Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(4/5)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/1/5)-(1/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/2/6)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/1/4)-(4/8/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/8/7)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(2/6/5)-(5/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/1/6/2)-(8/2/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(8/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/7)-(8/2/9/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/7)-(8/2/9/7/3)-(8/2/9/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE SHE'S SHADOW Nov06 Aug30       (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
2  E STORMY Dec16         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SCR  WAKE UP LAUREN Nov03 Sep17       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
4  EXTRA DIRTY Dec28 Dec01 Nov24 Oct14 Aug13 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 120 8.00 ★    
5  NEXT ON STAGE Oct29 Oct07 Sep03 Aug06 Jun23 (de hor)RIVERA R 115 1.40 62% 0.60    
6  SIX PACK SENORITA Nov23 Oct13 Aug06     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
7  UNHEARD Apr12         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
AQU-2   01/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHASI Dec10 Nov25 Nov03 Oct08 Sep24 (donk david)RIVERA R 115 3.50 ★    
2  SHAYMYNAME Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Sep15 Jul08 (chichakly )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00    
SCR  LEMON TAFFY Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Mar05 Feb15 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
4  AFILADA Nov25 Apr27 Apr13 Apr02 Mar05 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 37% 1.70    
5  SHIGEKO Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug16 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
6  ALTERINA Dec10 Nov26 Nov03 Aug24 Jun15 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
 
AQU-3   01/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARN THAT SONG May09 Apr06 Feb11 Jan21 Dec30 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  TRADE SECRET Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 Aug03 Jun22 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00    
3  TOWERING GAZE Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 Aug28 (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
4  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 Aug16 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 47% 1.10    
5  CAPTIVATING CARA Dec07 Jul11 Jun15 Jun02 May04 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  MORE MANGO Nov24 Oct28 Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00    
7  GRINGOTTS Nov24 Nov09 Oct15 Aug16 Jul27 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 118 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON LIGHT         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CRIMSON FROST by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  PROFITABILITY Dec16 Nov20 Oct18     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of VICKI T by STREET SENSE)
3  UPTOMYKNEESINIT Dec02         (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 ★    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CALDWELL by MALIBU MOON)
4  PERNO Dec02         (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
SCR  AELFGAR         (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  VITALIZE         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
7  SHORE TIME Dec29 Dec10 Sep14     (siculietano d)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
8  WONDER WONDERLAND Nov16         (siculietano dan)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GENTLE GALE by STORM CAT)
 
AQU-5   01/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARA PARA Oct19 Sep22 Aug23 Aug04 Jun23 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 29% 2.40    
1A  SARATOGA KISSES Dec14 Nov19 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80    
2  STARRY MIDNIGHT Jan01 Dec03 Apr16 Feb19 Jan22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  REIGNING CHICK Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 Jul27 Jul03 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
4  VAX Dec30 Oct26 Sep24 Aug25 Jul02 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BON ADIEU Dec08 Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 Jul15 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  RACING COLORS Dec14 Nov16 Oct19 Sep22 Aug18 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
7  LADY FORTUNA Nov26 Sep03 Jul22 Jul02   (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
 
AQU-6   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY Dec09         (rice linda)RIVERA R 117 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BAKKEN BABY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
2  LOGIN REQUIRED Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Feb11 Dec16 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
3  XCELLENT MEN Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Aug03   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
4  LE BAR Jun18 Apr08       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  AUTHORIZE Dec08 Nov11       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of SIGN by OLYMPIO)
6  RIDE ON CALI Oct29         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CALISTOGA by CLAIM)
7  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Nov25 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 Jul07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  WAR STRIDE Dec09 Nov12 Sep17 Aug11   (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.50 5% 17.60    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
AQU-7   01/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SAFFA'S DAY Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun09 May19 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  THUNDERIAN Dec06 Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50    
2  DOT'S DOLLAR Nov18 Oct14 Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Sep09 Sep01 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
4  ONE MORE BREW Dec17 Dec03 Nov17 Oct22 Sep12 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
5  BRING ME A CHECK Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 (reynolds p)RIVERA R 115 2.00 22% 3.50    
6  PRINTRACK Dec09 Nov03 Oct04 Aug30 Aug04 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  RYAN'S CAT Dec30 Dec07 Oct14 Apr01 Mar19 (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   01/07/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THE LAW Dec10 Nov02 Jan06 Dec02 Oct02 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
2  CARPENTERS CALL Nov17 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Oct29 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00 6% 17.10    
3  GOOD SKATE Nov12 Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
4  LAUGHING BOY Nov22 Nov08 Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
5  OLYMPIC DREAMS Nov30 Oct29 Sep03 Aug02 May29 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  LUIGI'S SPIRIT Dec23 Dec02 Nov05 Oct13 Jun24 (sanchez-salomon)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
7  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Dec10 Oct19 Aug30 Jun04 Dec30 (morley tho)RIVERA R 113 10.00    
8  MONTAUK POINT Oct14 Sep02 Jul21 May18 Mar31 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
AQU-9   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXING THE BANK Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 Jun24 Jun16 (parker josep)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00    
2  GALATRONA Nov10 Oct06 Aug16 May27 Apr08 (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  FOLLOW THE FED Dec30 Nov25 Nov10 Oct06 Sep03 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 12.00 ★    
4  OUR REWARD Jan01         (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00    
5  FRANNIE LEW Jan20 Jan05 Dec16     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50    
6  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Dec08 Oct26 Sep14 Sep17   (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 4.50    
7  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Dec15 Nov25 Nov10 Jul23 Jun24 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 117 4.00 7% 14.20    
8  DREAM ON CARA Aug12 Jul03 Jun18 Jun01 Apr23 (friedman mit)HARKIE K 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
9  PRACTICAL MISS Nov26 Nov10 Aug25 Aug03 Jul21 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.