Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(8/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (8/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3/1)-(8/9/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/5/3)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/5/3)-(5/3/4)-(7/9/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(7/9/5/6)-(9/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/6)-(7/9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/6)-(7/9/5/6)-(7/9/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/5/6)-(9/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5/6)-(9/3/1/2)-(3/8/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-5   WIN (9/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/2)-(9/3/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/2)-(9/3/1/2/4)-(9/3/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/1/2)-(3/8/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/2)-(3/8/2/7)-(10/3/5/11/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (3/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/7)-(10/3/5/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/7)-(10/3/5/11/7)-(4/7/6/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-7   WIN (10/3/5/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/11/7)-(10/3/5/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/11/7)-(10/3/5/11/7)-(10/3/5/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/5/11/7)-(4/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/11/7)-(4/7/6/10)-(3/2/11/6/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-8   WIN (4/7/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/10)-(4/7/6/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/10)-(4/7/6/5/10)-(4/7/6/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/10)-(3/2/11/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/10)-(3/2/11/6/9)-(9/12/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-9   WIN (3/2/11/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/11/6/9)-(3/2/11/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/11/6/9)-(3/2/11/6/9)-(3/2/11/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/11/6/9)-(9/12/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-10   WIN (9/12/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/2/3)-(9/12/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/12/2/3)-(9/12/2/3)-(9/12/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CAJUN LADY Oct19 Sep07 Aug11 Jul19 Jul05 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 114 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  TEXAS TWINKIES Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Sep13 Jun11 (broberg k)TORRES A 117 3.50 ★    
3  MINNIE'S READY Oct12 Sep29 Sep11 Jul31 Jul08 (von ke)JORDAN R 117 4.50 9% 10.20    
4  BYZANTINE Nov04 May25 Apr27 Feb17 Jan21 (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  SHE BE SHEEHAN Jun27 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr14 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 112 8.00    
6  HIGHLY CREATIVE Nov13 Aug30 Jul03 May27 May13 (rarick wade)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00    
7  CUPID'S MUSIC Nov24 Nov09 Oct25 Sep24 Sep08 (durham danele)ZIMMERMAN R 123 8.00    
 
OP-2   12/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Feb02 Jan05 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
2  ZAP MOTION Oct11 Sep23 Jul03 Dec17 Oct19 (durham danele)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
3  ASSUMPTION Oct27 Jan16       (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 119 15.00 8% 12.30    
4  AIN'T THAT A KICK Dec02 Oct27 Oct14 Dec18 Nov18 (petalino joe)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
5  RUNNINGFORCASH Oct26 Aug07 Jul02 Jun09 May20 (anderson dou)FUENTES A 119 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  STAR NATION Nov10 Sep14 Aug30 Aug20 Aug06 (hartlage gary)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 10.00    
7  PHILHARMONIC Nov04 Oct02 Jun23 Jun01 Oct14 (zito p)HARR KELSI 119 20.00    
8  BEN DREAMING Jul08 Jun25 May28 May04 Apr02 (divito ja)TORRES A 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
9  HUMOR ME NOW Dec02 May28 Apr30 Mar23   (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
OP-3   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION DAME         (witt erni)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
2  BODI ODI Nov18 Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 (northrop debra)COURT K 122 20.00    
3  TRUE EMOTION Sep11 Aug14 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (anderson )DE CRUZ 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
4  LEGALLY LUCKY Nov14 Oct01 Sep07 Jul02   (calhoun w)TORRES A 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
5  GOING THE DISTANCE Nov01 Sep15 Aug25 Mar26 Mar01 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  K'ANTHEIA Apr13 Mar25       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 1.80    
7  POPPERINA         (moquett )HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
 
OP-4   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAMBA OUT Nov22 Oct22 Sep14 Jul29 Jul08 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00    
2  GRACEFUL MOON Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29   (cline n)HARR KELSI 117 30.00    
3  CANDY COOP Jul30 Jul01 Jun17 Apr22 Mar26 (compton )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
4  ACCELERATING BABE Aug13 Jun08 Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 (cravens r)TORRES A 122 20.00    
5  CALLIN FOR DOLLARS         (anderson )DE CRUZ 122 12.00 7% 12.90    
6  KAMIKAZE BLUE Nov08 Oct19 Oct05 Aug30 Aug09 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  OH MY GAWD Oct12         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.00 60% 0.70    
8  ADIVA Nov17 Oct28 Feb03 Dec21 Nov04 (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00    
9  SMOKIN MOTION         (hewitt michael)ZIMMERMAN R 119 20.00 8% 11.20    
 
OP-5   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LA CARTE Nov03 Oct07 Aug19 Jul22 Jun01 (williams )TORRES A 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  BOAT SONG Oct28 Sep14 Sep02 May27 Apr23 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
3  KINGDOM Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 May24 Apr15 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  SUMMER IN MALIBU Oct25 Sep22 Aug26 Aug03 Apr15 (combs be)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 ★    
5  HUNTSVILLE Nov02 Oct12 Apr15 Mar04   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
6  PASS LINE Nov02 Oct12 Sep17 Aug19 Jul22 (contreras)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
7  RAVEN'S NEST Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Jan28 Jan05 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 20.00    
8  FAN THE FIRE Nov02 Oct07       (sharp joe)CHUAN MARTIN 120 5.00    
9  OLLIEMEISTER Nov22 Jan15 Dec18 Nov24 Oct09 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
OP-6   12/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIFIABLY SO Sep02         (zito p)JUAREZ NIK 121 30.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BE MY PROSPECT by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  GENO'S MYTH Nov15         (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LONGTIME LOVE by SMART STRIKE)
3  LAT LONG Nov25 Oct28 Oct14 Sep22   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AMEN SISTA by STREET CRY)
4  COMMON DEFENSE         (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of ALLUSION by MR. PROSPECTOR)
5  MASMAK Nov12 Sep22       (cox brad )TORRES A 121 4.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  LEFT TACKLE Nov04         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CAREER FAIR by STORM CAT)
7  NO JUDGMENT Oct26 Sep17       (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
8  GIVE ME A REASON Nov04         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DREAM OF SUMMER by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
 
