Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/1/2)-(2/3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/3/7/4)-(4/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/4)-(4/6/1)-(8/6/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(8/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(8/6/2/1)-(3/2/5/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/4/1)-(8/6/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/2/1)-(3/2/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/1)-(3/2/5/8/1)-(2/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/2/5/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8/1)-(3/2/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8/1)-(3/2/5/8/1)-(3/2/5/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/5/8/1)-(2/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/8/1)-(2/9/8)-(3/2/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/8)-(2/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/8)-(2/9/8)-(2/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/9/8)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8)-(3/2/1)-(11/2/5/10/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(11/2/5/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (11/2/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/5/10/7)-(11/2/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/5/10/7)-(11/2/5/10/7)-(11/2/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOP LIFTING Oct31 Sep21 Aug22 Jun30 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
2  THE TACO LADY Oct31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 May18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
3  TRUTH AND BEAUTY         (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DEL MAR MAY by JIMMY CREED)
4  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Oct24 Aug02 Jun16     (metivier richar)RUIZ ELISEO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
5  ON COMMAND Oct25 Aug31 Jul05 Jun15 May11 (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
AQU-2   12/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY Nov11 Oct02 Aug17     (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 22% 3.50    
2  ISLAND RIDE Sep26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun16 Apr07 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  VEHEMENTE Nov09 Aug22 Jul17     (sharp joe)RIVERA R 118 2.00    
4  SHADYSIDE Sep28 Aug23       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
SCR  POWER DRIVER Nov09 Oct03       (allard edward)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
6  BROADWAY LIGHTS Oct27 Oct02 Sep10 Aug17   (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.40 39% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   12/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND AGAIN Nov17 Aug09 Apr18 Mar21 Feb29 (shivmangal loli)OTERO AAROM 112 15.00    
1A  MAJESTIC ARC Nov10 Oct31 Jun09 May25 May09 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
2  BEARY FUNNY Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug21 Aug04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  FINAL DENILE Nov23 Oct04 Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 (clement )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  MASTERWORK Nov17 Oct25 Sep29 Sep01 Jul25 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  IRIE MAN Oct10 Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Jul24 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 120 12.00    
SCR  GENTLE BREEZE Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 Aug17 Sep09 (allard t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
7  FREEZE POP Jun15 May20 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  MUAZARAH Nov17 Oct31 Oct10 Sep27 Aug07 (trites land)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
9  VIN SANTO Jul20 Jun14 May27 May10 Apr13 (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
 
AQU-4   12/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT IT Nov08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug15 Jan27 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VERY STORMY Nov03 Oct04 Sep14 Aug15 Jul18 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
3  DOLLY'S BANK Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Jul28 Jun30 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
4  RUNAWAY JOKE Nov13 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 63% 0.60    
SCR  TWO FOR CHARGING Nov15 Sep20 Jul18 Jun14 Nov10 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
6  BRICK AMBUSH Oct04 Jun06 Apr21 Mar10 Jan19 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SIR PALACE PRINCE Nov11 Oct15 Sep18 Aug17 Aug10 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 20.00    
8  REFUAH Nov15 Nov03 Oct13 Jul18 Jul06 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
AQU-5   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKELY'S WISH Oct26 Aug30 Aug08     (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
2  WILLFUL MAMA Nov02 Sep13 Aug22     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  STRACA Oct17 Sep20       (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  LADY WISDOM Oct20 Aug08       (morey william )LUZZI J 119 5.00 ★    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MYSELF by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  GIANT AT WORK         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of THE GIANT'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Nov03 Sep13 Aug14 Jul05   (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
7  ON A SUMMER DAY Nov14 Sep27 Sep13 Aug15 Jul25 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
8  DREAMWORKIN Oct10 Sep20       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of EGG ROLL by WAQUOIT)
9  VINO SAMARA Oct20         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SAMARA by HARD SPUN)
 
