Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.80  
AQU-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.90  
AQU-3   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
AQU-4   Win (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
AQU-5   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 8.60
AQU-6   Win (3/7/2/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.10 $6.10  
AQU-7   Win (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
AQU-8   Win (1/5/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
AQU-9   Win (10/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.50 $6.50  
AQU-10   Win (2/10/12/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $25.20  
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/16/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
See original race card.
:22 :46 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ENDLESS LOVE 6 7 65¼ 3½   11 11½ (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 7.90  
3  OUT TOO LATE (GB) 3 6 77¼ 41   21 21½ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 7% 12.40 4.40 P
7  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) 7 2 54¾ 52   33½ 33¼ (mott willi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 5.60  
1  HEAVENLY GIRL 1 3 44½ 73¼   46 46¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 7% 14.10 6.30  
4  SANDI'S SATIRE 4 8 812¼ 84¼   58 510¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 36.75  
8  AUNT NONA 8 1 3½ 2½   68½ 612¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 23.40  
5  LONG LEGGED QUEEN 5 4 2nk 1½   710 716½ (doyle g)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 62% 0.60 0.90  
2  NO TRICKS 2 5 1nk 62¼   815½ 825¼ (duarte jr)OLVER MADISON 122 15.00 5% 19.00 37.25  
SCR  SHOP LIFTING               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
 
AQU-2   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:224 :461 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOXIC GRAY 6 1 11 1nk   11½ 13½ (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 1.45  
5  TIVY 5 3 21 2nk   21½ 23½ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6% 14.60 10.90 P
3  KEY POINT 3 2 31½ 32½   35½ 37¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 47% 1.10 2.05 S
1  BONUS MOVE 1 5 53 54¾   57 49¼ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 16% 5.20 3.50  
2  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 2 4 42 42¾   46½ 510 (kantarmaci ilka)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 17.30  
4  SWINGING SOLO 4 6 64½ 67¼   611½ 617¼ (sacco gregory)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 8.60  
 
AQU-3   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Notebook Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHOOT IT TRUE 4 2 11 1nk   11½ 14¼ (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 117 8.00 29% 2.50 2.70 W
6  KENNY BE 5 1 31 2nk   21½ 24¼ (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.00 2.65  
3  SOONTOBEKING 3 3 64½ 64¼   46½ 35½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 5.20  
1  MAN IN FINANCE 1 5 21 31½   36 46¼ (gargan danny)RIVERA R 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.55  
7  THREE B'S 6 4 52½ 41¾   58 59½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 15.20  
2  IN THE CHASE 2 6 41½ 52¼   611 616¾ (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
SCR  PHOEBEINWONDERLAND               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 10.00    
 
AQU-4   11/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:132 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STREET VIEW 2 2 68½ 45 2½ 1½ 1¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.00 33% 2.10 2.40 W
1  SOLVE THE PUZZLE 1 1 1nk 11 1½ 2½ 2¾ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 21% 3.70 4.00 P
5  LOOKING FOR GINNY 5 5 712½ 713 59½ 49 311½ (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 3.25  
3  LOOKS FIRST 3 3 2nk 21 34 38 415¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 9% 9.90 4.50  
7  IN ALL MY DREAMS 7 7 34 34½ 49 515 535¾ (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 4.80  
6  FUNNY FORECAST 6 6 56½ 56½ 611 617½ 641½ (quiles )HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 38.75  
4  PROMDATEBONNIE 4 4 45 68 714½ 721½ 757½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
 
AQU-5   11/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WEIGH THE RISKS 2 5 42 21 2½ 15½ 19 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30 W
6  BELLS BEACH 6 2 21½ 32½ 34 36½ 29 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 0.95  
1  SAVE US MELANIA 1 1 11½ 11 1½ 25½ 313½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 31% 2.20 3.15 S
4  I'M BUZZY 4 3 53½ 54½ 48½ 412 417¾ (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 12.60  
5  SEDONA 5 6 610 610½ 611 515 519¼ (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 32% 2.10 4.20  
3  BEST IMPRESSION 3 4 31½ 42½ 510½ 618½ 628¼ (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 19.80  
 
