Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/7/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3/1)-(8/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/3/1)-(8/5/7/4)-(8/7/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-2   WIN (8/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/4)-(8/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/4)-(8/7/6/5)-(3/4/5/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-3   WIN (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/5)-(3/4/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/5)-(3/4/5/8/6)-(7/1/2/12/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-4   WIN (3/4/5/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/8/6)-(3/4/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/8/6)-(3/4/5/8/6)-(3/4/5/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/5/8/6)-(7/1/2/12/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/8/6)-(7/1/2/12/4)-(7/4/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-5   WIN (7/1/2/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/12/4)-(7/1/2/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/12/4)-(7/1/2/12/4)-(7/1/2/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/12/4)-(7/4/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/12/4)-(7/4/1/9)-(8/4/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/9)-(7/4/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/9)-(7/4/1/9)-(7/4/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/9)-(8/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/9)-(8/4/9/1)-(6/7/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/11/1)-(8/4/9/11/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/9/1)-(6/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/1)-(6/7/10/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/1)-(6/7/10/5/1)-(6/7/10/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID CONNECTION Sep28         (bernardi)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  REAL ELEVE Oct05         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 27% 2.60    
3  TAPWRITS TEMPER Oct24 Aug31 Aug21 Aug08 Jul12 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 7% 13.00    
4  PAPA'S NICO BOY Nov07 Oct03 Sep15 Aug29   (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  BERNIE GOES BOOM Oct11 Aug31       (miceli)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
6  PAPA PAULIE P Oct05         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
7  VAMONOS VAMONOS Aug01 Jun20 May10     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  THUNDER PRINCESS Oct03 Aug15 Jul21 Jun23   (brown br)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 8.00    
9  WELL SUITED Sep14 Aug31       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50    
 
AQU-2   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY JEAN Oct20 Sep19 Aug16 Jul17 Aug10 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ Oct17 Oct06 Aug07 Jul18 Jun20 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
3  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Oct06 Sep19 Aug23 Aug03 Jun15 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
4  DUCKPHAT Sep19 Aug29 Jul24 May24 Apr18 (corrao james)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ENIGMATIC Aug23 Jul21 Jun27 Apr06 Feb24 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  LA VITA SOFIA Aug07 Jul21 Jun14 May16 Jul22 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
7  BACKSTRETCH ROSE Sep28 Aug30 Aug07 Jul19 Jun05 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
8  ROMAN GODDESS Oct20 Sep28 Sep02 Jul18 Jun22 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 49% 1.10    
 
AQU-3   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIGHT EFFECT Oct12 Sep21 Jul31 Jul18 May27 (samsundar )RIVERA R 121 4.50    
2  SKYLANDER Oct17 Sep19 Aug18 Jul19 Jun21 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
3  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Oct19 Oct03 Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 20.00    
4  FOR SOME REASON Oct24 Sep15 Aug22 Jul28 Jun09 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
5  KAHALA Oct17 Oct01 Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HIGH TIDE Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 20.00 15% 5.80    
7  WINNIN'ONWEEKENDS Oct26 Sep23 Sep02 Jul15 Jul03 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
8  SMILE MON Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jun08 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 121 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Oct19 Sep20 Jul21 May16 Apr04 (metivi)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00    
  (by KODIAC out of EAVESDROP by PHONE TRICK)
SCR  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Oct24 Aug02 Jun16     (metivier richar)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
2  EXOTIC CAT Oct19 Sep20 Aug02 Nov10 Oct26 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
3  AFRICAN WATERS Oct24 Jan13 Nov16 Sep16   (toner j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 36% 1.70    
  (by WAR FRONT out of VAULCLUSE by A.P. INDY)
4  WEIGHTED AVERAGE Sep15 Sep23 Aug13     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  STEEL LUTE Dec24 Oct04 Aug20     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 8% 11.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ADLER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  SILVOLOGY Sep15 Aug23 Jul04 Jun06   (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
7  GOLDEN NOTE Oct17 Jan20       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  MENDEE Oct10 Aug31 Jun17 May27 May04 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
9  AKAYLA (IRE) Oct24 Oct10 Aug16 Jun28 Jan14 (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
10  RUNWAY LIGHTS Oct24         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  THE TACO LADY Oct31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 May18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
 
