Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (3/7/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (9/10/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (14/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (6/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-12   Win (9/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW BERN May25 Apr18 Apr06 Sep14 Aug26 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00    
DR KRINGLE Jun08 May23 Apr25 Mar23 Jan25 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  MY FRIEND LOUIE Jun07 May04 Apr12 Mar13 Feb08 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
COPPER ECHO Jun09 Apr28 Mar23 Mar02 Jan27 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
I'M YOUR MAN May31 May05 Mar23 Nov23 Nov01 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
MONTEVALLO May31 May09 Apr14 Mar22 Feb15 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
MO RHODES May31 Apr24 Mar02 Oct29 Aug11 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
HITTING BOMBS Feb08 Jan04 Nov09     (lynch a)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
CD-2   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAHALA May10 Apr17 Mar08 Feb29 Feb03 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  BOOGIE BODE May26 May05 Apr05 Mar01 Feb09 (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
HAROLD'S CLOUD Jun02 May09 Apr11 Mar06 Feb08 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
HOME RUN TRICK May04 Apr26 Mar17 Feb02 Dec15 (brennan terry)TORRES A 118 6.00    
GREY STREAK Jun07 May01 Mar22 Feb01 Dec01 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE May26 Apr11 Sep02 Aug10 Feb04 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SAQEEL May26 Apr20 Mar21 Jan06 Dec02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
ALL WEST May10 Apr17 Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 (vance thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN May26 May10 Mar13 Feb16 Jan25 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
10  CANDY FOR CARMEL May10 Apr17 Mar17 Jul21 Jun28 (margolis stephe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
11  BIRD KING May30 May12 Apr20 Mar30 Feb17 (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00    
 
CD-3   06/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL IN SYNC May25 Jun23 May02 Apr08 Feb18 (hernandez rey)TORRES A 118 15.00    
TAKE THE CHARGE Oct24 Sep30 Aug13 Jul13 Jun10 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
EXPENSIVE CUT May31 Feb09 Jan13 Nov10 Oct19 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
READY TO POUNCE Jun08 May03 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KAVOD Jun08 May02 Apr07 Mar14 Feb13 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
BACKSIDE BUZZ May16 Apr20 Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 5.00    
CAN'T HUSH THIS May03 Mar30 Mar02 Jan13 Dec17 (morse l)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
PIPES AND DRUMS May31 Jul02 Jun04 May06 Mar24 (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALLY O'MALLEY May03 Mar16       (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GHOSTRIDER         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
ENDLESS GLOW Jun08 May11       (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50    
HEY OLIVIA Nov03         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
MORINGA Jun02         (pribble j)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
BARSTOOL BABE Jun05 May03 Mar29 Mar08 Apr22 (bogle fergus)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM ON STORMY Jun07 May11 Mar28 Nov01 Oct07 (winston d)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
CATHCART         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
TWO SHARP         (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  MUGEN Jun08 May11 Mar22 Feb01 Oct29 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
11  BEACH BUNNY         (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
12  MINK STOLE         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  CALATHEA         (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  MISS MONROE COUNTY         (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  MISS ENCHANTED Jun06 Feb18 Jan04 Nov18   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.00    
SCR  DANCING PRINCESS Nov12 Oct29 Sep27 Jun25 Jun10 (spicer t)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00    
 
CD-5   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANCTIFY Jun07 May18 Apr17 Mar06 Feb07 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
VINOBELLO Apr28 Feb24       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
YES TO CHAMPAGNE May12 Jan28 Dec24 Nov16 Oct25 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
HERE'S THE SPIDER Jun07 May22 Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 (fernandez edward)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONARCH May25 Feb18 Jan14     (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCALABLE May03 Mar30 Feb03 Jan04 Nov03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
FLOORED May26 Nov25 Oct29 Oct15 Sep21 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSNESS Jun06 May18 Mar14 Feb13 Jan18 (lovell michell)TORRES A 120 15.00    
PROMISEMEANEMPIRE May03 Mar29 Feb03 Nov26 Oct12 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
10  LEMON MUFFIN May17 May03 Mar30 Feb24 Jan26 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
11  LIUZZA Jun01 Feb17 Jan18 Dec16   (calhoun wil)TORRES A 118 15.00    
12  YES INDEED Apr07 Mar14 Jan20     (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE Jun01 May03 Sep03 Aug13   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
14  SIMPLY ENCHANTING Jun01 Feb18 Jan21     (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  AMERICA'S VOW Jun01 May03 Mar30 Feb10 Dec02 (hamm timothy)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION Jun01 May03 Apr05 Feb17 Jan20 (amoss m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
 
