Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $28.60 $16.60 138%
FL-7   TRI (4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-8 $13.62 $1.62 14%
    SFT (4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-4-8-5 $33.90 $31.50 1313%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP COYER 3 4 3 4   1½ 1 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.85 W
UNION NAVY 2 5 45 33   2½ 2 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 5.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
ENTICING PROSPECT 5 2 55 5   53 3 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50 1.90  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 4 1 2½ 2nk   31 4 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.00 13% 6.90 1.75  
MACDONOUGH 1 3 1½ 1nk   41 5 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 8.00 20.90  
SCR  RETAIL MAN               (johnston rob)PEREZ E 119 8.00    
 
FL-2   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:153 1:432   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYRANNOSAURUS REX 6 5 55 5 4 2nk 1 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 5.00 6.30  
SAINT BONES 1 2 1½ 11 1nk 1nk 2 (shaffer richard)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 58% 0.70 1.00 P
ON CLOUD WINE 5 6 65 6 5 5 3 (smith troy)ROHENA JR 121 1.80 11% 8.30 3.35 S
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY 3 1 3 21 2nk 31 4 (sch)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 7% 13.60 3.85  
WATERMELON CRUSH 4 4 44 31 3.2 42 5 (wadams de)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.50 7.00  
PASTA N POLPETTE 2 3 2½ 4 610¾ 618½ 625 (gutierrez luis)BROWN DALTON 121 12.00 29.00  
 
FL-3   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARPOON 3 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 3.50 2.50  
PLAYIN IT BIG 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (ferraro michae)COA J 121 1.60 64% 0.60 0.80 P
SUPPORT THE CAT 4 3 3 33   3 3 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 12% 7.10 3.00 S
1A  ROAD TO POWER 2 4 4 4   44 4 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 1.60 0.80  
ONE WITHEVERYTHING 5 7 69 610¼   59 59 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 8.00 14.20  
ROBIN'S GIANT 7 5 55 5   613 613¼ (smith troy)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 41.25  
THE SAXON STORY 6 6 719 716¼   719 715¾ (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
 
FL-4   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGY DINGY 2 5 4 4   2½ 11 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 1.50 25% 2.90 0.35 W
UNICORN CAKE 3 3 3 3   1½ 21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 4.60  
JACKSON AVENUE 6 4 5 5   41 33 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 10.00 17.30  
SHE'S A FREUD 4 1 11 11   31 4 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 4.00 16.20  
SHELLY 1 6 65 6   65 5 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
QUEENS MASTERPIECE 5 2 21 21   54 6 (bond ja)COA J 122 5.00 23% 3.40 6.60  
 
FL-5   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITT DASHING SPEED 5 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1hd (progno micha)HARKIE K 120 8.00 10.40  
MONTAUK SURF 4 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2hd (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.50 2.05  
SARATOGA WEEKEND 6 1 3 3   33 3 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 2.50 2.35  
AMERICAN DAY 3 4 53 53   56 4 (davis d)COA J 120 2.00 37% 1.70 4.50  
STRATEGYFORYOU 2 5 42 42   44 5 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
STORE FRONT 1 6 69 68   69 610 (garza he)DAVIS A 121 10.00 18% 4.50 5.90  
 
FL-6   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAST A COIN 3 1 23 2   2 14 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 1.80 0.20  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
STORMIN SAMMY 2 5 13 1   1 24 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
  (by IRONICUS out of ALPHA STORM by ALPHA)
PROBABLY FLATTERY 5 2 34 3   3 37 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.50 15% 5.80 7.10 S
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
ONE MOREREP 1 6 6 58   4 4 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 17.50  
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of PRETTY COZZY by BROKEN VOW)
WINGO STARR 4 4 5 6   5 512¼ (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 3.00 52% 0.90 7.00  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS AND FOREVER by BROKEN VOW)
YOHEDA MONEY MAKER 6 3 44 47   617½ 621¾ (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 37.50  
  (by YOSHIDA out of STORMY SALUTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  H B PLAISANCE               (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of JANUARY by RED RANSOM)
 
FL-7   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD MAGIC 6 6 5 4 31 1nk 12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 20% 3.90 1.25 W
BROTHER JEREMIAH 4 7 7 65 4 3 22 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 2.50 33% 2.00 3.40 P
UNION LIGHTS 8 5 32 3 1½ 2nk 35 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
GLIDING AFLEET 5 8 6 7 52 5 47 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 120 15.00 13% 6.90 42.75  
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 1 2 811¼ 8 8 76 5 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 4.00 8.10  
MATTY'S EXPRESS 2 1 46 5 64 64 6 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 7.60  
GANDY DANCING 7 4 2nk 1nk 2½ 4 715¾ (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 120 6.00 8.20  
SNEADS 3 3 1nk 2nk 7 810 816 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 120 15.00 83.00  
 
FL-8   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE SHE'S SHADOW 9 2 82 5   3 1¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 65% 0.50 1.40 W
IMALOTTALADY 8 1 5 3½   1½ 2¾ (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 6.40  
FLORA ROSE 5 10 93 6   44 3 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.80 S
LADY ELOISE 7 6 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
WAR TERMINATRIX 1 7 4 43   77 5 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00 8% 11.20 4.10  
BROOKLYN ROSIE 2 9 62 7   5 6 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 15.00 32.00  
CRYSTAL 6 8 72 8   88 77 (murphy t)DAVIS A 121 20.00 50.50  
OUR REWARD 4 4 1nk 1nk   6 813¼ (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 7.40  
11  FRANKIE C 10 3 104 10   916 921 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 124 30.00 67.25  
HIDDEN WAR DANCE 3 5 3.2 9   1016½ 1029¼ (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00 92.25  
SCR  JEN'S KISS               (zufelt charle)DAVILA A 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.