Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (9/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (8/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (3/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (3/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-9   Win (3/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-10   Win (10/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   12/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOMYKNEESINIT         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
PERNO         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAIR ON FIRE Oct05         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  SILVER POCKET         (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
DOC SULLIVAN         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
FRANKIE R. Nov12         (coffey marialice)USKE S 119 30.00    
LIBERTY CENTRAL Nov04         (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
SOLO EMPIRE         (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
BIG PRANKSTER Nov18 Oct04       (clement christo)SILVERA RUBEN 119 1.40 49% 1.10    
 
AQU-2   12/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CAPI         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
KING MENDELSSOHN         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
VINO BARBARINO         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CONQUEST WARRIOR         (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
HOP SING         (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
IGNITE THE LIGHT Nov04 Sep16       (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
SPEED CONTROL Oct21         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
COOL OPERATOR         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
AQU-3   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BURN May14 Mar25 Feb20 Jan20 Dec11 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
WINIT Nov02 Feb05 Jan06 Nov27 Oct29 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
TRAFALGAR Oct01 Sep14 Aug05 Jul01 May25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
GUNTOWN Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
BOURBON CALLING Nov02 Oct01 Aug18 Jul16 Jun17 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 6% 14.40    
SYNTHESIS Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
GILDED AGE Sep24 Jun22 May25 Sep24 Aug27 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SET SAIL Sep28 Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 May14 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  MONTAUK POINT Oct14 Sep02 Jul21 May18 Mar31 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 123 12.00    
 
AQU-4   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN A MINUTE Nov18 Oct13 Sep14     (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 7% 14.00    
BLUE MARBLE Oct20 Oct05       (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 10.00    
DRINKING SOLO Nov02 Oct04 Aug11     (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 7% 12.40    
SCOOP THE POT Nov03 Aug03       (hennig mark)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
SEBA M Oct19         (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
MORQ Nov21 Oct19       (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
NEPTUNE BEACH         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 49% 1.00    
KING FREUD Nov03 Oct14 Aug24     (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 12% 7.50    
JEFFERSONS OCEAN Oct20 Oct05       (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
 
AQU-5   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Nov10 Nov02 Jul04 May13 May05 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  KINGDOM Dec01 Nov11 Oct24 May24 Apr15 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 5.00    
AULA Nov17 Oct13 Sep25 Jul26 Jul01 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
SCREW LOOSE Nov10 Sep21 Aug17 Jul08 Jun01 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
STJAMES Nov10 Aug20 Jul28 Jun04 May11 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
MANDATORY May13 Apr20 Mar24 Feb19 Jan29 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Oct21 Sep22 Sep01 Jun15 Apr30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
CLOUD FOREST Oct20 Sep14 Jul19 Jun17 Apr02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN LAW Nov09 Oct06 Sep16 Sep01 Jul22 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 51% 0.90    
SCR  BIG VENEZUELA Oct06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 May28 (wilson faith)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
SCR  VODKA MARDINI Nov09 Oct13 Feb02 Jan08 Dec15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
 
AQU-6   12/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Nov03 Oct14 Sep09 Sep01 Jul22 (toscano t)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
POWER SEEKER Oct26 Oct29       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
OVERSTEP Feb19 Jan26       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
BAD TO THE BONES Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 May28 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Oct29 Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Jul23 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
ROCCO STRONG Oct21 Sep21 Aug10 Jun25 May27 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
FENWICK Nov05 Aug20 Jul08 Oct30 Oct01 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
DARK VECTOR Oct26 Aug25 Jul08 Jun10 May21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
TETSU Nov12 Oct28 Oct18 Aug18 Jul22 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  LUNI SIMA Oct21 Sep28 Jun10 May21 Apr14 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
 
AQU-7   12/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 MUDDY Demoiselle Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZEE RAGS Nov10 Oct15       (michael br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
DOLOMITE Oct22 Sep01       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
LIFE TALK Nov03 Oct07 Aug31 Jul30   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
MOST OF ALL Oct20 Sep03 Aug20     (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
VINO ROUGE Nov05 Oct01 Aug13     (dutrow w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  CARESS Nov11 Oct05       (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SHIMMERING ALLURE Nov05 Oct06 Sep20 Aug13 Jul16 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
RINGY DINGY Oct13 Sep17 Jul30     (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jul27   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-8   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Go Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SADDLE UP JESSIE Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 Jul22 Jun17 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
DR B Sep23 Aug26 Jul26 Jun17 May14 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00    
VENTI VALENTINE Oct29 Oct02 Aug09 Jun24 May29 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Oct29 Oct04 Aug09 Jul20 May26 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
TIZZY IN THE SKY Nov03 Oct04 Aug30 Nov25 Oct28 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
GERRYMANDER Aug19 Jul19 Jun24 May06 Apr07 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
GOOD SAM Oct04 Jul29 Jun15 Nov06 Oct02 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-9   12/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 MUDDY Remsen Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE DOM BRO Aug10 Jul21 Jun17     (cordero en)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00    
DOMESTIC PRODUCT Oct27 Aug05       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
DORNOCH Oct14 Aug26 Jul29     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
MOONLIGHT Oct29 Sep28 Jul29     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
DRUM ROLL PLEASE Oct06 Sep01 Jul29     (cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BILLAL Nov05 Oct08 Aug25     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
SIERRA LEONE Nov04         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
WHERE'S CHRIS Nov05 Oct08 Sep14     (dutrow richard)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
COPPER TAX Nov11 Oct14 Sep27 Sep01 Jun28 (capuano a)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
10  PRIVATE DESIRE Nov05 Sep16 Jul29     (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
 
AQU-10   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC13 MUDDY Cigar Mile Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL MISSION Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Apr22 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 12.00 11% 8.00    
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS Oct28 Sep23 Aug05 Jun22 May06 (cox h)TORRES A 119 4.00 33% 2.10    
SENOR BUSCADOR Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 Jul29 May29 (fincher todd )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.50    
CASCAIS Oct21 Nov06 Oct01     (brown c)ORTIZ L 114 20.00    
DR ARDITO Oct28 Sep23 Aug11 May29 May05 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
HIGH OAK Oct27 Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 Jun09 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
THREE TECHNIQUE Nov04 Sep30 Jul01 May27 May06 (cook b)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
OFFALY COOL Oct17 Sep04 Jul28 Jun26 Jun07 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 117 20.00    
CASTLE CHAOS Nov02 Sep16 Aug13 Jul23 Jun03 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  ACCRETIVE Oct28 Oct01 Sep02 Jul22 Aug27 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
11  HOIST THE GOLD Nov04 Oct06 Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
12  PIPELINE Oct01 Aug26 Aug03 Nov05 Aug27 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.