec28 Dec03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
12  JAY'S LOVE Jan05         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  MOTHER MARY Dec28 Nov24 Nov09 Sep15 Sep01 (brown br)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.