Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/3/7/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-2   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (6/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (6/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (1/5/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (9/3/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (7/9/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-11   Win (11/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-12   Win (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-13   Win (16/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUT NOW AM FOUND Aug03         (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
MONTE AVI Jul19         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
FRIDAY SURPRISE Aug08 Jul23       (st u)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 2.50 29% 2.40    
PRINTER'S ALLEY         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 41% 1.50    
BURNING MUNNY Jul19         (brion keri)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
TAPWRITS TEMPER Aug21 Aug08 Jul12 May24   (potts wayne)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
EXECUTIVE ORDER         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 6% 17.20    
AMERICA'S HONOR Aug22 Jun21       (sacco d)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
BERNIE GOES BOOM         (miceli michael)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLEX AGENDA         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
AUTHENTIC GALLOP Jul20         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL PRESENCE Aug10         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
GO LONG         (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
BATTLE DRUM (FR)         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
STATESMAN Aug10         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 44% 1.30    
CYCLONE STATE Aug03 Jul06       (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
EARLY ADOPTER (GB)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
EXECUTIVE         (mott i)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
10  GOTTA GUY         (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  ACADEMY Jul20         (motion graha)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  HELICITY Jul20 Jun07       (sisterson jack)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  ATOMIC AGE Jul27         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
SCR  WISE DECISION         (lukas wayne)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  COOPER Jul20         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  SHERMAN FURY Jul27         (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET ROD Jan19 Jul14       (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug04 Jun14 May09 Apr28 Mar22 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
TWISTED FILIGREE Aug21 Jul14 Jun16 May12   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
STOP THE SPREAD Aug18 Jul21 Jul14 Jun06 Apr12 (caramori edu)RIVERA R 122 30.00    
KREESA Jul21 Jun22 May25 Apr21 Nov11 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
YOUR MAN ALEX Jul14 Jun22 May26     (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
NANO MAN Jul20 Jun29 May26 Nov18 Oct04 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
HEYMACKIT'SJACK Jul13 Jun22 May26 May13 Mar17 (begg bent)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
IRISH TENOR Jul31 Jun14 May26 Apr04 Mar10 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  N Y ANTHEM Jun19 Jun04 May22 Nov21 Aug16 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 124 3.50    
SCR  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Aug16 Jul31 Jun28 Jun09 May17 (paragallo je)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
SCR  TALL PAUL Oct16 Sep25 Aug12 Jul23   (baffert bob)RIDER TBA 118 1.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YINGLE BELLS Aug11 Mar23       (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 114 15.00    
SCR  TORPEDO RUN Aug03 Jul12 Sep06 May01 Apr09 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  CASONA         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
CONNIVING Jul24 May12 Apr12 Mar10 Mar03 (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Jun21 Apr19 Apr03 Feb02 Jan24 (paragallo je)RIVERA R 124 10.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  COWBOY LUKE Aug17 Jul24 May30 Apr24 Oct07 (quartaro)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
CONFABULATION Jul31         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
SHAKIN THE BELLE Jul24 Jun28 May25 Apr21 Mar30 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
FORCED ERRORS Aug02 Jun21       (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET STREET Aug04 Jul26 May18 Apr27 Apr05 (lukas wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  TOP GUNNER Aug04 Jul13 May05 Apr19 Mar03 (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
SCR  SCOOT DADDY Jun16 Mar24 Jan17 Nov05 Oct22 (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
LIGHT MAN Aug08 Jul05 May17 Feb29 Jan27 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
FEDERAL JUDGE Jul20 Jun10 May06 Apr01   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
ACCRETIVE Jul26 Jun08 May03 Apr07 Jan27 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Aug08 Jan28 Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
PRO OXIDANT Jun16 May16 Mar14 Jan19 Nov23 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLET SANDS         (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
CAT CHAT         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
MOONLIGHT PROMISES Aug08 May16       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
FOUND GRACE         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
LAURICE         (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
BRINDI (IRE) Jul18         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
BOURBON MILK PUNCH         (sisterson jack)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
TAKE ME TO PARIS         (moubarak nad)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
TAM I AM         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
10  BLACK DOG Jul21 Jun28       (amoss m)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  PANACHE Jul21 Jun21       (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  YESTERDAY (IRE) Jul21         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
SCR  MITOLETA         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  VESPERA         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THERESASILVERLININ Jul17 Jun27 Apr27 Mar01 Feb02 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
RELIABLE LADY Jul12 May19 Apr04 Mar03   (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
BEST IMPRESSION Mar10 Jan27       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 12% 7.50    
ZADORSKY Aug03 Jun28 May25 Nov25 Oct29 (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
CARA'S TIME Jul19 Jun15 Feb18 Jan14 Nov18 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
NIKITIS Aug03 Jun30 Apr07 Feb03 Dec01 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CATCHING HEAT Jun15 May09 Apr07 Mar09   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
CRUSHED ICE Jul28 Jul11 Jun20 May17 Mar27 (quartarolo anth)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
MISS ENCHANTED Aug03 Jul06 Jun06 Feb18 Jan04 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCAS'S MISCHIEF Jul20         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
GUNS LOADED         (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
TAP INTO THIS Jun27         (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
DAPPER MOON Jul20         (stewart da)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 28% 2.50    
RUN OF THE HOUSE         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAKES SENSE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
CAPRICIOUS OUTCOME         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
WELL SUITED         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
OUR FAVORITE SON         (bauer a)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
10  CAPO LUCA         (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  MONTANA CAFE         (moquett ronald)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
SCR  I GOT GAME Aug03 Jun20 May30     (amoss m)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  RIPPED Aug03         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  MATH TUTOR Aug03         (antonucci m)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
 
