Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(4/3)-(2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/3)-(1/8/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/8/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/8/3/4)-(3/8/5/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(3/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(3/4/7)-(3/9/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(3/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(3/9/8/6)-(7/1/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/8/6)-(7/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/1/5/2/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(3/1/5/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/1/5/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2/10)-(3/1/5/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2/10)-(3/1/5/2/10)-(3/1/5/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIANT QUEEN Oct01         (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
2  MITOLE MAGIC Sep16         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MITOLE out of BLAKE'S MAGIC by BERNSTEIN)
3  CURLIN'S GIRL         (dutrow anthony)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of QUALITY ROCKS by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  SAN PANTALEO Jul20         (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of TREASURED by KEY TO THE MINT)
5  ECHO BAYBE (IRE) Sep02         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
  (by CABLE BAY out of ART INSTITUTE by ARCH)
6  STREET VIEW Oct21 Sep16       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of VIEW by VICE REGENT)
7  AGRA Sep16         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by BLAME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  FLEUR DELACOUR Oct25         (rice kevi)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
 
AQU-2   11/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pumpkin Pie Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANT HURRY LOVE Aug11 Jun25 May12 Mar25 Feb25 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
SCR  ROYAL MEGHAN Oct27 May07 Mar10 Jan27 Dec31 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of ROYAL SIGHTING by RAHY)
3  GREEN UP Apr21 Sep24 Aug23 Jul03 Apr21 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by UPSTART out of GREEN PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
4  FRANK'S ROCKETTE Aug25 Jul26 Apr29 Mar11 Dec31 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 0.50 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  INTO HAPPINESS Oct04 Aug09 Jul13 Jun23 Apr21 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
AQU-3   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nashua Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLAL Oct08 Aug25       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
2  BOOK'EM DANNO Oct08 Sep09 Aug12     (ryan s)ORTIZ L 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  PRIVATE DESIRE Sep16 Jul29       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 1.20 28% 2.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BRAHMS CAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  WHERE'S CHRIS Oct08 Sep14       (dutrow richa)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SEA QUEEN by LEMON DROP KID)
5  YO YO CANDY Sep04 Jul15 Jun11 May23   (velazquez danie)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of YOLANDA B. TOO by TWO PUNCH)
 
AQU-4   11/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELAHAYE Feb16         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BELLA CARINA by WAR FRONT)
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR) Oct19 Sep24 Aug30 Aug18 Jul15 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MESEIKA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  REMIND (IRE) Oct12         (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of QUEEN ISEULT by CAMELOT (GB))
3  WAR PRINCESS Sep16 Mar12 Feb12 Jan14 Nov20 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  DARK POOL Oct05 Sep03 Aug05     (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 9% 10.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of CHESTNUT GROVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  STARTS NOW Oct05 Jul29 Jun17 Apr15 Nov18 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  MADAKET'S ARROW Oct12 Sep21 Aug11 Jul22 May27 (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMASHOOQA by DUBAWI (IRE))
7  I'M A SURE THING Oct12 Feb19 Jan22 Dec03   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
  (by LE HAVRE out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
8  AKAYLA (IRE) Sep16 Oct22 Aug28     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
9  WHY WASTE WORDS Oct05 Jul15       (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TOOSHAY Oct06 Aug16 Jun03 May14 Apr30 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
AQU-5   11/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARAGATE Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 Sep24 Aug18 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
2  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Oct05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul12 May06 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
3  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Oct07 Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 May14 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  FREE TO ROAM Oct12 Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Jun03 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
5  SECURITY CODE Oct07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 May29 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 6% 15.70    
6  FREDDYMO FACTOR Oct08 Sep24 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
7  AWILLAWAY Jun16 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 (dunham g)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
8  GIVE ME KISSES Dec30 Nov20       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
9  WICKED SIGHT Sep23 Aug29 Jul11 Jun20   (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
 
AQU-6   11/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST MY SOCK Oct12 Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul02 (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 ★    
2  CANDLE Oct08 Jul01 Jun16 Apr08 Feb12 (mcgaughey )RIVERA R 115 10.00    
3  LOON CRY Oct12 Aug31 Aug07 Jul08 May27 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
4  UP AND DOWN Oct11 Sep10 Jun25 May19 Apr19 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  LADY MIA (FR) Oct06 Sep14       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
6  BOSSY DIVA Oct14 Aug31 Aug06     (preciado gu)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
7  LISA'S VISION Oct22 Aug27 Jul19 Jun10 Apr22 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  KERRY Oct12 Sep17 Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
9  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE) Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 May06 Mar11 (joseph saffie)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Oct22 Sep15 Mar03 Jan12   (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.50    
 
AQU-7   11/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Sep28 Jul30 Jun03 May07 Oct02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
2  STANDARD OF PROOF Sep03 Aug27       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
3  RIVALRY Sep28 Aug26 Jul30     (cox h)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 31% 2.30    
SCR  COOL QUARTET Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 Jul08 Jun24 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 116 30.00    
5  QUALITY CHIC Oct21 Sep28 Sep14 Aug20 Jun25 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
6  SUERTE Oct06 Aug26 Aug10 May24 Apr21 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Oct06 Sep03 Aug25 Jul14 Jun11 (milne joan)LUZZI J 121 50.00    
8  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Sep28 Aug20 Jul07 Jun11 May28 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
9  MISTICAL CURLIN Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 May20 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
10  FENWICK Aug20 Jul08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tempted Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMMERING ALLURE Oct06 Sep20 Aug13 Jul16 Jun10 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by ENTICED out of SHIMMERING TALE by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  CARESS Oct05         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FUN AFFAIR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  PERFECTLY WICKED Sep29 Aug31       (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  ENFUEGA Sep28         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of GRAN LUCKY GIRL by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  BELLE'S BLUE BELL Sep28         (david ca)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of AWESOME BELLE by AWESOME OF COURSE)
6  A PRIMERA VISTA Oct08 Sep09 Aug17     (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00 7% 12.60    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of DAZZLINGSWEETHEART by DAZZLING FALLS)
7  CAITLINHERGRTNESS Sep28 Sep03       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BELATRIX by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  VICOUNTESS Oct10         (beattie m)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ON THE BEACH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
9  VINO ROUGE Oct01 Aug13       (dutrow anthony )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
10  DON'T TELL KELLY Oct12 Sep21 Sep01     (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SEVEN DAYS by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
AQU-9   11/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 8% 12.10    
2  JANNIE MAE Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 Apr14 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOMB SQUAD Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Nov04 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Sep02 Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
5  BERNING HONOR Aug19 Jun17 May05 Feb26 Jan19 (schettino do)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 17.50    
6  PUREST PERFORMANCE Oct15 Jun24 May18     (pregman jr)USKE S 121 20.00    
SCR  LIEUTENANT'SLEGACY Aug19 Jun26 May16     (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00    
8  SPERSS Sep02 Aug04 Jun01 Apr14 Jan14 (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
9  MISS BARB Sep02 Jan06 Dec16 Nov04   (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
10  STONE OF DESTINY Oct06 Aug04 Jul13 Jun17   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MY ROYAL VOW Oct15         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
12  DRAMATIC EFFECT Oct06 Jul29       (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 50.00    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Oct26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 (reynolds patri)LUZZI J 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.