Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (2/7/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $10.80 $0.80 8%
    EXA (2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-7 $27.50 $7.50 38%
AQU-4   SFT (3/4/5/8/6)-(3/4/5/8/6)-(3/4/5/8/6)-(3/4/5/8/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-4-8-6 $20.35 $8.35 70%
AQU-6   WIN (7/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $8.80 $0.80 10%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPWRITS TEMPER 3 5 2½ 2½   11 1 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 7% 13.00 4.40 W
VAMONOS VAMONOS 7 2 5 4   3 2 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00 21% 3.80 2.95 P
PAPA PAULIE P 6 1 1½ 1½   21 36 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 7.40  
BERNIE GOES BOOM 5 8 75 6   6 4 (miceli)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 28.00  
PAPA'S NICO BOY 4 4 31 3   4 510¼ (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 19% 4.30 9.50  
REAL ELEVE 2 6 4 53   5 611½ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 27% 2.60 4.50  
THUNDER PRINCESS 8 7 86 811½   812½ 714 (brown br)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 8.00 14.40  
WELL SUITED 9 3 64 79   711 814¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 3.10  
VALID CONNECTION 1 9 913½ 918   917½ 919¾ (bernardi)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 49.25  
 
AQU-2   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:122 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIPTIC (IRE) 3 3 6 32 21 31 1hd (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 4.00  
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 7 5 74 7 43 2½ 2hd (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 5% 19.00 2.30 P
ENIGMATIC 5 7 11 12 11 1½ 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 16% 5.20 2.10 S
DUCKPHAT 4 8 811 811¼ 8 8 4 (corrao james)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
BROOKLYN DANTZ 2 6 43 54 5 54 5 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00 32.50  
BOBBY JEAN 1 4 21 22 3 4 6 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 10.20  
LA VITA SOFIA 6 2 3 4 74 75 7 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 10.10  
ROMAN GODDESS 8 1 53 6 64 6 8 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 49% 1.10 6.60  
 
AQU-3   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:103 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLANDER 1 5 44 32 3 3.2 1 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 1.75  
SMILE MON 7 3 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 2 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 121 1.80 34% 2.00 1.40 P
FOR SOME REASON 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 33 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 9.60  
WINNIN'ONWEEKENDS 6 2 32 42 42 4 43 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 2.50 17% 4.80 4.50  
HIGH TIDE 5 7 6 55 5 5 5 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 20.00 15% 5.80 29.00  
KAHALA 4 4 54 78 69 6 6 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 2 6 75 66 7 7 712¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 20.00 36.50  
SCR  NIGHT EFFECT               (samsundar )RIVERA R 121 4.50    
 
