Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/2/6)-(4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/6)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/2/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/5)-(1/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/7/4)-(7/2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/5/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(7/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRANGE FRUIT Oct26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00    
2  GOOD MORNING KISS Oct26 Nov19 Oct28     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  PRACTICAL MISS Nov10 Aug25 Aug03 Jul21   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 116 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  DEBBIE DARLING Nov10 Oct15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
5  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Oct26 Sep15 Aug10 Jul15 Jun16 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60    
6  LADY FORTUNA Sep03 Jul22 Jul02     (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 15.00    
 
AQU-2   11/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC DIVA Nov09 Sep07       (duggan dav)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
2  LOW SOCIETY Oct28 Sep24       (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  ANTENNA Oct14 Aug26 Jul29     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
4  TAVIN Nov09 Oct21 Sep28     (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  PROGENY Nov12 Oct21 Sep16 Sep03   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 7% 13.40    
6  LIKA ROLLING STONE Oct29 Sep25 Sep11     (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
 
AQU-3   11/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHER QUALITY Nov12 Oct22 Sep21 Sep08 Jul22 (chatterpau)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
2  LOOKIN AT ROSES Nov03 Oct09 Sep21 Aug02 Jul19 (preciado gua)CASTELLANO J 121 1.40 26% 2.80    
3  PORTOS Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 Sep21 Sep10 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.00    
4  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Nov05 Sep28 Aug20 Jul07 Jun11 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  IRON WORKS Nov11 Oct13 Sep17 Jun09 Apr30 (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
6  OPTIC WAY Mar25 Mar10 Mar04 Jan21 Nov17 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 18% 4.70    
 
AQU-4   11/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON'S HOPE Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 Aug04 May28 (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
2  PRINCE JAMES Nov11 Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May26 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 2.50    
SCR  AEQUOR Oct06 Sep15 Jul30 Jul08 Jun03 (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
4  HEIR PORT Jul14 Jun03 May13 Apr20 Mar26 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 1.60 38% 1.70    
SCR  RALLY SQUIRREL Nov11 Oct21 Sep03 Aug18 Jun15 (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00    
6  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Nov03 Oct19 Aug24 Aug02 Jun04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-5   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET SWAGG Nov02 Oct08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun11 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 36% 1.80    
2  ANTHRACITE Nov10 Oct21 Aug24 Jul21 Jun23 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BIG BOBBY Oct28 Oct15 Oct04 Aug24 Jul07 (arenas mar)RIVERA R 116 3.00    
4  COUNTERFEITCURENCY Nov16 Nov03 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 (ryan s)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 10% 8.90    
5  THE COBBLER Nov11 Oct20 Aug17 Mar18 Mar10 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00    
6  WINNING CONNECTION Oct21 Aug31 Jul22 Jul04 Jun04 (dutrow rich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50    
7  FIGHT FIERCELY Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 Aug20 Jul16 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50    
8  STRONG LIGHT Nov11 Oct15 Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MIGHTY MEISTER Sep06 Jul13 Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 (rawles a)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
 
AQU-6   11/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRTUAL REALITY Sep22 Aug10 Jul13 May28   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  WICKED SIGHT Nov05 Sep23 Aug29 Jul11 Jun20 (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  CARAGATE Nov05 Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 Sep24 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
4  KITTEN'S APPEAL Apr16 Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 Sep29 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50    
5  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Nov05 Oct05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul12 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
6  DESERT DALLIANCE Oct06 Aug29 Jul22 Jun17 Apr13 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
7  AWILLAWAY Nov05 Jun16 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (dunham g)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
 
AQU-7   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHIGEKO Oct05 Sep14 Aug16 Jul30 Dec18 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  TWO REDHEADS Oct26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 Nov05 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60    
2  ALTERINA Nov03 Aug24 Jun15     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
3  DASHING DELLA Nov03 Oct19 Oct01 Sep14 Jul30 (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
4  ANILEATE Oct12 Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 Jun11 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 116 10.00 13% 6.90    
5  JOEY THE FISH Oct05 Aug09 Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  KAREN'S HONOR Nov03 Jul29 Jun23 May26 Apr08 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
7  MONROE Oct27 Sep24 May14 Mar17 Feb11 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  ROCKET RUTHIE Oct29 Oct07 Aug25 Aug06   (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE ARMOR Nov11 Sep03 Jul30 Jun18 May27 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
2  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Sep15 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 18% 4.40    
3  BOLD ENDEAVOR Oct26 Oct01 Sep21 Aug03 Mar31 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADERO Oct04 Aug22 Jul23 Jun18 May14 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00    
5  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Oct26 Sep02 Jul08 May05 Apr16 (ryerson jame)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 10% 9.50    
6  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Oct13 Sep17 Jul21 May21 Apr07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
7  SWIFTSURE Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
8  DAYDREAMING BOY Oct26 Sep23 Aug22 Jul10 Jun18 (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
 
AQU-9   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME CINCO Oct27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 Feb24 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Aug03 Jul02 Jun01 May11 Apr13 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
3  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 Jul22 Jun18 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 11% 8.20    
4  COPPA GIRL Sep04 Aug09 Jul15 Jun10 May05 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
5  AIN'T BROKE Sep21 Aug18 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  VIENNA CODE Nov12 Aug09 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00    
7  GODDESS OF FIRE Sep24 Aug20 Jul14 May06 Apr02 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20 21% 3.90    
8  SWEET MYSTERY Oct29 Oct05 Aug24 Jul26 Jul02 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
9  IMPLOSION May27 Apr13 Mar11 Jan28 Nov25 (gaudet lac)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.