Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/1)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/3/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/3/2/6)-(2/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/6)-(2/6/1)-(7/6/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(7/6/3/2)-(6/7/1/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(6/7/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(6/7/1/8/10)-(3/2/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/7/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8/10)-(6/7/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8/10)-(6/7/1/8/10)-(6/7/1/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/1/8/10)-(3/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/8/10)-(3/2/6/5)-(2/1/11/7/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (3/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/5)-(2/1/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/5)-(2/1/11/7/8)-(7/12/3/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-8   WIN (2/1/11/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/11/7/8)-(2/1/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/11/7/8)-(2/1/11/7/8)-(2/1/11/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/11/7/8)-(7/12/3/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-9   WIN (7/12/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/3/5/4)-(7/12/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/3/5/4)-(7/12/3/5/4)-(7/12/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDLESS GLOW Oct11 Sep14 Aug17 Jun29 Jun08 (ramirez ricardo)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  MORINGA Oct25 Sep29 Sep11 Jun29 Jun02 (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
3  LOCK IT UP Feb29 Jan18       (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
4  QUEEN CLANCY Sep19 Aug25 Jul27 May25 Apr28 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.00    
5  QUIET CONFIDENCE Oct11 Aug02 Jul06     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
 
CD-2   11/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORAL DILEMMA Jul28         (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAKO Oct25         (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 6.00    
3  ZAPHOD Jul22 Jun24 Jun04     (walden wi)TORRES A 124 3.50 ★    
4  FAST SOLUTION         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
5  SKELLY ROAD Oct10 Sep15 Oct22     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00    
6  AHUMADO Oct14 Oct03 Sep12 Aug27   (meredith char)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
 
CD-3   11/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMP AKEELA Jul19 Jun18 May14 Apr14 Mar11 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
2  CURLIN'S MAGIC Oct10 Jun23 Jun08 May03 Feb02 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 6% 16.50    
3  TAMMY'S CRUISER Oct24 Aug14 Jun12 Apr27 Apr05 (mccarthy )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
4  SMART WITH HEART Oct16 Oct05 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 (bahena ismael)MEZA JJ 118 15.00    
5  SPLASH MASTER Oct16 Sep19 Feb17 Jan19 Nov19 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  EDGE OF TOWN Oct31 Sep20 Jul27 Jun26 May16 (pessin l)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CANDY CRAZE Oct17 Sep20 Aug17 Jul21 Jun05 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
8  CAIRO STREET Oct10 Sep08 Jul27 May10 Dec09 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00    
 
CD-4   11/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOIN THE DANCE Oct17 Sep11 Jul06 Jun13 May03 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Oct17 Sep05 Aug04 Jul07 Jun02 (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  TAKE A STAND Oct25 Oct07 Aug26 Jul06 Jun01 (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00    
4  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Oct17 Sep11 Aug14 Apr21 Mar23 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 ★    
5  STYLISH SUE Oct04 Aug29 Jul13 Jun21 May28 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
6  CALLIE'S GRIT Oct07 Aug26 Jul28 Jun20 Dec30 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  SELENAIA (IRE) Oct17 May18 Apr04 Sep03 Aug04 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE Oct06 Sep18 Jul04 Jun19 May29 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
2  REFUAH Nov03 Oct13 Jul18 Jul06 Jun14 (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TWO EAGLES RIVER Nov06 Oct19 Sep11 Jun30 May27 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
4  FIRST PLAYER Oct25 Sep26 Aug18 Jun23 Jun06 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
5  PANCAKE HOUSE Sep25 Aug18 Jul15 Jun06 May11 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 120 10.00    
6  POWERFUL Sep11 Aug11 Jul04 May18 Apr21 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
7  PROPRIETARY TRADE Oct10 Aug11 Jul19 Jun02 May05 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
8  BLACK POWDER Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 Aug03 Jun19 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
 