AQU-4   11/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:143 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL LUTE 4 3 12 11 1nk 15 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 8% 11.70 1.50 W
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ADLER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
WEIGHTED AVERAGE 3 1 5 6 6 5 2 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 29% 2.50 3.10 P
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
MENDEE 8 5 43 4 3½ 25 3 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 19.40 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
SILVOLOGY 6 10 10 10 96 7 4 (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
10  RUNWAY LIGHTS 10 6 22 21 2nk 35 5 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 20.00 61.75  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
AFRICAN WATERS 2 4 32 3 4 4 6 (toner j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 36% 1.70 3.25  
  (by WAR FRONT out of VAULCLUSE by A.P. INDY)
AKAYLA (IRE) 9 7 6 53 5 6 79 (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 8.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
GOLDEN NOTE 7 9 9 8 8 810¾ 811½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 50.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 5 8 75 7 7 911¼ 911½ (metivi)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 ######  
  (by KODIAC out of EAVESDROP by PHONE TRICK)
EXOTIC CAT 1 2 8 9 10 1014¼ 1014½ (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00 90.25  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  PAY THE BILLS (FR)               (metivier richar)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
SCR  THE TACO LADY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
AQU-5   11/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:134 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD LONG CRY 6 3 2 23 21 17 1 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 26% 2.90 1.30 W
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
CHELSEY'S CHOICE 7 6 7 611½ 59 4 2 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 3.45  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FLYING THE COLORS by WAR FRONT)
OLATZ (GB) 1 4 6 712½ 710½ 511½ 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 22% 3.60 5.50 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of TIME SAVER by MAZEL TRICK)
10  TABLE FLIRT 8 5 4 3 35 27 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 10.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INTO CHOCOLATE by INTO MISCHIEF)
ON A SUMMER DAY 5 2 1 13 11 37 512¼ (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 48.50  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
ACOUSTICAT 2 8 8 1013½ 912 713 612½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 18% 4.40 17.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  PIONUS 10 7 5 410 48 612½ 713 (barrera osc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 12% 7.50 55.50  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
GREEN JOBS 4 9 9 913 610½ 814 813¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.10  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GENTLE RULER by COLONEL JOHN)
LADY GUNNER 3 1 3 510½ 811½ 919½ 921½ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SISTER DAWN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  MAJESTIC MARCH 9 10 10 812½ 1015½ 1026½ 1029¾ (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 25.50  
  (by JUSTIFY out of PARADE by TAPIT)
SCR  AERIALIST               (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STARSHIP GUSSIE by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  ICE CREAM BOAT               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL TREAT by FAST PLAY)
SCR  KEEPTHEDREAMALIVE               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IT TIZ WELL by ARCH)
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK               (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  QUOIN               (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  RASTA GIRL               (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 119 50.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ON A ROLL by TWO DAVIDS)
 
AQU-6   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIROOVIN 6 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 1nk 1½ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 69% 0.50 3.40 W
MONTEBELLO 2 4 2nk 1nk 2½ 2nk 2½ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 2.20  
LEGAL DEAL 5 1 42 5 64 4 3 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 3.50  
MASON MANIA 3 7 7 6 5 54 4 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 5% 19.00 3.35  
MO REWARDS 1 6 3 31 42 31 5 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
PERFECT FLIGHT 7 2 5 4 3 6 6 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00 45.50  
HIGHER QUALITY 4 5 6 7 79 712¼ 725¾ (potts wa)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 21.30  
SCR  BAR FOURTEEN               (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 123 12.00    
SCR  STYNER               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/14/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:224 :451 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LISA'S VISION 9 2 2½ 21   1½ 12 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 11.70  
LATEST EDITION 3 5 3 3   32 22 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 30.00 83.75  
SOLIB 5 7 6 53   54 3 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 10.60  
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 10 1 1½ 11   2½ 43 (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 3.20  
MARCO T. 8 10 9 7   6 5 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 14% 6.20 5.50  
COLLABORATION 4 8 74 65   7 6 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 18% 4.50 2.15  
STRIKER HAS DIAL 7 3 4 4   43 7 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 37% 1.70 6.20  
WUDHOOH 6 4 10 8   8 8 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 17.10  
GEORGEES SPIRIT 1 9 5 9   913½ 910¾ (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
BY ANY OTHER NAME (AUS) 2 6 8 1016½   1028½ 1037½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 10.80  
SCR  EVIE DOES IT               (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET               (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
SCR  PATRIA               (salazar marco)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  PLANET CLARE               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  RECONCILE               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP               (ryerson ja)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   11/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAT 3 4 1nk 1½   1 1nk (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 4.10  
10  CLASSIC MARK 10 1 7 5   2 2nk (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00 3.80 P
PRINCE JAMES 4 9 84 9   57 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 6.60  
NOLO CONTESTO 7 3 3½ 3½   3 4 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 7% 12.80 2.65  
BUSTIN SHOUT 5 7 6 7   6 5 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 57.00  
UNION LIGHTS 9 10 9 6   47 6 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 30.00 20.40  
BRONX BOMBER 1 8 105 10   810½ 7 (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 20.00 5% 19.00 48.50  
WINTER'S GHOST 6 6 2nk 2½   910¾ 812½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 66% 0.50 3.20  
HONORARY DEGREE 8 2 41 42   7 912¾ (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 23.50  
PRINCE OF JOY 2 5 5 8   1012¾ 1012¾ (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 36.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.