AQU-6   11/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:121 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SLAPINTHEFACE 3 1 33½ 42 42 3.2 13 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.70 2.05 W
12  ROYAL BROWNE 11 3 12 2nk 1nk 2nk 23 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.00 P
5  MIRACLE MIKE 5 2 44 1nk 2nk 1nk 33¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 11.80  
2  FAKE CELEBRITY 2 7 97¼ 74¼ 73¾ 42¼ 44 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 16% 5.40 6.80  
6  EZ ROLL 6 10 109¼ 106¼ 85¼ 63¼ 54¼ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 22.90  
9  BLAME IT ON DADDY 9 11 1110¼ 116¾ 117 95¼ 64½ (de horac)RIVERA R 121 20.00 78.25  
7  AMPLITUDE 7 9 77 94¾ 105½ 85¼ 75¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.00 2.70  
4  MIZTERTONIC 4 4 54 31½ 31½ 52¾ 85¾ (brion keri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 6.00 16% 5.40 3.45  
13  ROHAN 12 5 22 52½ 53½ 74¾ 97¾ (friedman mitchel)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 65.00  
1  YOUR MISSION 1 6 65½ 62¾ 63¾ 105¾ 108¾ (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00 ######  
8  EMPIRE SKY 8 12 1211¾ 128¼ 127½ 128 1110 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00 56.25  
11  KID KREESA 10 8 87¼ 84¾ 95½ 117¾ 1211¾ (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 123 30.00 61.75  
SCR  BAD LARRY               (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50    
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK               (winney )HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  FINAL DENILE               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
SCR  HAGRID'S FLAME               (terranova p)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13 1:394   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CUMBERLAND BLUES 8 6 68½ 69½ 64¼ 2nk 1hd (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 3.50 25% 3.10 3.60 W
3  VALENZAN DAY 3 2 55½ 59 54 1nk 2hd (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 0.80 26% 2.80 0.80 P
2  BLAKE B. 2 5 45 45½ 32 31 37 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 3.60  
5  COMMANDPERFORMANCE 5 7 710 715½ 811¼ 51¾ 48¾ (barrera oscar)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00 22.40  
4  OPTIC WAY 4 1 1nk 1½ 12 41¼ 510½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 6% 16.50 20.70  
7  STRONG LIGHT 7 8 812 815½ 710¾ 83¾ 610¾ (samsundar roshan)OTERO AAROM 111 20.00 66.50  
6  DADDY KNOWS 6 3 3½ 32½ 43 62¾ 712¾ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 18% 4.60 17.90  
1  STEADY PROGRESS 1 4 2nk 2½ 22 73¾ 818¾ (chatterp)GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00 20.20  
 
AQU-8   11/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN 1 1 11½ 12 11 12½ 12¼ (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 30% 2.30 0.85 W
3  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY 3 3 56 56½ 45 34 22¼ (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
2  JUST ONE MORE 2 4 21½ 22 21 22½ 32¾ (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 5.00  
9  ELITE STATUS (GB) 9 7 44½ 45½ 34½ 44 42¾ (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 19% 4.20 5.90  
8  SHE'S A NATURAL 8 10 1011¾ 99 77 57½ 56¾ (sciacca gary)RIVERA R 124 12.00 33.50  
7  HOLDER CLOSE 7 5 88¼ 78½ 87½ 89¼ 67 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 66.75  
4  ADDAGIRL ADDIE 4 2 33 34 55 68½ 78¼ (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 65.50  
10  DETONATE 10 8 66 67 66½ 79 810½ (clement )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
5  STARLIGHT DANCER 5 6 78 88½ 911 912¼ 911½ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00 25% 3.00 7.80  
6  CHILI BEAN 6 9 911¼ 1013 1016 1021¼ 1025½ (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 74.50  
SCR  LEARNING TO FLY               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
SCR  PURPOSE               (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.60    
 
AQU-9   11/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Central Park Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:121 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JACK AND JIM 4 9 64½ 73¾ 53 32 1½ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 20% 3.90 2.25 W
8  SMOOTH BREEZE 8 10 86 85¼ 85½ 73¾ 2½ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 13.00  
9  EARLY ADOPTER (GB) 9 7 107¾ 106¼ 96½ 63¼ 3½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.00 1.95 S
2  SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN 2 2 2½ 31½ 21½ 21½ 42¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 12.80  
6  NOT FOR HIRE 6 5 1½ 11½ 11½ 11½ 54¾ (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 7.70  
5  DAVY CROCKETT 5 8 74½ 42 31½ 53 67¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 ★ 9.60  
3  FIRE PIT 3 3 53½ 52½ 63½ 85¾ 77½ (preciado gua)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00 13% 6.70 33.00  
10  SUPER SWIFT 10 4 31½ 21½ 42 43 810¼ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 24% 3.10 14.60  
7  MANHATTAN TWIST 7 6 96¼ 95¼ 1010 911¾ 913¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 10.30  
1  MCDIESEL 1 1 42½ 62¾ 75 1012¾ 1018¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 67.75  
SCR  ROCK D'ORO               (beckett ralph)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
 
AQU-10   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STORM CHANGER 4 11 107¾ 86½   54½ 11 (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 11.60  
2  BLUE EYED SCOUT 2 1 2nk 1½   12½ 21 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 44% 1.30 1.10 P
8  MISS TIRAMISU 7 9 52¼ 41½   22½ 31¾ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 4.80  
10  TRULLI MAGIC 9 10 84¾ 54   33½ 42 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 23% 3.30 5.80  
3  PRETTY MAGICAL 3 3 62¾ 75½   76¾ 58¼ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 18.70  
6  HATTIE CARROLL 5 2 1nk 3½   44½ 69¾ (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 24.25  
12  SPOOL 11 6 31 2½   64¾ 79¾ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 6% 16.40 5.30  
1  JE T'ADORE 1 8 118¾ 910½   911¼ 816 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 42.75  
7  OUR PREFERRED PAL 6 4 42 64½   87¾ 916½ (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 47.25  
11  LADY OF MERCIA 10 7 95¼ 1011   1013¼ 1020½ (keithan rachael)OLVER MADISON 119 30.00 5% 19.00 95.50  
9  BANK ON BEBE 8 5 73¾ 1111¼   1113¼ 1120¾ (davis robb)DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00 44.75  
SCR  HONEY IN THE BANK               (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  MIAVANA               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.