Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/2/3)-(8/2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(8/2/7/4)-(5/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/4)-(5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/4)-(5/7/6)-(3/4/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(3/4/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(3/4/9/8)-(7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/8/2)-(3/4/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/9/8)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/8)-(7/2/3)-(3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(3/1)-(7/5/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(7/5/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/3/8)-(7/5/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETURN THE RING Dec16 Nov24 Aug13 Jul08 Jul15 (barker edward )LUZZI J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELITE FORCES Oct13 Aug20 Jun25     (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.60 70% 0.40    
3  HE'S GOT IT Dec10 Nov11 Nov02 Sep14 Aug26 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
4  STREET SWAGG Dec16 Nov26 Nov02 Oct08 Aug25 (miceli mic)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
5  PRESIDENT Z Nov26 Nov15 Aug13 Jul23 Sep11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00    
6  NECROMANCER Apr15 Mar10 Dec29 Nov04 Sep30 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-2   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE THE JOKER Dec07 Nov10 Oct20 Aug24 Jul23 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
2  FREUDIAN Dec16 Nov09 Sep22 Aug31 Aug12 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 113 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  TIMED OUT Dec14 Dec07 Sep28 Aug24 Jul12 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  RUN DEVIL Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Aug25 Aug03 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  HALO CITY Nov25 Nov02 Aug30 Jul20 Jun02 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
6  VEGAS WEEKEND Dec07 Nov09 Oct15 Aug16 May11 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
7  WHISTLER'S STYLE Dec23 Dec08 Oct21 Sep23 Jul29 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   01/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT OUTCOME Dec10 Nov04 Oct21 Sep21 Aug30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
2  NOBILIS Dec10 Nov10 Aug27 Aug02 Jul07 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
3  ESCAPE KEY Dec10 Oct28       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
4  WAFLR Dec10 Nov17 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 (donk david)RIVERA R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOOKIN' TO WIN Nov17 Nov04 Oct12 Jul07   (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
6  DOLLY'S BANK Dec14 Nov19 Oct27 Sep04 Aug23 (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 117 20.00    
7  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Dec16 Nov17 Oct21 Sep22 Aug30 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
8  BEARY FUNNY Dec14 Nov16 Oct28 Aug27   (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 0.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  TUESDAY'S CHILD Nov25 Oct14 Jul22 Jul02 May28 (sciacca gary)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
 
AQU-4   01/04/2024 6600ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE AND LIGHT Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 Oct05 Sep21 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
2  BOLD VICTORY Nov30 Oct22 Oct12 Jul13 Jun13 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 ★    
3  HANG TIGHT Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 (romero jes)RIVERA R 113 15.00    
4  PORTOS Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00    
5  OPTIC WAY Nov26 Mar25 Mar10 Mar04 Jan21 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  HIGHER QUALITY Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 Sep21 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SITTIN ON GO Dec22 Dec10 Nov12 Oct27 Oct06 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
AQU-5   01/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FULL MOON FEVER Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May11 Apr14 (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY Dec09 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Aug30 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
2  MARKET ALERT Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 Jul23 May27 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 ★    
3  BIG ENGINE Dec09 Nov30 Nov03 Sep21 Jul23 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
4  TOMMY GUN Nov30 Nov16 Oct13 Oct02 Aug09 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 28% 2.50    
5  BAR FOURTEEN Dec13 Nov15 Oct18 Sep28 Sep01 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
6  PRINCE OF JOY Dec15 Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 Jul16 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
7  QUICKFLASH Nov30 Oct22 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
8  NO SALT Dec03 Nov02 Oct17 Sep10 Aug10 (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BUSTIN SHOUT Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 Nov03 Sep16 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-6   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DIVINE CROSS Dec28 Dec17 Nov30 Sep14 Aug16 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00    
SCR  KILLY START Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 Aug24 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
2  STOP GIGGLING Dec15         (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
3  MAGNILOQUENT Oct01 Aug11 Apr22 Jan15 Jul14 (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  RED PEPPER GRILL Dec14 Nov03 Oct14 Sep09 Jul22 (davis robb)RIVERA R 115 30.00    
5  MIM Dec08 Nov09 Oct06 Sep03 Aug12 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
6  KID'S LAST LAUGH Nov25 Nov10 Oct28 May05 Apr12 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
7  SHE'S AWESOME Dec14 Nov18 Nov09 Oct08 Sep20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-7   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM JUST KIDDIN Sep17 Aug16 Jul19 Jun24 May29 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  COUSIN KRISTI Nov16 Oct19 Sep06 Aug07 Jul02 (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 4.00    
3  MAJESTIC RETURN Nov16 Sep24 Sep02 Jul09 May14 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  FONTANAFREDDA Dec08 Nov16 Oct12 Sep17 Jul23 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
SCR  SILVER FIST Nov16 Sep01 Jul07 May29 Apr23 (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 Sep28 Aug20 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
7  MISSING FORTUNE Dec08 Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 (sau)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00    
 
AQU-8   01/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA SONNY Dec07 Jul21 Jul07 Jun18   (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00    
2  SUPPORT THE CAT Nov22 Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 (sells rache)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 30.00    
3  CHALKY CAT Dec07 Nov02 Oct15 Aug20 Aug02 (barker edw)RIVERA R 117 5.00 ★    
4  THE MIGHTY DON Dec09 Nov10 May19     (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 7% 14.40    
5  SIN NOMBRE Dec07 Nov10 Aug20 Jul21   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
6  MALIBU MYSTERY Oct15 May06       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
7  GOOD REUNION Dec09 Nov10       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.40 56% 0.80    
8  FLUORESCENT BAY Aug23 Jul07 Jun03 May13 Apr01 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  ENGLISH STORM Dec10 Oct05 Jul26 Nov20 Sep17 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.