Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-4   EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-5 $8.10 $2.10 35%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YO BANANA BOY 3 1 1½ 11½   14 15¾ (heath dest)RIVERA R 120 0.80 0.55  
1  GRAYWING 1 4 42 21½   24 25¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 38% 1.60 3.60 P
6  KID BILLY 6 2 31½ 33   35½ 36 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 26% 2.80 3.90 S
2  MESSI THE MAGICIAN 2 5 63½ 56½   411 414¼ (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 22.90  
5  MAJESTIC TIGER 5 3 53 67   511½ 515¼ (grullon ri)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
4  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO 4 6 2½ 45½   612½ 617¾ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 21.70  
 
AQU-2   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCIPE D'ORO 3 4 2½ 2½ 21½ 2½ 1nk (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 11.70  
3  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 2 3 1½ 1½ 11½ 1½ 2nk (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 2.25  
1  O P FIRECRACKER 1 2 54 46½ 48½ 47½ 35¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 11% 8.50 4.60 S
5  ICE TIME 4 6 67½ 611 513½ 511 48½ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 12.00 23.00  
7  CHILENO 6 5 32 35½ 37½ 37 59 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 54% 0.90 0.85  
6  VICTORS VALIANT 5 1 42 57 614½ 614½ 619¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
SCR  WHISKEY N SODA               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 
AQU-3   11/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:122 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO 3 5 63 64 64 61¾ 1hd (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 56% 0.80 2.00 W
4  MUNNY GRAB 4 6 42 31 3½ 1½ 2hd (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 14% 5.90 2.20 P
5  SNOWY EVENING 5 4 52 53 53 41 3¼ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 16.50  
1  TOUR JETE 1 2 31½ 42 42½ 51½ 42 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 2.40  
6  BERNT AGAIN 6 3 21 21 2½ 3½ 53¾ (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
2  SPOOKY LADY 2 1 11 11 1½ 2½ 64½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 10.70  
SCR  BEING BETTY               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50    
SCR  MALU               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
SCR  THE SHOE LADY               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
 
AQU-4   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :471 :593     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CONCORDE SPIRIT 6 1 43½ 2½   1nk 1nk (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.20 49% 1.10 0.60 W
5  HUMSTINGER 4 5 21 1½   2nk 2nk (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 27% 2.70 5.00 P
1  ISOMARSHALL 1 3 33 3½   32½ 37¼ (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 13.00  
2  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS 2 6 56 51½   44 48½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 2.50  
4  THIS TIME YES 3 4 66½ 64   56 510¼ (jimenez jose )CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 37.25  
6  MAXIMUS MONSTER 5 2 11 41   610 623 (reynolds pa)MARTINEZ R 122 20.00 24.75  
SCR  BRACA               (barrera osc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
SCR  DRIVE THRU               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
AQU-5   11/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:224 :462 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLAT TO DA MAT 3 9 82¾ 3½   2½ 1nk (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 16.00  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
8  AFTER TAXES (IRE) 7 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 2.25  
  (by KODIAC out of JEVA by SEA THE STARS)
3  HARD CIRCLE 2 7 31 41½   42 32¼ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 65% 0.50 2.05 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIERCE FOR SUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  NOD TO TRAN 6 2 41½ 51¾   52½ 42½ (diprim)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 28.75  
  (by MINESHAFT out of SEA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  SNARE 10 8 62 63¼   64 55 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 9.50  
  (by VEKOMA out of KERI BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  MCHALE 5 3 51½ 73¾   74¼ 65¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 ★ 10.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PORT OF INDY by CONGRATS)
9  MY MAN MAGOO 8 4 72½ 85¾   87¼ 75½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 12% 7.40 6.70  
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
1  THEN WHAT TIME 9 5 2½ 2½   32 86½ (duarte jorg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 10.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BELVEDERA by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  REGAL ALLIANCE 1 10 1012¾ 920¾   927¼ 935 (quiles )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 50.00 5% 19.00 73.50  
  (by ALLIANCE out of REGAL MADAME by COLONEL JOHN)
5  BEACH INVASION 4 6 95¾ 10100   10100 10100 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GOODNIGHT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  APPLE JAX               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AUTHENTICITY by IN REALITY (GB))
SCR  FOIL               (duarte jorg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ELUDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GREY ACE               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TWAIN (IRE)               (meyers madiso)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAMILA PRINCESS by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
AQU-6   11/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWO FOR CHARGING 5 4 64½ 64½   21 1¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 11% 7.80 1.10 W
7  HEARD ON THESTREET 6 7 32 31   11 2¾ (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 4.40  
4  MIDNIGHT WORKER 4 1 21½ 21   31 34¼ (legall)GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 27.50 S
2  WATASHA 2 6 75 76   64 44¾ (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.90  
3  KING MOONRACER 3 2 53½ 54   53 55 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
1  GOOD REUNION 1 5 42 42   74¼ 66½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 7.30  
8  PARKERNESS 7 3 11½ 11   42½ 710¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 58% 0.70 4.80  
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COMMERCE COMET 6 6 63¾ 52¾   22½ 11 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 3.10  
4  NATURAL HARBOR 3 3 1½ 11½   12½ 21 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 5.60  
8  SECRET RULES 7 1 42 42½   36 35¾ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 19% 4.20 2.75 S
1  CHIEF RON 1 7 75¾ 74¾   48 48½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 26% 2.90 5.40  
6  SQUIRE CREEK 5 4 2½ 21½   510 515½ (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 20% 4.00 4.80  
3  BACKSIDE BUZZ 2 5 52¼ 64¼   613 620¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 5.50  
5  LEDDY 4 8 812¼ 810¼   814½ 722¼ (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00 5% 19.00 62.75  
9  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 8 2 3½ 31½   714 837 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 24.25  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
 