AQU-6   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITALIZE Nov07 Oct27 Sep26 Jan07   (donk david)LUZZI J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
2  IRON MAN IRA Nov02 Jul27 Jun15 May11 Apr13 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAINTLY ROSE by GRAEME HALL)
3  DAYBRIGHT DELIGHTS Oct27 Sep26 Aug30 Jun22 May26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 41% 1.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CITY AT DAWN by CITY ZIP)
4  SOL THE FRANK Nov07         (legall )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 50.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of PLENTY FAST by RAKEEN)
5  ENGLISH CASTLE Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 May03 Nov03 (de horaci)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SEA COAST by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
6  STORMY'S DREAMING Nov02 Aug28 Jul11 Jun14 Aug12 (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of STORMY'S SMILE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  BARON OF SEALAND         (gargan)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TO A FRIEND by SCAT DADDY)
8  VAN VOLLENHOVEN Oct25         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
9  D C BOY'S Aug15 Jul11       (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
SCR  EXECUTIVE MOVE Nov02 Oct04 Aug28 Jul27 Dec29 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
 
AQU-7   12/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAM PAM Oct06 Aug30 Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
2  NEXT ON STAGE Nov01 Oct04 Sep02 Jul25 Jun15 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  LAST GLORY Nov10 Oct24 Sep27 Jul14 Jun20 (arenas marcelo)OTERO AAROM 110 20.00    
SCR  STREET VIEW Nov16 Oct19 Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
5  WILD IRIS Nov10 Oct24 Sep20 Aug06   (duggan p)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
SCR  VALIANT MAJESTY Nov12 Oct15 Sep04 Aug20 Aug01 (soto- martine)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
SCR  BABY BLOCKS Oct31 Oct10 Aug29 Aug12 Jul11 (kelly bl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 12.00    
8  TOP OF THE TABLE Nov03 Oct12 Aug25 Jun08 May16 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SPIRITUAL LADY Nov09 Oct12 Sep02 Aug10 Jul18 (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.50 26% 2.90    
10  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Nov21 Jul15 Jun14 Jun09 May10 (chicha)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
 
AQU-8   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Oct27 Sep22 Aug07 Jul18 Jun20 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 9% 10.00    
2  GOLDEN DEGREE Oct04 Aug10 Jun22 May16 Apr20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  JULIA SHINING May17 Apr13 Nov25 Oct28 Aug19 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
SCR  NATURE'S CANDY Nov10 Oct29 Oct11 Sep21 Aug26 (padilla hugo )SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00    
SCR  MS. TART Nov10 Oct20 Sep15 Aug05 Jul06 (russell brittan)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
6  COURBE Oct12 Aug24 Jul12 Oct15 Sep16 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
7  SWEETEST PRINCESS Nov10 Aug22 Jul11 Jun09 Apr25 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
8  RINGY DINGY Oct16 Sep01 Jul08 May17 Dec02 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
AQU-9   12/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH OVER ME Nov09 Aug18 Jul07 Oct26   (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00    
2  MAJULU Nov17 Nov07 Aug28 Jul26 Jun27 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FUNNY FORECAST Nov16 Oct20 Jul07     (quiles m)OTERO AAROM 117 30.00    
4  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Nov07 Sep15 Aug17 Jun28 Sep15 (summers)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00    
5  DREAM ON CARA Nov09 Oct20 Sep26 Aug23 Apr14 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 8% 12.10    
6  DIGITAL CURRENCY Aug14 Jul14 Jun28 May26 May02 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
7  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Nov16 Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 (begg be)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Jul05 May26 Apr27 Mar21 Mar02 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00    
9  SHE'S A NATURAL Nov16 Nov07 Sep21 Jul05 Jun14 (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
10  PUREST PERFORMANCE Nov17 Nov09 Oct24 Sep14 Jul26 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  NAUGHTY DESTINY Nov07 Sep15 Aug17 Jun14 May25 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.