Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (6/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/10)-(6/10/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/10)-(6/10/5/3)-(6/10/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/10)-(8/10/3/9/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/10)-(8/10/3/9/7)-(5/4/6/10) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-2   WIN (8/10/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/3/9/7)-(8/10/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/3/9/7)-(8/10/3/9/7)-(8/10/3/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/3/9/7)-(5/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/3/9/7)-(5/4/6/10)-(9/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-3   WIN (5/4/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/10)-(5/4/6/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/10)-(5/4/6/10/7)-(5/4/6/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/10)-(9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/10)-(9/3)-(6/11/8/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-4   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3/1/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/3/1/8/4)-(9/3/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3)-(6/11/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(6/11/8/2)-(2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-5   WIN (6/11/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/8/2)-(6/11/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/11/8/2)-(6/11/8/2)-(6/11/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/11/8/2)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/11/8/2)-(2/3/5)-(4/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/5/6/3)-(13/12/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3/8)-(4/5/6/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/6/3)-(13/12/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (13/12/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/12/8)-(13/12/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (13/12/8)-(13/12/8)-(13/12/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVING MAMA Dec16 Nov03 Oct11 Sep30 Sep21 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 50.00    
2  SEMI CHARMED DAY Dec15 Oct27 Sep25 Aug27 Aug20 (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
3  FIGHTVILLE Oct10 Sep21 Sep13 Aug25 Aug05 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 6.00 ★    
4  PERCENTAGE Dec21 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 Aug26 (cline robert)RAMOS D 120 4.00    
5  TEXAS HEDGE Dec22 Nov30 Sep20 Sep08 Aug18 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 5.00 ★    
6  TWO WORLDS Dec17 Oct28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug12 (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  SHIPSHAPE Dec16 Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
SCR  FEELING IT Dec21 Dec08 Oct13 Oct05 Sep01 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 20.00    
9  RAMPAGE Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Sep29 Sep20 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
10  RUDIGER Dec15 Oct11 Aug19     (adams nancy )HALDAR J 120 20.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  VALYCOVE Oct03 Sep16 Aug26 Aug03 Jul07 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
12  DELFT BLUE Dec16 Nov26 Oct19 Oct07 Sep04 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
 
TP-2   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST WARPATH Dec14 Nov17 Oct14 Oct01 Sep21 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00    
2  POUR ME A DOUBLE Dec14 Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 Oct16 (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
3  MALIBU TIME Dec29 Nov11 Oct12 Sep28 Aug07 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 6% 16.10    
4  ENGLISH TIDE Dec14 Jun29 Apr28 Mar26 Feb26 (hester haley)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU Dec14 Dec01 Oct18 Sep27 Sep09 (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST Dec17 Nov16 Oct06 Sep15 Aug16 (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
7  CHASIN CHARLIE Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 Oct14 Sep21 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Dec14 Nov13 Oct23 Oct07 Sep24 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
9  NOMADIC FIGHTER Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Oct11 Sep07 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  EXPLOSIVE Nov19 Oct02 Aug19 Jul02 Jun03 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 4.50 10% 9.40    
11  READY PURSUIT Dec22 Dec08 Nov10 Oct23 Sep30 (antonuik )BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
 
TP-3   01/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAN CLUB Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug06 Jun18 (romans da)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
2  COMMON BOND Dec11 Nov02 Sep30 Jul17 May22 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
3  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Oct03 Sep01 Jul04 May20   (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
4  PINE KNOLL May21 Apr20 Mar19 Jan13   (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
5  BUY ME CANDY Aug15 Jul18 Apr27 Mar18 Feb10 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
6  BE HERE Dec01 Oct23 Oct07 Sep01 Aug14 (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
7  HARD LOVE Sep24 Jul31       (kenneally e)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 ★    
8  LEBLON Dec11 Nov23 Oct23 Oct02 Sep01 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50    
SCR  SPACE FORCE WON Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Sep29 Sep09 (glyshaw tim)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
10  UNDERDRESSED Dec17 Nov12 Sep29 Sep01 Aug22 (hernand)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-4   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ OF THEE Nov03 Mar25 Jan22     (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
2  BRENTSPENCE Dec17 Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Sep12 (langemeie)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
3  SEVEN AND SEVEN Dec29 Nov02       (galindo-to)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  MR. CUNNINGHAM Dec31 Dec16 Nov03 Oct16 Aug19 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 20.00 ★    
5  RIKIO Dec13 Nov29 Oct14 Sep21 Aug12 (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
6  ONE MORE BABY Nov27 Oct12 Sep03 Aug04 Jul01 (asmussen ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
7  CONTRACTOR BILL Dec17 Nov03 Oct06 Aug22 Jul22 (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00    
8  ONE LAST HAND Dec17 Mar12 Feb12 Jan16   (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 ★    
9  ROCKET DAWG Dec02         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
10  WIMOWEH Dec07 Oct27 Oct06     (gorostieta )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
11  TRAPPE THE GOLD Nov27 Oct27 Oct11     (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 120 12.00    
12  MY GOLD MIRROR Dec16 Nov14 May31 May10 Apr19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
 