AQU-5   11/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLATZ (GB)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TIME SAVER by MAZEL TRICK)
2  ACOUSTICAT Sep27         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  QUOIN Sep01 Aug04       (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  LADY GUNNER Oct03         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SISTER DAWN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  GREEN JOBS         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GENTLE RULER by COLONEL JOHN)
6  ON A SUMMER DAY Sep27 Sep13 Aug15 Jul25   (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
7  GOOD LONG CRY Oct06 Sep01 Jul28 Jun21 May11 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
8  CHELSEY'S CHOICE Oct06 Aug15       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FLYING THE COLORS by WAR FRONT)
SCR  RASTA GIRL Oct24         (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 119 50.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ON A ROLL by TWO DAVIDS)
10  TABLE FLIRT Aug11         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INTO CHOCOLATE by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  MAJESTIC MARCH         (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PARADE by TAPIT)
12  PIONUS Oct03         (barrera osc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 12% 7.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Oct10 Sep20       (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  KEEPTHEDREAMALIVE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IT TIZ WELL by ARCH)
SCR  AERIALIST         (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STARSHIP GUSSIE by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  ICE CREAM BOAT Oct13 Aug23       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL TREAT by FAST PLAY)
 
AQU-6   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO REWARDS Sep30 Sep06 Aug03 Jul10 Jun16 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAR FOURTEEN Oct19 Oct10 Sep15 Aug01 Jul21 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 123 12.00    
3  MONTEBELLO Oct08 Sep14 Aug18 Apr12 Feb29 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
4  MASON MANIA Oct19 Oct03 Jul26 May26 Apr26 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  HIGHER QUALITY Oct19 Sep13 Jul11 Jun21 May18 (potts wa)SANTANA JR 123 12.00    
6  LEGAL DEAL Oct05 Sep23 Aug16 Jul17 Jun25 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00    
7  GIROOVIN Sep27 Aug28 Dec29 Dec03 Nov02 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 69% 0.50    
SCR  STYNER Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 Sep03 Jul31 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
9  PERFECT FLIGHT Oct05 Sep19 Jul27 Jun19 May31 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   11/14/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGEES SPIRIT Oct12 Sep14 Aug19 Apr27 Nov05 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BY ANY OTHER NAME (AUS) Oct10         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
3  LATEST EDITION Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 Jun15 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 30.00    
4  COLLABORATION Oct27 Oct13 Sep02 Aug14 Jul07 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  SOLIB Oct10 Aug22 Jul11 May24 Apr04 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
6  WUDHOOH Sep21 Aug11 Jul21 Jun15 Mar29 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET Oct27 Oct10 Sep02 Jul20 Feb17 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
8  STRIKER HAS DIAL Oct10 Sep21 Aug03 Jul12 Jun06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
9  MARCO T. Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 Jun15 May12 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
10  LISA'S VISION Oct19 Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 Dec31 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul20 (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  EVIE DOES IT Oct24 Sep27 Sep14 Jul07 Jun10 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  PATRIA Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 Jul18 (salazar marco)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP Oct31 Oct11 Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 (ryerson ja)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  RECONCILE Oct19 Aug15 Jul20 Mar16 Feb17 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  PLANET CLARE Oct03 Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul08 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
 
AQU-8   11/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRONX BOMBER Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 Sep14 Aug22 (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCE OF JOY Oct11 Sep29 Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
3  HIGH HEAT Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Jul19 Jun23 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
4  PRINCE JAMES Sep29 Sep01 Jul31 Jun29 May27 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
5  BUSTIN SHOUT Oct17 Sep11 Aug29 Jun29 May04 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WINTER'S GHOST Oct19 Oct03 Sep01 Aug15 Mar30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 66% 0.50    
7  NOLO CONTESTO Nov01 Oct12 Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 7% 12.80    
8  HONORARY DEGREE Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00    
9  UNION LIGHTS Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 30.00    
10  CLASSIC MARK Sep29 Sep01 Aug15 Jul26 Jun21 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.