CD-6   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERN May31 May04 Jan13 Dec09 Jul04 (haran john)BEALMEAR C 115 30.00    
SCR  ARROWTHEGREAT May27 Dec31 Nov26 Oct14 Sep04 (blacker daniel)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SANTOS DUMONT May18 Mar02 Feb09 Jan12 Sep21 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
BIG BLUE LINE Jun06 Nov04 Sep13 Aug13 Jun30 (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
HURRY HURRY Jun06 May10 Dec22 Nov16 Oct11 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 37% 1.70    
FLOKI'S FLIGHT May16 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 May28 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50    
COOKE CREEK May27 Feb17 Dec22 Nov11 Oct14 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
ONTHESTAGE May18 Apr13 Mar22 Feb02 Jul08 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
BABA VOSS May18 Apr12 Feb12 Dec22 Nov05 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PHANTOM RIDE Jun19 May30 May05 Apr12 Mar09 (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 30.00    
11  O P FIRECRACKER Jun19 May31 May01 Mar29 Feb24 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  STOWAWAY May27 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 (beckman whitw)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
 
CD-7   06/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Wise Dan Purse ($500K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG TIDE May18 May05 Mar29 Aug23 Aug12 (lauer micha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) Jun01 May04 Jun10 May06   (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.00 51% 0.90    
CHASING THE CROWN Jun01 May09 Feb17 Jan20 Sep07 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
JOHNY'S FIREBALL Jun06 May09 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
WIN FOR THE MONEY May25 Dec03 Nov05 Aug12 Jul20 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
EXAULTED Sep02 May29 Apr02 Feb05 Jan02 (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
CD-8   06/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Fasig-Tipton Fleur Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE LIKE A GIRL May03 Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 Feb03 (pomier dev)LANERIE J 119 6.00 14% 6.40    
SHOTGUN HOTTIE May17 Apr13 Mar09 Feb02 Jul22 (devaux cherie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
TAXED May27 Apr13 Mar16 Sep23 Aug19 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCYLLA Jun01 May04 Apr19 Mar17 Jun02 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 121 1.20 53% 0.90    
OCCULT May12 Oct28 Sep23 Jul29 Jun09 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
XIGERA Jun01 May03 Nov23 Oct28 Sep23 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50    
 
CD-9   06/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM American Derby Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN LIGHT May18 Apr14 Mar23     (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
MOONLIGHT Apr13 Feb17 Dec02 Oct29 Sep28 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FREEDOM PRINCIPLE May31 May04 Mar02 Feb03 Nov04 (garoffalo jose)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
LAGYNOS Jun01 May04 Apr05 Feb24 Jan01 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.50    
AGATE ROAD May04 Mar23 Feb10 Jan06 Nov03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
DEPICTION May31 Apr05 Jan06 Oct08 Aug27 (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
FIRST WORLD WAR May31 Apr05 Feb03 Jan01 Nov09 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
BRILLIANT BERTI Jun07 May02 Feb15     (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
 
CD-10   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kelly's Landing Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANARCHIST Aug26 Jul29 Jun10 May14 Apr22 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 6.00    
SPANKSTER May24 May06 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 121 15.00    
RYVIT Jun08 May24 Apr13 Mar16 Feb23 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TEJANO TWIST Jun01 May04 Apr13 Mar16 Feb03 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 4.00    
HOIST THE GOLD Jun08 May04 Jan27 Dec02 Nov04 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR Jun01 May02 Sep18 Sep09 Aug13 (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
ANGKOR Jun01 May02 Nov23 Oct25 Sep29 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
BANGO May02 Nov04 Oct06 Sep16 Jul01 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 8% 11.20    
 
CD-11   06/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Stephen Foster Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PYRENEES May17 Apr12 Jan27 Dec15 Dec26 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
FIRST MISSION May03 Mar23 Jan27 Nov24 Oct14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN May31 Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (pessin l)LANERIE J 124 30.00    
DISARM May18 Aug26 Jul29 Jun11 May06 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMLIKE Jun01 Apr19 Nov04 Sep23 Aug13 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY May27 May01 Mar29 Jun03 Apr22 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 124 30.00    
KINGSBARNS May17 Apr20 Mar02 Jun17 May06 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
STEAL SUNSHINE May03 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Dec30 (dibona robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Apr20 Mar09 Jan27 Nov04 Aug25 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
 
CD-12   06/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tepin Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 6:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY IN FRONT Jun06 Apr06 Nov04 Oct07 Sep16 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
MO FOX GIVIN May03 Apr06 Mar10 Jan20 Dec29 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KATHYNMARISSA May11 Apr06 Feb17 Jan19 Dec01 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  VOODOO MAGIC (FR) Feb11         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) May31 Apr06 Mar09 Feb03 Jan03 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 10% 8.90    
MY BRAZILIAN GIRL Oct24 Sep23       (wadsworth kathle)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00    
SCR  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) Jun28 May12 Apr12 Sep10 Jul20 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
PIPSY (IRE) May12         (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
DANCING N DIXIE May03 Apr06 Mar09 Jan06 Dec02 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  DOZEN DIAMONDS Apr06 Nov25 Oct25 Aug31 Jul21 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
11  JUST BETTER May17 Apr12 Feb24 Jan27   (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.