CD-6   11/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY CLASSY         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 10% 8.80    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of ELOWEASEL by CITY ZIP)
SCR  RED ZONE         (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of CARLETON GRINNELL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
3  DIVA BEACH         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MISSY'S ADVANTAGE by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
4  SWEET BEBSI Oct06 Sep23 Aug29 Jul13   (walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
5  REAGAN ALICE Oct06 Sep11       (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  CARIBBEAN WIND Oct19 Apr24       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ANTILLIA by SLEW OF ANGELS)
7  DESERT ADVENTURE         (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of DUBAI ESCAPADE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  SPLENDID (IRE)         (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of PRANCING by TAPIT)
9  TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE Oct12 Sep20       (catalano )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SCHON by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  CHANDON         (barker )DE CRUZ 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BOUDICEA'S REVENGE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
11  EASILY SIDETRACKED         (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
12  BEADED         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of LASSOFTHEMOHICANS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
13  RATIONAL THEORY Sep27 Aug18       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of AUNT DOROTHY by UNCLE MO)
SCR  B D'S ANGEL         (duvall william)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BIG IDEA by ORB)
SCR  WICKED EYES         (torres conc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of HAIL TO ROCKNROLL by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PINK DINI         (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRO PINK by TOUCH GOLD)
 
CD-7   11/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINN'S PROMISE Oct18 Sep14 Jul29 Jul04   (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
2  STABLE CURRENCY Oct18 Sep26 Sep08     (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  AMARTH Oct18 Sep20       (kenneally )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
4  BLESS THE BROKEN Oct18 Jul05       (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
5  RUN CAMILA RUN Oct04 Sep12 Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 (decker an)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  EUNOMIA Oct10 Sep13 Aug03     (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
7  MIZMALICE Oct18 Sep25 Aug17     (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTADORE Oct23 Sep05 Aug04 Jun22 Apr27 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Oct23 Aug31 Jul28 Jun08 Feb17 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  BUSHIDO Aug20 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
4  B D VALESKI Oct17 Sep11 Aug11 Jun22 May25 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
5  GILDED RULER Oct17 Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Oct16 Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 May19 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
7  URBAN LEGEND Oct11 Sep01 Jul06 May24 Dec26 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 7% 12.60    
8  PORTOFINO Oct17 Sep07 Jul07 May24 Mar28 (orseno jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FOXTROTANNA Oct05 Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 Jun11 (wojczynski j)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00    
10  BAD BEAT BRIAN Oct25 Jun08 May04 Apr06 Dec31 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 10.00    
11  MASSETO (GB) Oct20 Sep22 Jul01 Jun15 Jun05 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  FINSTER Sep18 Aug05 Aug08     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  FAST JACK Aug13 Jun11 May26 Apr16 Jun13 (becker sc)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
SCR  HIGH FRONT Oct25 Sep02 Aug15 Jul04 Sep22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKIN LOOSE Oct18 Sep27 Jun20 Jun02 Mar23 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
2  SOUTH DECATUR Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 Sep05 Aug17 (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
3  UNCLE BERLEY Sep29 Sep12 Aug03 Jul14 Jul04 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  BYE BYE LIAM Oct30 Sep27 Aug22 Feb18 Jan13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SERGEANT GUMP Oct19 Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 (decker an)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
6  CHITWOOD Sep27 Aug05 May01 Mar08 Feb09 (foley greg)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00    
SCR  DUTCH MILLS Oct09 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun13 (compton greg)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
8  ICEATUDE Sep18 Aug29 Aug05 Jun20 May30 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
9  BETTERING Sep27 Jun12 May18 Apr27 Feb02 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00    
10  HUNTERTOWN Oct16 Jun05 May21 Apr24 Apr03 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
11  CITY OF CLOUDS Oct18 Sep29 Sep12 Jul13 Jun08 (combs bent)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
12  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Oct09 Aug30 Jun16 May27 Mar09 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.