Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/3/5)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(2/5/1)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/6/5/8)-(10/1/8/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8)-(4/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/8)-(10/1/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (10/1/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/3/5)-(10/1/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/3/5)-(10/1/8/3/5)-(10/1/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACDONOUGH Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
SCR  RETAIL MAN Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 (johnston rob)PEREZ E 119 8.00    
3  UNION NAVY Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  POP COYER Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 Jun19 May28 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
5  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Oct07 Aug28 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.00 13% 6.90    
6  ENTICING PROSPECT Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50    
 
FL-2   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT BONES Oct01 Aug05 Jul22 May26 Apr12 (shaffer richard)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  PASTA N POLPETTE Oct02 Aug26       (gutierrez luis)BROWN DALTON 121 12.00    
3  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Sep22 Aug18 Jul25 Apr13 Feb25 (sch)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 7% 13.60    
4  WATERMELON CRUSH Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug29 Jun10 (wadams de)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.50    
5  ON CLOUD WINE Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 Jul08 Nov20 (smith troy)ROHENA JR 121 1.80 11% 8.30    
6  TYRANNOSAURUS REX Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 5.00    
 
FL-3   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYIN IT BIG Sep03 Aug20 Jul24     (ferraro michae)COA J 121 1.60 64% 0.60    
1A  ROAD TO POWER Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 1.60    
2  SHARPOON Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 Jul22 (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 3.50    
3  SUPPORT THE CAT Oct02 Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
4  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 Jul31 (murphy t)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
5  THE SAXON STORY Feb23         (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROBIN'S GIANT Oct02 Jun10 Mar06 Feb17 Dec27 (smith troy)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLY Sep23 Aug27 Aug05 Jul02 Jun05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RINGY DINGY Sep01 Jul08 May17 Dec02 Oct13 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 1.50 25% 2.90    
3  UNICORN CAKE Sep23 Aug26 Jul19 Jun15 Jan19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50    
4  SHE'S A FREUD Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jun25 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 4.00    
5  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Aug28 May27 Apr12 Jan19 Nov25 (bond ja)COA J 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  JACKSON AVENUE Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
FL-5   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORE FRONT Jul27         (garza he)DAVIS A 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
2  STRATEGYFORYOU Sep24 Aug26 Jul02 Jun10 Nov21 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  AMERICAN DAY Oct02 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 (davis d)COA J 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  MONTAUK SURF Sep09 Jul22 Jul08 May25 Apr28 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.50    
5  WITT DASHING SPEED Oct01 Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 (progno micha)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
6  SARATOGA WEEKEND Oct01 Sep09 Aug26     (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 2.50    
 
FL-6   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MOREREP         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of PRETTY COZZY by BROKEN VOW)
2  STORMIN SAMMY         (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of ALPHA STORM by ALPHA)
3  CAST A COIN Sep23 Sep09       (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 1.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  WINGO STARR Sep25         (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS AND FOREVER by BROKEN VOW)
5  PROBABLY FLATTERY Sep25         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
6  YOHEDA MONEY MAKER Oct08 Sep23       (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of STORMY SALUTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  H B PLAISANCE Sep25 Sep09       (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of JANUARY by RED RANSOM)
 
FL-7   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 Jul23 Jul10 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 4.00    
2  MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct02 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
3  SNEADS Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 120 15.00    
4  BROTHER JEREMIAH Sep17 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  GLIDING AFLEET Oct02 Aug18 Jun15 May11 Apr18 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 120 15.00 13% 6.90    
6  MAD MAGIC Sep18 Aug13 Jul24 Jul08 Nov22 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
7  GANDY DANCING Oct07 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 120 6.00    
8  UNION LIGHTS Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR TERMINATRIX Sep21 Aug28 Jul24 Jun14 Jun09 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00 8% 11.20    
2  BROOKLYN ROSIE Sep24 Feb19 Jan18     (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 15.00    
3  HIDDEN WAR DANCE Oct01 Sep09 Jun28 May13 Apr13 (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR REWARD Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
5  FLORA ROSE Oct01 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CRYSTAL Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul31 (murphy t)DAVIS A 121 20.00    
SCR  JEN'S KISS Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 Jul01 Jun05 (zufelt charle)DAVILA A 121 8.00    
8  LADY ELOISE Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 Jul04   (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  IMALOTTALADY Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jul10 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 121 6.00    
10  SHE SHE'S SHADOW Oct01 Jul10 Jun25 May28 May06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 65% 0.50    
11  FRANKIE C Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jul01 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.