Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/8/9)-(5/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/8/9)-(5/3/4/8/9)-(5/3/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/4/8/9)-(2/3/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/8/9)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/8/9/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(2/8/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(2/8/9/5)-(4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/3/5)-(2/8/9/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/9/5)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/5)-(4/3/1)-(2/3/8/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/3/8/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/3/8/1/5)-(4/8/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (2/3/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/1/5)-(2/3/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/1/5)-(2/3/8/1/5)-(2/3/8/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/8/1/5)-(4/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/1/5)-(4/8/2)-(7/6/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2)-(7/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLER Dec26 Dec11 Nov29 Oct25 Oct07 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
2  BRODYTHEOXMAN Jan08 Dec11 Dec05 Nov15 Nov07 (lopez a)LEON SONNY 124 12.00    
3  FRANCO (MEX) Jan01 Dec26 Dec06 Nov29 Oct31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  FUEGO CALIENTE Jan08 May06 Apr13 Sep14 Aug29 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  STRIKE THE TOP Nov27 Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 Sep03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  TUFF ATTACK Jan08 Dec26 Dec18 Nov29 Oct13 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
7  DISTORTED LIMITS Jan04 Dec20 Dec05 Nov15 Oct06 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 6.00    
8  SOLITAIRE GAME Oct18 Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
9  YOUVESAIDITALL Dec26 Dec12 Dec05 Nov01 Oct04 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   01/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE DRIVE Dec26 Dec14 Nov27 Nov20 Oct28 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPEEDY MOBILE Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 Jul11 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  VISUAL MISSION Jan08 Dec04 Nov07 Oct09 Sep12 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  WEEKENDER Dec18 Sep30 Aug11 Apr12 Mar20 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00    
5  SEND ME ON Jan02 Dec04 Oct09 Sep12 Aug16 (faulkner rodney )LEON SONNY 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  MANGA MAN Jan01 Sep28 Jul31 Jul11 May23 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 3.00    
7  DOUGS MORNING PICK Dec07 Nov27 Jul11 Jun13 May22 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   01/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEVICHE Jan08 Dec06 Nov09 Oct13 Sep20 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
2  MERCURY HEAD Dec03 Mar17 Feb01 Jan14 Dec10 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  O SHAUGHESEY Dec29 Dec09 Nov02 Sep30 Sep02 (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 ★    
4  MISS OVER THERE Dec30 Dec12 Jul17 Jun21 Jun01 (manning richar)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
5  AWESOME SUNDAY Dec12 Dec03 Nov14 Oct10 Sep23 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIERRA DIAMOND Jan08 Oct25 Oct02 Aug29 Aug17 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
7  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Dec06 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul20 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
8  ORBIT MARS Nov27 Oct25 Oct04 Sep12 Sep05 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
9  DIVINE MARTHA Dec30 Dec12 Nov13 Jul27 Jul10 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 6% 16.40    
 
MVR-4   01/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Dec12 Nov19 Nov06 Sep18 Sep05 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
2  PATIO PARTY Dec20 Nov21 Nov06 Oct24 Sep26 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
3  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Dec12 Nov14 Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  COME SEE ABOUT IT Dec28 Nov29 Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  AULD LANGE SYNE Jan01 Dec18 Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
6  DISCLOSURE Jan15 Dec28 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 (bailey ricardo)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM RIDER Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 Nov05 Oct02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   01/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN Nov29 Sep30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul17 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 8% 11.10    
2  SCARLETT'S AWISH Nov29 Sep28 May24 May03 Apr13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 31% 2.30    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Jan01 Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 Sep19 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  COWCHI Jan01 Dec18 Nov29 Nov20 Oct12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
5  BAREFOOT BEACH Dec18 Nov29 Sep28 Sep07 Aug14 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
6  CHECK OUT LINE Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 Nov01 Sep19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
7  CATABOUT Jan01 Dec11 Nov14 Oct06 Sep11 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
8  DANCIN' ROSIE Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Nov01 Sep11 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
9  MISS ELLIE Dec30 Nov22 Oct23 Jun26 Jun13 (castillo jabdie)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
10  KISSTHECROSS Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 Feb08 Jan04 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
11  SWEET EMPIRE Dec18 Nov29 Nov09 Oct04 Aug22 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HOMBRE Jan08 Dec21 Nov22 Oct24 Jul20 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
2  MY TICKET Dec21 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 (silva fe)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  ONE STEP ASIDE Jan02 Dec19 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
4  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Sep25 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.40 63% 0.60    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
5  WHY KENNY WHY Jan08 Dec21 Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
6  MOMENT IN THE DARK Dec21 Aug08 Jul20     (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.50 ★    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
7  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Jan10 Dec21 Nov22 Mar13 Feb23 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
8  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
MVR-7   01/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S BATTLE Dec19 Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
2  QUARANTINA Dec19 Oct31 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
3  SOMUCHSUGAR May31 Apr25 Apr10 Mar16 Feb06 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  KINGDOM QUEEN Jan11 Dec13 Nov26 Nov08 Oct27 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 4.00    
5  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Nov27 Nov21 Oct31 Aug20 Jul26 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
6  AUJARA Jan04 Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Aug21 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  PAMMY'S READY Jul04 Apr22 Mar26 Nov19 Oct29 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
8  FABRICATE Dec18 Sep13 Aug01 Jun21 Apr16 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
MVR-8   01/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOL OF VAQUERO Jan08 Dec21 May25 May10 Apr24 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 126 10.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
2  BOLD NICKY Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Oct21 Oct04 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 8.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
3  KELLEHER Jan02 Dec18 Nov15 Oct28   (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 1.80 16% 5.40    
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
4  REDDEN Dec21         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 6.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of POMMETTE by POMEROY)
5  EQUITY CAT         (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
6  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Dec20         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
7  WEEKEND RETREAT Dec18         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
8  SWAYBACK MOBIL         (schuster robin)DIAZ I 118 15.00 8% 11.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.