Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (3/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (3/1/5/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADIANT QUEEN Oct01         (motion graha)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
MITOLE MAGIC Sep16         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
CURLIN'S GIRL         (dutrow w)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SAN PANTALEO Jul20         (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
ECHO BAYBE (IRE) Sep02         (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
STREET VIEW Oct21 Sep16       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
AGRA Sep16         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  FLEUR DELACOUR Oct25         (rice kevin)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
 
AQU-2   11/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pumpkin Pie Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT HURRY LOVE Aug11 Jun25 May12 Mar25 Feb25 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
SCR  ROYAL MEGHAN Oct27 May07 Mar10 Jan27 Dec31 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
GREEN UP Apr21 Sep24 Aug23 Jul03 Apr21 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
FRANK'S ROCKETTE Aug25 Jul26 Apr29 Mar11 Dec31 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 0.50 42% 1.40    
INTO HAPPINESS Oct04 Aug09 Jul13 Jun23 Apr21 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-3   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nashua Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLAL Oct08 Aug25       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
BOOK'EM DANNO Oct08 Sep09 Aug12     (ryan s)ORTIZ L 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
PRIVATE DESIRE Sep16 Jul29       (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 1.20 28% 2.60    
WHERE'S CHRIS Oct08 Sep14       (dutrow richard)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
YO YO CANDY Sep04 Jul15 Jun11 May23   (velazquez daniel)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
 
AQU-4   11/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELAHAYE Feb16         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR) Oct19 Sep24 Aug30 Aug18 Jul15 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.80    
REMIND (IRE) Oct12         (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
WAR PRINCESS Sep16 Mar12 Feb12 Jan14 Nov20 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
DARK POOL Oct05 Sep03 Aug05     (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 9% 10.70    
STARTS NOW Oct05 Jul29 Jun17 Apr15 Nov18 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
MADAKET'S ARROW Oct12 Sep21 Aug11 Jul22 May27 (weaver geo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
I'M A SURE THING Oct12 Feb19 Jan22 Dec03   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
AKAYLA (IRE) Sep16 Oct22 Aug28     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
WHY WASTE WORDS Oct05 Jul15       (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 10.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY Oct06 Aug16 Jun03 May14 Apr30 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00    
 
AQU-5   11/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAGATE Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 Sep24 Aug18 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
MONGOLIAN PANTHER Oct05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul12 May06 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Oct07 Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 May14 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
FREE TO ROAM Oct12 Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Jun03 (david a)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
SECURITY CODE Oct07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 May29 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 6% 15.70    
FREDDYMO FACTOR Oct08 Sep24 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
AWILLAWAY Jun16 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 (dunham g)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
GIVE ME KISSES Dec30 Nov20       (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
WICKED SIGHT Sep23 Aug29 Jul11 Jun20   (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
 
AQU-6   11/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST MY SOCK Oct12 Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul02 (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
CANDLE Oct08 Jul01 Jun16 Apr08 Feb12 (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
LOON CRY Oct12 Aug31 Aug07 Jul08 May27 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
UP AND DOWN Oct11 Sep10 Jun25 May19 Apr19 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  LADY MIA (FR) Oct06 Sep14       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
BOSSY DIVA Oct14 Aug31 Aug06     (preciado guad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
LISA'S VISION Oct22 Aug27 Jul19 Jun10 Apr22 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KERRY Oct12 Sep17 Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
VIOLET GIBSON (IRE) Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 May06 Mar11 (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Oct22 Sep15 Mar03 Jan12   (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.50    
 
AQU-7   11/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Sep28 Jul30 Jun03 May07 Oct02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
STANDARD OF PROOF Sep03 Aug27       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
RIVALRY Sep28 Aug26 Jul30     (cox h)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 31% 2.30    
SCR  COOL QUARTET Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 Jul08 Jun24 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 116 30.00    
QUALITY CHIC Oct21 Sep28 Sep14 Aug20 Jun25 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
SUERTE Oct06 Aug26 Aug10 May24 Apr21 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Oct06 Sep03 Aug25 Jul14 Jun11 (milne joan)LUZZI J 121 50.00    
SUNDAESWITHSANDY Sep28 Aug20 Jul07 Jun11 May28 (nevin michel)RIVERA R 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
MISTICAL CURLIN Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 May20 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
10  FENWICK Aug20 Jul08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tempted Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIMMERING ALLURE Oct06 Sep20 Aug13 Jul16 Jun10 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CARESS Oct05         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
PERFECTLY WICKED Sep29 Aug31       (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
ENFUEGA Sep28         (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
BELLE'S BLUE BELL Sep28         (david carl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
A PRIMERA VISTA Oct08 Sep09 Aug17     (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00 7% 12.60    
CAITLINHERGRTNESS Sep28 Sep03       (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  VICOUNTESS Oct10         (beattie m)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
VINO ROUGE Oct01 Aug13       (dutrow w)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
10  DON'T TELL KELLY Oct12 Sep21 Sep01     (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
AQU-9   11/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 8% 12.10    
JANNIE MAE Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 Apr14 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOMB SQUAD Jul29 Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Nov04 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
PINSTRIPEPIZZO Sep02 Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
BERNING HONOR Aug19 Jun17 May05 Feb26 Jan19 (schettino domi)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 17.50    
PUREST PERFORMANCE Oct15 Jun24 May18     (pregman jr)USKE S 121 20.00    
SCR  LIEUTENANT'SLEGACY Aug19 Jun26 May16     (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00    
SPERSS Sep02 Aug04 Jun01 Apr14 Jan14 (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 15.00    
MISS BARB Sep02 Jan06 Dec16 Nov04   (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
10  STONE OF DESTINY Oct06 Aug04 Jul13 Jun17   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MY ROYAL VOW Oct15         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
12  DRAMATIC EFFECT Oct06 Jul29       (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 50.00    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Oct26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 (reynolds patrick)LUZZI J 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.