Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-5   Win (16/15) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (1/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (14/12/16/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITZA DREAM Aug30         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
UNION BELLE         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
ANTENNA Aug26 Jul29       (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 119 1.80 25% 2.90    
ALTHENA Sep17 Aug30 Aug13     (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00    
BY THE GLASS         (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 9% 10.70    
EXTRA DIRTY Aug13         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
DAISY'S ANGEL Sep16         (miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
CELESTIAL EXPRESS         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC13 YIELDING Sands Point Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOVIET EXCESS Sep15 Aug19 Jun24 May28 Apr30 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
QUARREL Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 May27 (ribaudo j)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
LEAVE NO TRACE Aug30 Mar04 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 15% 5.60    
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Aug19 Jul08 Jun11 Apr08 Nov04 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
NEECIE MARIE Sep16 Aug21 Jul24 Jul12 Jun07 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROOT CAUSE Sep09 Jun22 May12 Mar19 Aug14 (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) Sep16         (appleby charles)SPENCER P 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
HIGHLAND GRACE Sep16 Jul04 Jun03 May07 Mar05 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 May13 (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
10  ALPHA BELLA Sep09 Aug10 May13 Apr08 Mar11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  ESSAOUIRA Sep09 Jun22 May13 Mar12 Oct07 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Sep04 Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 May20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jun25 Apr15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT SELBY Sep01 Jul22 Jun10 May20 Apr28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  BIG ENGINE Sep21 Jul23 Jun22 May21 Apr28 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80    
2B  CHATEAU Jul30 Jul12 Jul02 May04 Apr23 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  OCTOPUS Oct05 Sep28 Jul03 Apr21 Mar05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
CHARLIE FIVE O Sep18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun03 Apr27 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 15.00    
GANDY DANCING Sep28 Jul14 Jun11 May07 Apr01 (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
SCR  AIR SHOW Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
SCR  TRASH TALKER Jun25 Jun03 Apr20 Mar19 Apr07 (baker charlt)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
F F ROCKET Mar26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec08 Nov26 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Floral Park Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUBBLE ROCK Aug25 Jul22 Jun09 May07 Apr16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40    
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) Aug02 Jul01 May28 Mar11 Feb04 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 68% 0.50    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 Jun16 May12 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
SHOSHANAH Sep11 Aug17 Jul05 May19 Nov05 (horlacher m)DAVIS KATIE 124 20.00    
SCR  POPPY FLOWER Jul22 Jun09 May07 Apr14 Sep13 (mott i)ORTIZ L 126 2.00    
RISK FREE Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 May28 Oct23 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SALVAJE May05 Mar26 Apr22 Feb24 Jan06 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  BANK ON ANNA Aug11 Jun25 May12 Dec04 Oct06 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
SCR  ROYAL POPPY Oct07 Sep02 Jun23 May20 Feb05 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURLOIN         (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Aug13 Jun02       (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP         (clement christo)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  STYLE POINTS         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  DANCING DEAN Sep03         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  PAST TENSE         (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY Oct01 Aug31 Aug13     (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  PUBLIC ASSEMBLY         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
10  JUST MUSIC Jul30         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE         (albertrani tho)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
SCR  NOT TONIGHT JOE         (morley thomas)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS Jul23         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
SCR  JUSTDENY Sep03 Jul30       (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
15  WYNNING TOUCH         (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
16  PHILLY'S FINEST         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
BAQ-6   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Sep09 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  SITTIN ON GO Oct06 Aug19 Jul27 Jul01 May12 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50    
RYAN'S CAT Apr01 Mar19 Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
POPPY'S PRIDE Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 May26 May07 (toscano t)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
LIFE AND LIGHT Oct05 Sep21 Jul21 Jul03 Jun22 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00    
TWO THIRTY FIVE Oct05 Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 Jun25 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
CHARGING AERO Sep01 May13 Apr21 Mar15 Jan29 (ryan der)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 8% 11.20    
QUICKFLASH Sep16 Aug19 Jul12 Jun05 May22 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00    
BEACHWALKER Oct04 Aug05 Jul05 May15 May01 (persaud randi)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 8% 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKI PATROL Sep03 Jul28 May06 Mar17 Jan29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 55% 0.80    
MOON WATCH (IRE) Aug31 Jul26       (d'angelo f)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
THREE ZERO Sep16 Sep02 Jul27 Jun09 May13 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FADETHENOISE Sep16 Jul15 Jun23 May20 Apr16 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
HATCH (GB) Sep17 Sep01 Jul29 Jun23 May21 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR Oct05 Aug31 Jul29 Jul20 Jun23 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO Sep17 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Oct06 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Sep16 Jul29 May28 May21 Sep03 (hemingway mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
11  FLASH KISS Apr20 Dec16 Jul17 Jun24 Jun02 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  MORNING CUP Sep01 Jul01 May04 Apr21 Feb21 (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
13  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Oct05 Sep15 Jun11 Apr29 Apr15 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
14  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Sep22 Aug19 Jul08 Jun09 Apr23 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEMOGRAPHY Sep04 Aug13 Feb26 Feb10 Jan01 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
1A  MILTON THE MONSTER Jul08 May21 Apr27 Mar04 Jan28 (nevin michel)RIVERA R 118 3.00    
THINKABOUTIT Aug18 Jul14 Jun04 May21 Apr27 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
SCR  CAJUN CASANOVA Oct04 Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May15 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 20.00    
INTO THE SUNRISE Aug24 Jul28 Jun15 Apr13 Jan28 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
EMERALD FOREST Sep24 Sep16 Jul14 Jun15 Apr01 (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
ROYAL TRYST Sep04 Aug09 Jul23 Jun17 May20 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
DOT'S DOLLAR Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 Apr28 Apr21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  VICTORIOUS WAVE Sep16 Aug05 Jun27 Apr20 Mar26 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
JAKE ROCKS Sep16 Jul26 Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 (schettino dominic)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DURANTE Sep16 Aug19 Aug02 Jun23 Jun10 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 19% 4.30    
SCR  SPUN AND WON Sep24 Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 May02 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80    
COWAN Oct01 Sep22 May30 May06 Feb19 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
STROBE Sep16 Jul07 Jun10 Apr15 Jan27 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
SWILL Sep10 Jul20 Jun17     (russell brittany)LEZCANO JOSE 125 15.00 6% 15.70    
GUN IT Jul29 Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 9% 10.50    
SEVEN NATION ARMY Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 Jun15 Apr23 (baker charlt)RIVERA R 116 12.00    
PROVOCATEUR Sep15 Aug11 Oct22 Sep24 Aug06 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
SCARAMOUCHE Sep25 Feb25 Dec24 Nov21 Sep24 (preciado guad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO RYE'D Sep04         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
UNAUDITED Aug03 Jun23       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
ALBEDO Sep14 Aug23 Jul16     (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  PATRONAGE Aug24         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  DIXIE PHARAOH Sep04 Aug23 Jul16     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
BROWN DON'T STOP         (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KILKERRAN         (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
KING FREUD Aug24         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
JHIRSCH         (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 13% 6.60    
10  SPECIALAGENTJONSON Aug03 Jul07       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
11  SWEET TONE         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
12  HARD PAR Sep01 Jul27       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH Sep16         (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 8.00    
14  ERIC FROM MIAMI Sep17 Aug18 Jul28     (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  DILLON Sep17 Aug03       (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
16  WINE RESPONSIBLY Sep04         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.