OP-7   12/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL MOON Nov11 Oct27 Sep28 Aug26 Jul19 (donaldson jerry)COURT K 122 20.00    
2  CITRUS BAY Dec09 Sep04 Jul29 Jul03 Jun03 (tranquilin)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 30.00    
3  EFFICIENCY Nov10 Jul09 Jun04 Apr23 Apr01 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  EASY BIG BOY Dec09 Nov20 Sep23 Sep11 Jul22 (hewitt m)HERNANDEZ J 116 30.00    
5  UNDER THE GUN Nov24 Aug24 Jul04 May27 Apr29 (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  HOLDING PATTERN May04 Mar23 Mar02 Feb11 Jan08 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 15.00    
7  MARVELOUS THUNDER Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Dec10 Sep14 (cline n)HARR KELSI 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MALIBU S S Nov24 Nov03 Sep29 Sep09 Aug12 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 10.00    
9  BELLA'S PRAYER Oct30 Oct11 May16 Apr18 Jan22 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
10  GOOD SCOUT Aug07 Jun17 May18 Apr30 Mar18 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
11  SHACKS WAY Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 Oct13 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  GOLD BARON Nov10 Sep14 Aug19 Jun17 Jun09 (durham danel)FUENTES A 124 15.00    
SCR  MISTER SHARPIE Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50    
SCR  HE'S A BOMB Oct19 Sep22 Aug07 Jun22 May29 (cravens ronn)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
 
OP-8   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($140K) 2 F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEEKY GAL Nov10 Oct21 Sep09 Aug06   (miller pe)TORRES A 117 6.00    
2  EDISTRUDIS Oct30 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jun10 (gutierrez faus)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00    
3  FEISTY MITOLE Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 Aug13 Jul22 (miller p)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
4  COASTAL INVASION Oct29         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
5  DIVINE GAL Nov18         (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 ★    
6  ILLUSIVE STAR Nov21 Oct30 Sep18     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00 21% 3.70    
7  SARATOGA SECRET Nov25 Jul13 Jun23     (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 117 5.00 21% 3.70    
8  READY FOR TROUBLE Nov08 Oct21 Sep27 Aug01   (hartman c)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
9  TORTUGA ISLAND Oct24 Oct07 Aug19     (becker scott)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
10  XTREME DIVA Oct27 Sep09 Aug09     (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-9   12/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAMESAKE Oct17 Jul09 Jun19 Apr08 Mar17 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00    
2  O P FIRECRACKER Nov10 Oct14 Sep09 Aug28 Jul23 (medina ro)TORRES A 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
3  WINNEMAC AVENUE Oct19 Aug04 Jul09 May04 Apr22 (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  HARLEEZY Nov04 Sep27 Sep02 Aug10 Jul29 (hartlage g)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
5  J J'S JOKER Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 Aug19 Feb18 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 119 12.00    
6  RIGHT TONE Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 Aug25 Jan15 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 125 12.00 6% 14.50    
7  TEJAS Nov17 Jun03 May06 Apr15 Mar11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 117 15.00    
8  CAN'T HUSH THIS Nov02 Oct08 Sep14 Aug13 Jul21 (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
9  BIZZY LEGS Oct13 Sep23 Sep07 Apr30 Mar31 (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Sep09 Jul09 May27 May06 Apr15 (hornsby tammy)QUINONEZ S 115 30.00    
11  ELUSIVE TARGET Nov07 Sep13 Jul11 Jun20 May08 (shirer matt )FUENTES A 120 12.00 15% 5.70    
12  TEN DAYS LATER Nov17 Oct19 Sep24 Jan01 Nov26 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 117 3.00    
SCR  TAKE THE CHARGE Oct24 Sep30 Aug13 Jul13 Jun10 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Nov19 Oct14 Aug24 Jul21 Jun23 (miller p)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
 
OP-10   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMAZING WISDOM Nov03 Oct14 Aug31 Jun15 May13 (cravens ronnie)QUINONEZ S 121 10.00    
2  TOPF ROAD RULES Nov13 Oct24 Sep28 Sep07 Aug28 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 15% 5.80    
3  COURTNEY FAY Nov03 Sep21 May04 Apr14 Mar17 (durham danel)JORDAN R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHOCTAW ZIP Apr08 Jan20 Dec31 Dec10 Sep13 (witt erni)TORRES A 115 5.00    
5  BLACK APPLE May14 Apr16 Mar10 Jan21 Dec31 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
6  CLASSY SOCKS Sep22 Jun25 Jun04 Mar23 Mar05 (vance d)HARR KELSI 118 6.00    
7  AFLEET SKY Jun19 May06 Apr16 Mar23 Feb26 (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00    
8  TABLE MONEY Aug06 Jul13 Jun07 May06 Apr16 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 115 20.00    
9  JIM NED Dec02 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 Apr02 (pish dann)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  WHERE'S RANDY Nov11 Apr16 Mar11 Apr09 Mar18 (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
11  READY SHOES Jul07 Jun04 May13 Apr29 Mar05 (wilson melto)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00    
12  JACKS SPRING BREAK Nov03 Oct04 Sep01 Jul06 Jun14 (donaldson jerry)COURT K 125 10.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  IMPLICATOR Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 Sep02 Jul02 (broberg k)TORRES A 123 3.50    
SCR  MACHO RONNIE May12 Apr07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.