SAR-9   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCCULLOUGH Jun30 Feb18 Dec24 Nov06   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
FLY RIGHT Aug02 May19 Apr13 Mar16 Feb15 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 13% 7.00    
RAMBLIN' WRECK Jul13 Jun16 Oct28 Sep16 Aug17 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Aug04 Jun14 Mar24 Feb25 Jan28 (hennig m)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNLEASH THE POWER Aug02 Jun30 May31 Sep17 Aug16 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00    
BARRAGE Jun16 May11 Nov18 Oct06 Aug17 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
O CAPTAIN Jun27 Apr27 Mar30 Mar03 Jul21 (delgado gu)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 9% 10.20    
VICTORS VALIANT Aug07 Jul06 Jun07 May04 Apr14 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SAMBURU (GB) Jul13 Jun16 May27 Apr26 Feb22 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
10  LAUREL VALLEY Aug17 Jul28 Jun20 May03 Apr06 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER CAUSE Apr06 May13 Apr15 Feb26 Jan21 (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  OWN THE FIELD Aug07 Jul18 Jun07 Apr21 Apr07 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80    
 
SAR-10   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 GOOD Prioress Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIUCCIA Jul13 Jun01 Apr14 Mar17 Feb11 (delgado gustavo)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
AUTUMN EVENING Jul04 May04 Mar09 Dec20   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
TRICKY TEMPER Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun09 Jan14 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 6% 16.00    
BELLE'S BLUE BELL Aug03 Jun29 May17 Apr14 Mar13 (david carl)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
CARMELINA Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May17 Apr06 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PACIFIC ROSE Jul26 Jun28 Mar09 Feb16 Dec09 (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
TWO SHARP Aug02 Jun29       (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 42% 1.40    
LADY MOSCATO Jul12 Jun28 May17 May03 Apr12 (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
BRIGHTWORK Nov03 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-11   08/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Spinaway Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 5:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMMERSIVE Jul21         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
SHERBINI Jul11 Jun16       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
RELIABLE SOURCE Jul28 Jun26       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
TIZ PURPLE Aug07 Jul04       (delgado jorge)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SLANG Jul11 Jun07 May17     (casse w)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SALTED Jul21 May31       (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
PONDERING Jul22         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
THE QUEENS M G Aug04 Jul11 Jun06 Apr07   (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
STRONG STATE Jul11 Jun16       (stall m)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
10  BELLACOSE Jul17         (englehart jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
11  QUIETSIDE Aug04         (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-12   08/31/2024 7260ft TURF RC13 YIELDING Flower Bowl Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR LIKE GODDESS Jul07 Jun07 Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.40 31% 2.30    
SCR  LA MEHANA (FR) Jul07 May03 Mar30     (clement christophe)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
PARNAC (FR) Aug01 May03 Oct07 Sep02 Jul01 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) Aug01 Oct14 Sep16     (appleby charles)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
MILLIE GIRL Aug10 Jun29 Jun01 Dec03 Nov11 (day-phillips c)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  NEECIE MARIE Aug11 Jul13 Jun07 May11 Nov24 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
MCKULICK (GB) Aug01 Jun07 May03 Mar30 Nov04 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Jul25 Oct07 Sep09 Jul09 Nov05 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
VERBIER (IRE) Aug06 Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (beckett ralph)GREATREX EDWARD 118 10.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul11 Jun21 May10 Dec28 Oct29 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
 
SAR-13   08/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER AND OLLIE Jul12 Jun16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul09 (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00    
SCR  HEATHGUARD Jul12 Jun29 Apr27 Mar30 Dec01 (lerman s)RIVERA R 125 15.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE Aug02 Jun29 Jun23 May27 May09 (pregman jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
MIZTERTONIC Jul25 Jun29 Apr29     (brion keri)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 22% 3.60    
MR. MENDELSSOHN Jun07 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 Feb11 (toscano t)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
SCR  JHIRSCH Aug02 Jun29 May25 Apr06 Mar02 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
DEVILSGOTACAUSE Jul24 Jul13 Jun21 May04 Mar23 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  OUR COUNTRY Jul12 Sep14 Aug10 Jul14 May11 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
KICK A BUCK Aug04 Jun15 Apr21 Feb10   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE Jul18 Jun28 May25 May17 Mar07 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
SCR  FRONT MAN Aug24 Jul12 Jun29 May26 Nov18 (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
SCR  PALACE VIEW (IRE) Aug02 Jul12 Jun23 Mar24 Feb25 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
SCR  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Aug17 Jul20 Jun20 Apr28 Nov03 (russell brittany )CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
SCR  ROAD SODA Jun07 May12 Apr27 Mar24   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 15.00    
15  STRAPPED Jul27 May18 Oct07 Sep28 Sep14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40    
16  KAHALA Aug04 Jun29 May10 Apr17 Mar08 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 125 4.00 34% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.