Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(7/1/6)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(3/4/6)-(7/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(7/5/4)-(3/9/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(3/9/5/2)-(8/5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/6/5/2)-(3/9/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/5/2)-(8/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/2)-(8/5/3/4)-(1/6/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/4)-(1/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/4)-(1/6/8/5)-(6/5/1/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/5)-(6/5/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/5)-(6/5/1/9/3)-(3/7/10/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (6/5/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/9/3)-(6/5/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/9/3)-(6/5/1/9/3)-(6/5/1/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/1/9/3)-(3/7/10/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/7/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/2/8)-(3/7/10/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/2/8)-(3/7/10/2/8)-(3/7/10/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYWING Oct04 Sep24 Aug21 May20 Apr29 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Oct12 Jun22 May02 Apr19 Mar24 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
3  YO BANANA BOY Sep14 Jul20 Jun14 Apr26 Mar24 (heath dest)RIVERA R 120 0.80    
4  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO Nov02 Sep01       (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
5  MAJESTIC TIGER Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 Sep15 Sep07 (grullon ri)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  KID BILLY Jan13 Dec16 Nov18 Dec31   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
AQU-2   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O P FIRECRACKER Oct26 Sep28 Aug21 Jun29 Jun19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  WHISKEY N SODA Aug16 Jul25 Jun01 Apr20   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
3  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Oct12 Sep20 Jul31 Jun22 Apr18 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
4  PRINCIPE D'ORO Oct19 Aug30 Aug07 Jul18 Jun22 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
5  ICE TIME Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 Jul21 May18 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 12.00    
6  VICTORS VALIANT Oct18 Aug31 Aug07 Jul06 Jun07 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHILENO Sep21 Mar29 Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 54% 0.90    
 
AQU-3   11/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUR JETE Oct26 Sep02 Jul17 Jun09 Dec16 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
2  SPOOKY LADY Nov01 Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 Jul24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
3  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Oct20 Aug25 Jun23 Feb18 Jan12 (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  MUNNY GRAB Oct13 Aug14 Jul24 Jun08 Apr28 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 14% 5.90    
5  SNOWY EVENING Oct13 Sep26 Aug22 Jul24 Jul07 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00    
6  BERNT AGAIN Aug22 Jul24 Jan28 Dec14 Oct27 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI Oct13 Sep07 Aug14 Jul13 Sep30 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50    
SCR  BEING BETTY Oct13 Sep22 Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  THE SHOE LADY Oct20 Sep13 Jun09 Apr07 Feb24 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  MALU Oct24 Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISOMARSHALL Oct24 Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
2  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS Oct17 Jul18       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
SCR  BRACA Nov02 Sep19 Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 (barrera osc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
4  THIS TIME YES Oct25 Feb11 Jan18 Oct20   (jimenez jose )CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HUMSTINGER         (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  MAXIMUS MONSTER Nov02         (reynolds pa)MARTINEZ R 122 20.00    
7  CONCORDE SPIRIT Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 Jun14   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.20 49% 1.10    
SCR  DRIVE THRU Oct17         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
AQU-5   11/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEN WHAT TIME Oct27         (duarte jorg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BELVEDERA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  FOIL         (duarte jorg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ELUDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  REGAL ALLIANCE         (quiles )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of REGAL MADAME by COLONEL JOHN)
3  HARD CIRCLE Sep28 Sep05       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 65% 0.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIERCE FOR SUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  FLAT TO DA MAT Sep14 Aug17       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
5  BEACH INVASION Oct18 Sep22 Aug31     (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GOODNIGHT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
6  MCHALE Oct13 Sep14 Aug17     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PORT OF INDY by CONGRATS)
7  NOD TO TRAN Oct26 Sep20 Aug30     (diprim)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SEA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  AFTER TAXES (IRE) Jul19         (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50    
  (by KODIAC out of JEVA by SEA THE STARS)
9  MY MAN MAGOO Oct13 Sep20       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
10  SNARE         (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of KERI BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  TWAIN (IRE)         (meyers madiso)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAMILA PRINCESS by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  APPLE JAX         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AUTHENTICITY by IN REALITY (GB))
SCR  GREY ACE Oct26         (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-6   11/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD REUNION May19 Apr11 Feb24 Feb18 Jan04 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
2  WATASHA Oct13 Sep20 Nov12 Sep27 Aug17 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
3  KING MOONRACER Oct25 Aug14 Jul13 Jun23 May18 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT WORKER Oct10 Jul21 May26 Apr12 Mar15 (legall)GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWO FOR CHARGING Sep20 Jul18 Jun14 Nov10 Oct01 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY Nov08 Oct10 Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
7  HEARD ON THESTREET Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Sep02 Jun29 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
8  PARKERNESS Oct28 Oct13 Sep20 Aug23 Sep28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 58% 0.70    
 
AQU-7   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF RON Sep21 Aug28 Jul31 Jul07 Jun07 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Aug18 Jul31 Jul14 May26 Apr20 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
3  BACKSIDE BUZZ Oct19 Aug05 Jun29 May16 Apr20 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
4  NATURAL HARBOR Oct05 Aug28 Jul27 May18 Mar27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
5  LEDDY Oct24 Aug23 Jul27 Dec16 Nov12 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
6  SQUIRE CREEK Sep27 Aug18 Jul31 Jun30 Jun16 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  COMMERCE COMET Oct19 Sep21 Aug22 Feb19 Feb03 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
8  SECRET RULES Oct19 Sep27 Aug28 Aug10 May19 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
9  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Oct05 Jun29 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   11/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAVER Oct17 Sep01 Aug17 May18 Mar28 (hills timoth)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  JAVA BUZZ Oct25 Sep15 Aug14 Jul21 Mar18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
3  BARZINI Oct19 Aug16 Jul27 Jun21 May17 (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARGING Sep02 Jun16 Apr20 Mar16 Jan01 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
5  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 May05 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  LIVE HIGH LIVE LOW Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul04 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
7  FLUID SITUATION Oct17 Jun07 Apr20 Jan12 Oct27 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
8  BOAT'S A ROCKIN Oct25 Oct05 Aug24 Aug12 Jul28 (kulp brandon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50    
9  DR OSERAN Oct04 Jul13 Jun07 May17 May20 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00 12% 7.00    
10  GASLIGHT DANCER Oct17 Sep15 Aug14 Jun23 May25 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  FULL MOON MADNESS Jan01 Nov24 Oct07 Dec30 Nov06 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Oct31 Jun23 Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 (martin car)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
SCR  BOLT OF AURUM Oct28 Sep28 Jul14 Jun08 Nov11 (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE Oct26 Sep02 Aug10 Jul26 Jun22 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
 
AQU-9   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO KREESA Oct27 Sep29       (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
2  BOOKITWITHHADDAD Oct05 Jul25       (de horaci)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 6% 14.40    
3  JUST LICORICE Nov03 Sep22       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  MILES AND MILES Sep22 Sep02       (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
5  TINO IN TOGA Oct27 Sep28       (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
6  RESISTANCE FUTILE Nov02 Sep22 Aug29     (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
7  DAYTONA MOONSHINE Sep22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 14% 6.40    
8  ROCKED OUT Oct05 Sep02 Jul19     (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  REVIVALISM Sep21 Aug01       (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
10  ROMEO VOID Nov03 Sep22       (giddings m)RIVERA R 119 4.50 7% 13.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.