Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (3/7/2/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (1/5/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (10/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-10   Win (2/10/12/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   11/16/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY GIRL Oct20 May25 Apr25 Jul26   (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 7% 14.10    
2  NO TRICKS Oct31 Sep23 Jul04 May11   (duarte jr)OLVER MADISON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUT TOO LATE (GB) Sep21 Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 Aug13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 7% 12.40    
4  SANDI'S SATIRE         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
5  LONG LEGGED QUEEN Oct20 Aug17 Jun25     (doyle g)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
6  ENDLESS LOVE         (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
7  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) Sep21 Aug25 Jul14 Jun06 Sep17 (mott willi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
8  AUNT NONA Jul27 Jun28       (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
SCR  SHOP LIFTING Oct31 Sep21 Aug22 Jun30 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
 
AQU-2   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONUS MOVE Apr18 Mar03 Dec30 Nov17   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Oct24 Oct05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 (kantarmaci ilka)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
3  KEY POINT Sep21 Aug01 Sep24 Aug26 May12 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  SWINGING SOLO Oct12         (sacco gregory)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
5  TIVY Oct05 Aug23 Jul14 Jun23 Jun06 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6% 14.60    
6  TOXIC GRAY Oct24 Sep27 Jul05 Jun08 May11 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
 
AQU-3   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Notebook Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN IN FINANCE Sep21         (gargan danny)RIVERA R 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  IN THE CHASE Oct21 Oct04 Aug25 Jul25   (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SOONTOBEKING Oct27 Sep23 Aug25 Jul13 May24 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50    
SCR  PHOEBEINWONDERLAND May10         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 10.00    
5  SHOOT IT TRUE May02 Apr05       (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 117 8.00 29% 2.50    
6  KENNY BE Oct26 Sep21       (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.00    
7  THREE B'S Oct06 Sep02 Jul19     (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
 
AQU-4   11/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLVE THE PUZZLE Sep23 Aug09       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  STREET VIEW Oct19 Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 May05 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
3  LOOKS FIRST Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 Jun18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 9% 9.90    
4  PROMDATEBONNIE Oct24 Sep15 Feb18     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOOKING FOR GINNY Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
6  FUNNY FORECAST Oct20 Jul07       (quiles )HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
7  IN ALL MY DREAMS Oct25 Sep21 Aug25 Jun08 Apr26 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
 
AQU-5   11/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVE US MELANIA Sep19 Aug11 May30 Mar13 Feb14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
2  WEIGH THE RISKS Oct10 Jul07 Jun06 May03 Mar09 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEST IMPRESSION Aug31 Mar10 Jan27     (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
4  I'M BUZZY Sep22 Aug03 Jul17 Jun16 May12 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
5  SEDONA Sep22 Jul28 Jul04 May03 Mar03 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  BELLS BEACH Jul12 Jun01 Apr05     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
 
AQU-6   11/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUR MISSION Oct18 Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 May25 (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
2  FAKE CELEBRITY Sep21 Oct27 Sep04     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  SLAPINTHEFACE Oct18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun20 Nov19 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  MIZTERTONIC Nov09 Oct05 Aug31 Jul25 Jun29 (brion keri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  MIRACLE MIKE Oct18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun30 Jun09 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
6  EZ ROLL Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 Jul27 Jun20 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
7  AMPLITUDE Sep26 Aug15       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  EMPIRE SKY Oct04 Aug21 Jul07 May19 Oct20 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00    
9  BLAME IT ON DADDY Oct18 Sep21 Feb03 Nov11 Oct20 (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Jul28 Jun30 (winney )HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
11  KID KREESA Oct18 Aug30 Jul25 Jun28 Jun09 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 123 30.00    
12  ROYAL BROWNE Oct12 Jul26 Jun14 May18   (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  ROHAN Oct24 Sep27 Sep13     (friedman mitchel)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
SCR  FINAL DENILE Oct04 Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 May10 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
SCR  HAGRID'S FLAME Oct31 Jul31 Jun15 Apr13 Mar24 (terranova p)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  BAD LARRY Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jul20 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50    
 
AQU-7   11/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEADY PROGRESS Feb29 Jan28 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 (chatterp)GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00    
2  BLAKE B. Oct19 Sep23 Jun21 May26 May11 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
3  VALENZAN DAY Nov02 Jul26 Jun29 May25 May19 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 0.80 26% 2.80    
4  OPTIC WAY Oct13 Sep29 Aug21 Jul19 Jun28 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 6% 16.50    
5  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Nov02 Oct13 Sep13 Aug18 Jul19 (barrera oscar)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00    
6  DADDY KNOWS Nov02 Oct13 Aug29 Jul31 Jun21 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 18% 4.60    
7  STRONG LIGHT Oct13 Oct03 Sep14 Sep07 Jun29 (samsundar roshan)OTERO AAROM 111 20.00    
8  CUMBERLAND BLUES Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 Jul27 Jul12 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-8   11/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN Oct20 Sep21 Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  JUST ONE MORE Apr20         (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 4.50    
3  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Sep21 Jul27 Jul05 Nov02 Sep15 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
5  STARLIGHT DANCER Oct13 Sep14 Jul07 May19 Oct29 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  CHILI BEAN Oct12         (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
7  HOLDER CLOSE Oct13 Sep14 Jul24 Jun22 Jun09 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
8  SHE'S A NATURAL Nov07 Sep21 Jul05 Jun14 Apr21 (sciacca gary)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
9  ELITE STATUS (GB) Feb10 Dec16       (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
10  DETONATE Jun28 Feb09       (clement )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEARNING TO FLY Oct24 Oct01 Sep08 Jul26 Jul07 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
SCR  PURPOSE Oct25 Jul15 Apr21     (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.60    
 
AQU-9   11/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Central Park Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCDIESEL Oct19 Sep22 Aug25 Aug01 Jul07 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
2  SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN Oct19 Sep28       (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
3  FIRE PIT Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 Jul23 Jul14 (preciado gua)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00 13% 6.70    
4  JACK AND JIM Sep22         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
5  DAVY CROCKETT Oct12 Sep14 Aug17     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
6  NOT FOR HIRE Oct27         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
7  MANHATTAN TWIST Sep22 Aug15       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
8  SMOOTH BREEZE Sep28 Aug30       (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
9  EARLY ADOPTER (GB) Sep28 Aug31       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
10  SUPER SWIFT Nov01 Sep29       (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ROCK D'ORO         (beckett ralph)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
 
AQU-10   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JE T'ADORE         (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
2  BLUE EYED SCOUT Sep20 Aug30       (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  PRETTY MAGICAL Aug22         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
4  MIAVANA Jun28         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
5  STORM CHANGER         (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
6  HATTIE CARROLL         (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
7  OUR PREFERRED PAL Oct26         (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
8  MISS TIRAMISU         (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
9  BANK ON BEBE         (davis robb)DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  TRULLI MAGIC         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
11  LADY OF MERCIA         (keithan rachael)OLVER MADISON 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  SPOOL         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 6% 16.40    
SCR  HONEY IN THE BANK Oct06         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.