Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-3-2 $6.95 $3.95 132%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:10
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHARP SMILE 5 2 2nk 2nk 11 11½ 1¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 29% 2.40 1.70 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHOCOLATE POP by CUVEE)
3  KISS ME SLOW 1 3 52¾ 31½ 31½ 21½ 2¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40 46% 1.20 1.10 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TERESA Z by SMART STRIKE)
2B  SHE'S FASCINATING 2 5 42¾ 41¾ 43 46 39½ (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
  (by MINESHAFT out of CHARMEER by CANDY RIDE)
1A  VANILLA SUNDAE 3 1 1nk 1nk 21 35 412 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 7.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of VANILLA BEAN BACK by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  KEEPTHEDREAMALIVE 4 4 32½ 53¼ 59 516 528¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 6.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IT TIZ WELL by ARCH)
SCR  DELICIOUS DIVA               (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of DANGEROUS DIVA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SCR  ICE CREAM BOAT               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL TREAT by FAST PLAY)
 
AQU-2   11/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:373   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YO DADDY 2 4 42 1½ 11 13½ 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.65 W
4  BLACK RAIN 3 1 2nk 31 21 23½ 2¼ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 32% 2.20 2.50 P
5  PIRATE 4 2 31 42½ 43½ 36½ 35¼ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
6  CALIFORNIA SOBER 5 5 53 56 58½ 48 48¼ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 6.10  
2  MORE VINO 1 3 1nk 2½ 32½ 516 517¼ (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 17.90  
SCR  HITTHEROADJAK               (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIANA RYE 1 5 1½ 11   13 12¾ (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 120 3.50 5.90  
2  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 2 6 75½ 66   56 22¾ (chichakly amir)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 18.90 P
3  FIRST CLASS CAT 3 4 54 44   35½ 33¼ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.80 73% 0.40 0.55 S
6  GRACEFUL ROSE 6 1 64½ 54½   45½ 43¼ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★ 9.90  
5  POSEIDON'S MIST 5 2 32½ 32   23 54¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
4  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 4 3 2½ 21   66¼ 617¼ (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 122 12.00 30.50  
7  FOOLISH CHALLENGE 7 7 44 79   712¼ 719 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 11.00  
 
AQU-4   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STRAPPED 2 7 64 64 32 2½ 11¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 45% 1.20 1.20 W
4  TORPEDO RUN 4 2 21 21½ 12 1½ 21¼ (jacobs)GRISALES DANILO 123 6.00 17% 4.70 4.50 P
1  BROWN DON'T STOP 1 4 52½ 53½ 43 36½ 310¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 20.40  
5  BOYS CODE 5 6 714 714 711 610 412¼ (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 121 5.00 8% 11.30 6.50  
7  D DAY SKY 7 5 11 11½ 22 46½ 514¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 4.20  
3  IRISH TENOR 3 1 31 32½ 54½ 59½ 617¾ (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
6  SOLO EMPIRE 6 3 41½ 43 66 714½ 725 (begg bent)VIVES SOFIA 120 20.00 30.50  
 
AQU-5   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:131 1:263   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FURRY FOX 7 1 12 14 14½ 16 112½ (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 1.80 70% 0.40 1.85 W
10  OPEN FLAME 11 10 86¼ 65¾ 36½ 36½ 212½ (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 ★ 2.80 P
3  TOXIC GIRL 3 7 32 24 24½ 26 314¼ (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 46.75  
1  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK 2 2 52¾ 55½ 711½ 411½ 421¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
9  BOURBON BLANKET 10 4 107¾ 109¼ 913½ 913 523¼ (begg be)OLVER MADISON 119 15.00 33.50  
7  CLASSICALS FINALE 8 9 118¼ 98¾ 611 512½ 624 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
1A  I HEARD SOMETHINGS 4 8 74¾ 88¾ 813½ 612½ 724¾ (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00 5.10  
4  OLIVIA'S WISH 5 3 22 34 510 812¾ 828 (arriaga )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 20.00 22.90  
5  SILENT SANDY 6 6 96¾ 1111¼ 1117¾ 1015½ 928 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 8.00 8.20  
8  PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE 9 5 42½ 44½ 49½ 712¾ 1028¾ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 ★ 7.60  
2  FIFI LA FUME 1 11 64¼ 76¼ 1013¾ 1119½ 1143½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 16.90  
 
AQU-6   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MY FIRST LOVE 4 7 31 31   1nk 1nk (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 4.10  
1A  JACKSON'S DIXIE 8 3 73¾ 53½   41¼ 2nk (samsundar rosha)OTERO AAROM 114 8.00 13% 7.00 5.90 P
8  R FUNNY BIZNESS 7 8 88¼ 87¾   63¾ 31 (catalan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00 14% 6.20 7.40 S
6  VEGAS WEEKEND 5 5 21 2nk   3.2 41¼ (arriaga anton)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 2.35  
2  IT TAKES HEART 2 1 11 1nk   2nk 52¾ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.55  
7  EVERLYS GIRL 6 4 42 43   53¼ 64¾ (chatte)GRISALES DANILO 122 20.00 48.00  
1  GRINGOTTS 1 6 63½ 77½   89¼ 712½ (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5.90  
3  BOSS LADY KIM 3 2 53 66½   78¾ 814¼ (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
SCR  WILLFUL DESIRE               (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
 
AQU-7   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MYBRONXBABY 6 5 1nk 1½   1nk 11 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.00 27% 2.80 1.50 W
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 5 1 31½ 31   2nk 21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 2.90  
1  HARLAN'S BOND 1 4 47½ 45   42½ 31¼ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 12.30  
3  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 3 2 58 55   54 44¼ (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 7% 13.40 12.70  
4  FOXY CARA 4 6 69 65½   64½ 55½ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 5.70  
2  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE 2 3 2nk 2½   32 66½ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 30% 2.30 3.05  
SCR  TRUE EMPRESS               (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
 
AQU-8   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:131 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 3 6 42 33½ 33½ 1nk 1½ (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00 9.30  
7  BAD BOY BUTCH 6 1 21½ 22 2nk 2nk 2½ (sacco gregory)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 8.00  
6  VERY SATISFACTORY 5 5 86½ 76 77 44½ 34¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 22% 3.50 2.55 S
2  SHAKIN THE BELLE 1 3 11½ 12 1nk 31 48¼ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
11  BOURBON OUTLAW 10 2 66¼ 65 45 55 513¼ (hennig )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 5.00 48% 1.10 4.40  
8  DANGEROUS DRIVER 7 9 96½ 55 66½ 66½ 614½ (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.50 3.60  
9  BOLT D'PLATA 8 7 76¼ 87½ 99½ 99 717 (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 ★ 6.90  
3  NOBLE ONE 2 10 1013 1017½ 1014½ 1011½ 817¾ (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 51.75  
5  NILRUC 4 4 31½ 44 56 77 917¾ (brown r)LUZZI J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
10  MIGHTY GLORY 9 8 56 99½ 89 88½ 1018½ (schettino domin)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00 56.25  
SCR  LCGOLUCKY               (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.