Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/5/4)-(7/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(7/2/1)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(6/1/3)-(4/11/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/11/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(4/11/6)-(1/5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/11/6)-(4/11/6/12/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/11/6)-(4/11/6/12/8)-(4/11/6/12/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/11/6)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/11/6)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/4)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4)-(1/6)-(8/1/2/10/11) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(8/1/2/10/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/1/2/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/10/11)-(8/1/2/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/10/11)-(8/1/2/10/11)-(8/1/2/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGIA Apr04 Feb19 Feb10 Jan05 Dec16 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 6.00    
2  FIRING FAST         (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  MAJESTIC LAURA ANN Apr14 Feb19       (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
4  NAY SLAYER Mar29 Mar08       (contessa g)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
5  QUIESCENT Feb23 Jan26 Aug23 Jul30 Jun10 (ribaudo robert )RUIZ ELISEO 120 0.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  PRUGOVA Mar30 Mar15 Jan26     (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 125 8.00    
 
AQU-2   04/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI AMOUR Mar25 Feb25 Jan30 Dec04 Nov18 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
2  QUIET WISDOM Mar14 Feb11 Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  LAND D'ORO Mar24 Feb11       (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50    
4  BRICK AMBUSH Mar10 Jan19 Dec16 Nov17 Oct05 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
5  BOSS THREE O TWO Mar10         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  MANNY PENNY Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 Jan13 Dec17 (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 20.00    
 
AQU-3   04/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY THE FISH Apr04 Mar08 Feb24 Feb16 Dec31 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
2  JOLLY MISS JILL Apr04 Mar24 Feb24 Feb17 Dec08 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 4.50 23% 3.40    
3  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Mar30 Mar01 Feb02 Jan14 Jan07 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
4  SWEET AS SUGAR Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov30 (shivmangal lo)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
5  GRINGOTTS Apr04 Mar22 Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 (samsunda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND Apr04 Mar22 Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
7  RUN DEVIL Mar30 Mar01 Feb09 Jan14 Jan04 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 31% 2.30    
 
AQU-4   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Mar10 Feb16 Jan12 Nov30   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 7% 14.30    
2  MITHRIDATES Oct19 Oct04 Aug24 Jul28 Jul15 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
3  PAPPOU'S LAUGH Dec14         (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CROWN THAT SAINT Mar28 Mar14 Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 118 6.00 ★    
5  SHAKIN THE BELLE Mar30 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May27 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00    
6  APURO Mar14 Feb10 Nov04     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 0.50 71% 0.40    
7  SWEPT Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 Nov11 Oct22 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
 
AQU-5   04/21/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINANCIAL DISTRICT Apr13 Mar25 Jan14 Jan03 Nov28 (sanchez-pine)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 50.00    
2  ALLIED ATTACK Mar10 Jan18 Dec29 Nov18 Aug05 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
3  IMAGE OF QUALITY Nov11 Aug17 Jul22     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
4  BIG PRANKSTER Dec02 Nov18 Oct04     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  LI'L LANG Mar21 Feb23 Jan18 Dec29   (abreu r)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
6  RUSSI Nov11 Sep04 Aug17 Jul14 Apr27 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  SLAMMIN GOLD Jan19 Dec15 Nov04 Oct05 Sep14 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
8  PLEASE BE NICE Mar24 Feb11 Jan13 Feb20 Jan07 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 126 20.00 ★    
9  SANDRONE Nov23 Jul20 May13 Apr15 Nov26 (bond kevin)RUIZ ELISEO 119 12.00    
10  KREESA Nov11 Oct20 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 (dixon li)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 12.00    
11  ICY FLAVOR Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
12  SINFUL DANCER Nov10 Oct29 Apr15 Dec04 Nov13 (figueroa da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  COLLECTED SPECIAL Mar21 Feb04 Nov04 Oct20 Jul16 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 118 4.00    
 
AQU-6   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT YOLA Mar22 Feb10       (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Apr06 Mar07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec17 (barker edw)RIVERA R 118 3.00 11% 8.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
SCR  LA DECENTE Mar01 Feb10       (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of SHE'S OVERANALYZED by OVERANALYZE)
4  EKWANOK Jan28 Sep28 Sep01 Aug10   (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
5  FIVE TO TWO Apr06 Feb24 Jan28 Dec17 Dec01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
6  SHE'S A NATURAL Apr14 Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 (sciacca gary)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
7  PURPOSE         (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRANDINI by E DUBAI)
8  MARGAUX TREASURE Mar03         (tagg barclay)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MGR TREASURE by OVERANALYZE)
 
AQU-7   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Plenty Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) Nov04         (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SUNSET LOUISE Oct29 Aug09 Jul16 Jun16 May04 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Mar23 Feb17 Aug12 Jun17 May28 (falcone robert)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SUPREME SPIRIT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
SCR  TASS (GB) Jan27 Dec26 Nov19 Oct19 Aug20 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MASASI by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  SILVER SKILLET Nov11 Oct29 Sep15 Aug16 Jul15 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
6  MARVELOUS MAUDE May29 Oct30 Sep30 Sep03 Jul30 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAIT YOUR TURN by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
SCR  VENTI VALENTINE Mar24 Feb17 Dec28 Dec02 Oct29 (abreu r)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 Dec01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  OCEAN GATEWAY Mar28 Mar14 Jan18 Dec16 Jul13 (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
  (by TONALIST out of HANTALOOP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
AQU-8   04/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COAST ALONG Aug11 Jun17 May14 Apr15 Feb18 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 126 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
2  RISK TOLERANCE (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by KINGMAN out of LOVING THINGS by PIVOTAL)
3  PARTY WITH SMARTY Apr11 Mar09 Feb01 Jan19 Nov12 (gutierrez j)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 50.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  BLACK DIAMOND Mar09 Jan20 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW FALL by WAR FRONT)
5  FIRST TRUMPET Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 Jan27 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
6  GLINT Mar24 Mar09       (ribaudo robert )RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
7  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Jan06 Nov16 Sep04 Sep17 Aug19 (barker edw)RIVERA R 126 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FOXYSOX by FOXHOUND)
8  KICK A BUCK Feb10         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AZAELIA by TURTLE BOWL)
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 Nov09   (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 50.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
10  PRIMED TO GO Nov18 Oct01 Sep03     (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8% 11.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MISERICORDIA by DANSILI)
11  BATTLE OF BRITAIN Feb13 Jan29       (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 20.00 7% 12.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  BE THERE Mar16 Dec23 Nov22 Nov04 Oct26 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
13  DANGEROUS DRIVER Mar24 Feb25 Jan28 Dec28 Oct27 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
SCR  REMEMBER THE CHIEF Mar24         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of PLEASANT POINT by PLEASANT COLONY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.