Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-2   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-3   Win (8/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-4   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-5   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-6   Win (9/10/11/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BEL-7   Win (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-8   Win (1/4/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BEL-9   Win (8/11/10/5/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BEL-10   Win (11/5/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BEL-11   Win (8/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-12   Win (2/5/3/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BEL-1   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR N SPICE Jun09 May18       (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 14% 5.90    
MAGIC CROSS         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
EXHILARATE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
LA PICASITA         (antonucci je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
DOROTHY'S DREAMS         (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT Jun18         (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
MY STARSHIP         (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-2   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Jun16 May18 Apr14 Mar26 Mar18 (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  MUCHO SUNSHINE Jun16 Mar05 May07 Apr14 Mar31 (shivmangal l)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
MOLIERE Jun15 May06 Apr23 Apr08 Sep21 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
DRINK THE WIND Apr28 Mar19 Feb02 Dec29 Nov18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 31% 2.20    
COOL QUARTET Jun24 Jun03 May20 Apr28 Apr14 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
CARIBBEAN (AUS) Jun03 May18 May04 Apr06 Mar10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
ZERTZ May07 Apr15 Mar25 Mar03 Feb09 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
BEL-3   07/08/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) Nov04 Sep09 Aug21     (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
ROMEINADAY Jun10         (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 7% 13.20    
EMPATHY May27 May03       (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
DORAL May27 Apr07 Feb19 Jan22   (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
CLASSIC PERFORMER Jun11 May27       (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
RISK FREE Jun24 May28 Apr30 Apr15 Mar17 (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 23% 3.30    
PARTY IS OVER May27         (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SPUN SPECIAL Jun10 May13 Nov04 Oct14 Sep17 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  PORTAGE Jun23 May20 Mar16     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80    
 
BEL-4   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FENWICK Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 May21 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50    
SCR  HANDSOME CAT Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
LEDDY Jun04 May19 Feb11 Dec17 Nov05 (goberdhan chan)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
RETURN THE RING Jul15         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 26% 2.80    
ON THE COME UP Jun16 Oct22 Sep18 Aug14 Jul31 (farro patrici)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOUNCER Jun10 Mar29 Oct07 Sep03 Aug20 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 0.80 48% 1.10    
 
BEL-5   07/08/2023 6600ft DIRT RC13 FAST Suburban Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT Jun15 May28 Apr29 Apr06 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
RED RUN Jun10 May03 Apr07 Mar12 Sep05 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
CLAPTON May19 Apr01 Mar12 Feb05 Dec31 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00    
CHARGE IT Jun10 Apr22 Mar04 Feb05 Jul02 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 0.60 41% 1.50    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER May05 Apr16 Jan07 Nov12 Sep29 (ryerson t)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-6   07/08/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANTING Aug20 Jul04 Jun05     (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
KREESA LA WROTE Jun20 May15       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 30.00    
QUICK POWER NAP Jun17 May20 Apr29 Oct07 Sep03 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL DANCER Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 Sep17 Aug18 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
ROBYN AND ELI Jun15 May05 Oct09 Aug18 Jul16 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 17.60    
SIKUM Jun27 May14 Apr22 Feb23 Feb03 (camejo m)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
I'M NERVOUS NOW Jun10 May20 Apr19 Mar24 Feb22 (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
CANDY MONET Jun17 Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 Apr29 (persaud eddie)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
WEEKEND RAGS Jun10 Apr08 Jan14 Nov20 Oct30 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
10  LOON CRY May27 May04 Apr08 Dec03   (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
11  LONGLIVE THE QUEEN May14 Dec24       (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  TOWERING GAZE Jun01 Apr21 Apr08 Mar10 Mar01 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS STONES May21 Apr29       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00    
 
BEL-7   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Jun15 May19 Apr30 Mar24 Dec11 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
MAJORITY PARTNER May27 Apr30 Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00 15% 5.70    
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Sep10 Aug20 Jul01 Jun10 Apr21 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 7% 12.50    
VITTORIO May27 Apr20 Mar18 Feb05 Apr02 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 122 1.40    
MILTON THE MONSTER May21 Apr27 Mar04 Jan28 Jan01 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 13% 6.40    
DOT'S DOLLAR Jun09 Apr28 Apr21 Oct08 Sep17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
BUSINESS MODEL Jun15 May21 Apr28 Mar11 Jan28 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
 