TP-5   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING Nov27 Nov17       (delgado gus)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
2  UHADCHOICES         (vaughan edwa)RAMOS D 120 12.00 5% 18.60    
3  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Dec11 Dec02 Oct23     (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 30.00    
4  HENDRIX Dec09 Nov11 Oct14     (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 10.00    
5  SHARP AZ NAILS Dec09 Nov11 Sep13     (winebaugh ch)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
6  ZOOMSTER Sep05         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  IRONSIDES Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Aug30 Jul30 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
8  SAN MARCO CITY Dec22         (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 7% 13.40    
9  SAILOR'S CHANCE Dec02 Oct14 Sep05 Aug19 Jul16 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50    
10  CRACK THE MOON Dec09 Oct20 Sep22     (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
11  MAMBA FOREVER Dec11 Oct22 Sep30 Aug28 Jul24 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 11% 8.20    
12  SWISS GUARD Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
SCR  HE GOTS TO GO Dec22         (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  DINGMANN Dec11 Oct21       (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
 
TP-6   01/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREW'S GOLD May12         (chapman jame)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FROLIC'S REVENGE by VINDICATION)
2  RETAINED Dec09 Oct14 Sep11 Aug06 Jul08 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by BAYERN out of RARITIES by CITY ZIP)
3  PROVE RIGHT Dec11 Dec03 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 (chapman k)FELIX E 118 2.50 14% 6.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  ACCIDENT Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 Oct30 Oct09 (short t)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 ★    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
5  SCHIFTY'S HALOID Dec28 Nov07 Oct19 Sep05 Jul02 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 14% 6.40    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of HEARTBREAK HILL by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  SCOOBIE QUANDO         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAVERON by BLACK SAM BELLAMY)
 
TP-7   01/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT J J Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 Aug11 Jul20 (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
2  JUNGLE WARFARE Nov04 Oct03 May10 Mar26 Feb26 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
3  PADDY'S HOUSE Dec11 Nov11 Oct26 Oct05 Aug23 (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 Nov05 Sep26 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  DRIFTWOOD Dec01 Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 Aug06 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00 29% 2.50    
6  SLICKED BACK Dec11 Nov11 Oct03 Sep10 Jul01 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
7  PROTONIC POWER Oct21 Oct01 Sep14 Jul30 Jul17 (hernandez arm)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
8  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Dec09 Nov24 Sep16 Aug24 Jul27 (lyster steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Dec22 Nov30 Nov03 Oct04 Sep21 (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
10  RICOCHET Nov27 Sep05 Jul30 Jul01 May28 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.00    
 
TP-8   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Dec31 Dec11 Nov16 Oct15 Sep15 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 120 2.50    
2  TOO CROWDED Nov08 Oct24 Oct12 Sep20 Jun30 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
3  RUNAWAY MOM Dec11 Dec03 Oct21 Aug28 Jul22 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 5.00    
4  KNOT WILD Dec11 Nov22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug17 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 20.00    
5  MY ANGELICA Dec29 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 Oct06 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 15.00    
6  NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Dec11 Nov09 Sep27 Aug30 Aug10 (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 20.00    
SCR  DIFFERENTBUTOK Dec15 Sep29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 7% 13.40    
8  GOLDEN OLDIE Oct03 Sep21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 (estvank)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SUPORB Dec11 Nov16 Oct11 Sep29 Sep22 (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
SCR  MOSE DEFINITELY Dec31 Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 Aug22 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
SCR  SHES A THREAT Dec29 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 (beck rowena)RAMOS D 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
12  STORMY WAGER Dec15 Dec01 Oct12 Sep20 Jul21 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
13  ASKEW Dec04 Nov06 Sep16 Aug28 Jul07 (childers v)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  ZAWADI Dec29 Oct06 Aug19 Jul26   (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.