Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (7/1/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3/5)-(7/1/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3/5)-(7/1/2/3/5)-(7/1/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3/5)-(3/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3/5)-(3/6/1)-(7/1/2/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(7/1/2/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(7/1/2/9/5)-(1/8/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-3   WIN (7/1/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/9/5)-(7/1/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/9/5)-(7/1/2/9/5)-(7/1/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/9/5)-(1/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/9/5)-(1/8/2/4)-(11/8/7/4/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-4   WIN (1/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/4)-(11/8/7/4/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/4)-(11/8/7/4/13)-(1/8/3/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-5   WIN (11/8/7/4/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/7/4/13)-(11/8/7/4/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/7/4/13)-(11/8/7/4/13)-(11/8/7/4/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/8/7/4/13)-(1/8/3/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/8/7/4/13)-(1/8/3/2/5)-(8/2/7/3/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
BEL-6   WIN (1/8/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2/5)-(1/8/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2/5)-(1/8/3/2/5)-(1/8/3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/3/2/5)-(8/2/7/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/2/5)-(8/2/7/3/1)-(3/1/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-7   WIN (8/2/7/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3/1)-(8/2/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3/1)-(8/2/7/3/1)-(8/2/7/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/7/3/1)-(3/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3/1)-(3/1/6)-(1/8/5/12/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/8/5/12/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BEL-9   WIN (1/8/5/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/12/11)-(1/8/5/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/12/11)-(1/8/5/12/11)-(1/8/5/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   06/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAM May28         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 7% 13.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VINDICTIVE WAYS by BROKEN VOW)
1A  GRAB THE GLORY         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BRIDGEHAMPTON by BERNARDINI)
2  SHEZA BERNARDINI         (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CHARISMATA by ADMIRING WEIGHS)
3  CHARITY FIRST         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CHARITABLE LINK by DATA LINK)
SCR  MARCO T. May11         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
5  NICKY JOLENE         (falcone robe)TORRES A 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MORE THAN LOVE by MORE THAN READY)
6  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY         (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
7  SORORITY PARTY         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 51% 0.90    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LEHIGH by TOP HIT)
8  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW May12         (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of COYOTE PRETTY by UNION RAGS)
9  ASTONESTHROWAWAY         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of EL REBECCA by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  CARA'S TIME         (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
 
BEL-2   06/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSY GREER Dec30 Dec01 Oct02 Aug25 Jul30 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  HONEY MONEY Apr16 Mar17 Feb12 Dec29 Dec11 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
3  GOOD SAM Nov06 Oct02       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 116 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  YOU LOOK COLD May12 Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Oct26 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00    
SCR  IN MY OPINION May18 May08 Mar27 Feb21 Jan18 (bedard alan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
6  MIDNIGHT STROLL May14 Feb18 Oct22 Aug26 Jul02 (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
BEL-3   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLYPRINCE May14 Apr07 Mar18 Mar03 Jan29 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 10.00    
2  URAGANO May11 Mar30 Sep24 Aug18 Jul15 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCOTTO Jun01 Sep17 Sep01 Aug21 Aug14 (jones ed)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
4  FATHER GLADO May04 Feb22 Dec30 Aug05 Jul03 (d'angelo jose )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
5  MAMA BANNED ME May13 Apr14 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPETTRO May26 Dec09 Nov05 Oct06 Aug25 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
7  PARATUS May26 Mar05 Jan28     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
8  GOOD RAPPORT May26 Apr13 Mar04 Jan21 Dec17 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
9  PROVISION Mar31 Mar24 Dec30 Nov11 Oct27 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE Jun01 May06 Apr07 Mar25 Mar18 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 12.00    
 