BEL-8   07/08/2023 6600ft TURF RC14 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Belmont Oaks Invi Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION OF JOY Jun03 May05 Mar11 Jan18 Dec03 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
STRIKINGLY SPUN Jun11 May12 Apr14 Feb04 Dec09 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
SPEIRLING BEAG (IRE)         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
PAPILIO (IRE) Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar04   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 14% 5.90    
PREREQUISITE Jun11 May07 Apr01     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 13% 6.60    
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Jun11 Apr08 Nov04 Oct01 Sep01 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 6% 15.10    
ASPRAY May19 Mar22 Jan14     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
FREYDIS THE RED (FR) May29 Apr23 Nov20 Oct01 Sep04 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
ASPEN GROVE (IRE)         (stack a)MURPHY OISIN 121 8.00    
 
BEL-9   07/08/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK VECTOR Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar30 Feb25 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
ELUSIVE EDGE Jun09 May13 Apr20     (hemingway miche)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
CARPE'S DREAM Jun09 Oct16 Sep17 Aug13 Jun18 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 30.00    
DRAKON May28 Apr02 Feb26 Jan15 Nov13 (diodoro rober)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
WHAT SAY THEE Apr12 Mar05 Feb18 Jan01 Nov26 (sisterson jack)MURPHY OISIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLUBHOUSE Mar04 Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 Nov19 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER Jun09 Apr20 Feb25 Jan22 Nov20 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00    
APPRAISE (IRE) Sep17 Aug19 Jul22     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
FAMOUS GENT Jun09 Apr29 Apr16 Mar17 Feb18 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
10  AIR SHOW Apr29 Mar26 Feb25 Jan21 Dec18 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  INFLATION NATION (IRE) May20 Apr22 Nov05 Oct09 Sep01 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
12  ARUBA (IRE) May05 Mar25 Jan22 Nov10 Oct15 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
13  SOULMATE Jun17 Jun04 May13 Nov20 Sep23 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN Jul01 Jun10 May19 Feb18 Jan13 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 124 3.50    
 
BEL-10   07/08/2023 6600ft TURF RC14 FIRM Belmont Derby Invitational Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar09 Feb02 (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
BOPPY O Jun03 May06 Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
CYBER NINJA Jun02 Apr20 Mar11     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00    
WEBSLINGER Jun03 May06 Apr07 Mar04 Feb11 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
FAR BRIDGE Jun03 May06 Mar11 Jan21   (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
SILVER KNOTT (GB) Jun03 Nov04       (appleby charle)MULLEN RICHARD 122 6.00    
WIZARD OF WESTWOOD Jun11 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jul03 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
KALIK Jun03 May07 Mar17 Oct23 Sep16 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
MONDEGO (GB) Jun02 May07 Apr08 Feb18   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  REDISTRICTING (GB) Jun03         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
11  THE FOXES (IRE)         (balding andrew)MURPHY OISIN 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
BEL-11   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Victory Ride Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERPOLATE Apr16 Feb05 Jan03 Oct14 Aug14 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
DAZZLING BLUE May19 Dec26 Nov16     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
VAHVA May05 Apr07 Feb18 Dec26 Nov26 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
ADELIESE'S SMILE Jun23 Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 Nov11 (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
MAPLE LEAF MEL May19 Mar24 Aug26 Aug10   (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF May29 Apr29 Mar18 Feb17 Jan14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
TOPSY Jun11 May19 Mar25 Feb25 Jan07 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
RED CARPET READY May05 Mar04 Feb04 Nov26 Oct30 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
BEL-12   07/08/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREW LOOSE Jun01 Apr21       (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Jun09 Apr23 Apr01     (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 74% 0.40    
BAY BANK         (terranova john)TORRES A 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S NOT MY FAULT         (brown bruce )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KERN RIVER May20         (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
BURN JAKEY BURN Jul17         (brown r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
SCR  ONOFRIO         (giglio gin)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
REAP WHAT YOU SOW May21 Apr23       (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SINALOA         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
10  LEFTEMBEHIND Jun09 May06 Mar17 Oct27 Sep29 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00    
11  GIO'S MAJESTICNESS         (romero jesus)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  BOSTON STRONG MAMA         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 114 8.00    
13  HERONEANDONLY Jun01 Nov20 Nov13 Oct07 Sep13 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 20.00    
SCR  WAR PRINCE Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE MARTY May05 Apr07 Nov13 Sep29 Sep05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU Jun04 May19 Apr23     (summers chad)TORRES A 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.