AQU-8   11/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GASLIGHT DANCER 9 8 86½ 64   52½ 1½ (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 3.05  
6  LIVE HIGH LIVE LOW 5 7 64 74¼   42 2½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 16% 5.10 4.80 P
8  BOAT'S A ROCKIN 7 2 11 1½   11½ 33¼ (kulp brandon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50 6.30  
7  FLUID SITUATION 6 9 42½ 31   21½ 43¼ (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 9.30  
3  BARZINI 2 6 53½ 43   62¾ 54¾ (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
1  SEAVER 1 5 97½ 95¾   83¾ 66¼ (hills timoth)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 14% 6.10 5.80  
5  BIZ BIZ BUZZ 4 4 76 84¼   72¾ 77¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 16% 5.40 4.40  
9  DR OSERAN 8 3 21 2½   32 87¾ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00 12% 7.00 18.90  
4  CHARGING 3 1 31½ 54   97¼ 916 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 7.90  
SCR  BOLT OF AURUM               (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
SCR  FULL MOON MADNESS               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  JAVA BUZZ               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
SCR  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER               (martin car)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE               (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
 
AQU-9   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:12 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO KREESA 1 6 3.2 1nk 11 13 11¾ (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00 5.60  
4  MILES AND MILES 4 7 1nk 2nk 21 23 21¾ (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 9.90  
9  REVIVALISM 9 1 51¼ 61¾ 31½ 36½ 31¾ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 2.45  
3  JUST LICORICE 3 8 61¾ 31 43 46½ 42¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 50% 1.00 3.45  
7  DAYTONA MOONSHINE 7 4 87¾ 913¾ 711 612½ 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 14% 6.40 4.40  
2  BOOKITWITHHADDAD 2 10 98¼ 87¾ 68 510 66½ (de horaci)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 6% 14.40 12.90  
10  ROMEO VOID 10 5 72¾ 72¼ 57½ 716½ 717½ (giddings m)RIVERA R 119 4.50 7% 13.50 11.00  
5  TINO IN TOGA 5 9 1010¼ 1014¼ 913½ 923 823¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00 54.00  
6  RESISTANCE FUTILE 6 3 2nk 41¼ 811½ 822 925 (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 17.00  
8  ROCKED OUT 8 2 4¼ 51¼ 1014 1030 1039¾ (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00 41.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.