BEL-4   06/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHYASOON May19 Jan27 Dec17 Nov26 Sep04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
2  HAPPY FARM May27 Apr23 Mar30 Mar05 Jan22 (miceli michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
3  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA May19 Apr30 Mar24 Dec11 Oct09 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
4  LAFITTE'S FLEET May21 Apr27 Apr01 Feb26 Jan26 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  EMERALD FOREST Apr01 Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 Oct07 (morley thoma)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Feb25 Jan15 Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
7  LOST IN ROME May27 May13 Apr27 Apr01 Mar25 (younghans willi)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
8  WAYAKIN Apr07 Feb25 Jan28 Nov23 Nov02 (diodoro roberti)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
BEL-5   06/15/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON May27 Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Jun04 May14 Apr02 Sep29 Sep15 (paragallo j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
2  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES May14 Mar25 Mar04     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
3  MOONFLYER May11 Dec29 Dec01 Nov06 Aug06 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
4  BILL OF RIGHTS         (ferris holl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 7% 13.70    
5  COSMIC STORM         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
6  EQUALIZER May26 Apr08 Feb25 Aug15   (metivier ric)TORRES A 119 30.00    
7  LAWFUL Apr08 Mar19 Feb19 Jan12 Dec17 (jacobson david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 10% 9.20    
8  MOMENT OF INSIGHT         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
9  GOLDEN PURCHASE May27 May21 May06 Apr21 Apr02 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 50.00    
SCR  CUBANO         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
11  LUNA WARRIOR Mar30 Feb19 Dec02 Oct23   (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
12  CARPE CAPELLA May14 Apr15 Mar26 Mar03 Oct09 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 50.00    
13  RUN DIEM Z         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 7% 13.70    
 
BEL-6   06/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELIQUE Apr29         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
2  REIGNING CHICK May21 Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 Jan28 (walder r)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY May22 Apr25 Sep05 Aug13 Jul20 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 125 4.50 11% 8.50    
4  CHARGE NURSE Nov15 Oct24 Sep14 Aug23 Jul25 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
5  CAPTIVATING CARA Jun02 May04 Apr13 Mar31 Mar12 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEETIE May11 Apr06       (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00    
7  LAVON Apr23 Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 Dec16 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
8  DANSEUR D'ORO May21 Apr29 Apr06 Mar11 Jul27 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 12% 7.70    
9  CLOVER STREET May21 Apr23 Mar18 Feb20 Dec17 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
BEL-7   06/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG PACKAGE May04 Sep02 Jul21 Jun23 Apr30 (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 5% 17.70    
2  RUNNINGWSCISSORS May04 Apr27 Apr01 Feb10 Nov18 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 15% 5.50    
3  SOUPER SUCCESS Jun01 Apr29 Mar12 Feb03 Jan13 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00 8% 11.00    
4  SEVEN SCENTS May04 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Aug31 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
5  PINE KNOLL Mar16 Jan27 Jan07 May21 Apr20 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
6  AFTER FIVE Apr20 Mar11 Feb12 Dec17 Nov20 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
7  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Oct27 Sep13 Aug04 Jul04 May29 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 11% 8.50    
8  OUTLAW KID Dec30 Nov25 Oct23 Sep17 Aug28 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
9  INTO THE SUNRISE Apr13 Jan28 Jan01 Oct08 Aug07 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
 
BEL-8   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONAL IMPACT May28 Apr29 Apr06 Mar25 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO May29 Apr30 Apr23 Mar30 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
2  KINETIC SKY Apr30 Mar04 Feb02 Jan01 Nov06 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
3  STAGE RAIDER Apr16 Jul23 May28 Apr13 Mar05 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  MILES D Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 Feb19   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
5  SHOOTERS SHOOT Apr10 Mar05 Jan29 Jan02   (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
6  BUSINESS MODEL May21 Apr28 Mar11 Jan28 Dec26 (jacobson david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 6% 15.10    
7  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Apr29 Mar04 Feb05 Jan06 Jun11 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
 
BEL-9   06/15/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBYN AND ELI May05 Oct09 Aug18 Jul16 Jun19 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  FOLLOW THE FED May13 Mar03 Feb17 Jan14 Dec16 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULLY WICKED         (gyarmati le)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
4  PHINNEYS HARBOR May04 Apr08 Mar12     (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
5  RED BUTTERFLY Nov27 Oct28 Sep17     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 8% 11.00    
6  PIMENOVA Apr22 Mar12 Jan14 Oct29 Feb27 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
7  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Feb12 Jan28 Nov19     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
8  DADDYSLILBOSSLADY Jan22         (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 4.00 19% 4.30    
9  STRIKING MELODY Dec18 Nov26 Oct23 Sep26 Sep05 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
10  BANDULU QUEEN Apr22 Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Dec03 (johnson cl)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00    
11  ALTERINA         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  MAGGIE Nov19 Oct24 Sep25 Sep15 Aug01 (kirby john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAYFLATION         (gargan danny)TORRES A 113 12.00    
SCR  JANNIE MAE Apr14 Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul17 (nevin michell)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00    
SCR  SPOILS OF WAR Apr22 Sep23 Sep05     (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
SCR  MARY KATHERINE May18 Apr22       (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.