Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Monday - January 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/6/2)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(8/6/1/4)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(1/2/3)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/1/5)-(1/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(1/7/6)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(3/2/4)-(8/6/5/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/6/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/9)-(8/6/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/9)-(8/6/5/4/9)-(8/6/5/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAVIN Nov26 Nov09 Oct21 Sep28   (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  ANTENNA Dec03 Nov26 Oct14 Aug26 Jul29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  KAYMUS Dec16         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
4  LOW SOCIETY Nov26 Oct28 Sep24     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  ANNA'S WISH Dec13 Nov18 Sep27 Sep03   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00    
6  PROGENY Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Sep16 Sep03 (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
AQU-2   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOOL KATHMANDU Nov22 Oct22 Sep16 Feb11 Dec16 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
2  FULL MOON MADNESS Nov24 Oct07 Dec30 Nov06 Oct01 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
3  WHO HOO THATS ME Nov24 May19 Jan21 Dec10 Oct30 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  NOTAH Aug26 Jun17 May29 Apr08 Feb12 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
5  BEZOS Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 Sep16 Jul22 (fisher linda)LUZZI J 120 4.00    
6  KUPP Dec16 Nov02 Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
AQU-3   01/01/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPROMISER Dec16 Dec07 Jul28 Jun30 Jun09 (grossman b)RIVERA R 117 12.00 8% 11.90    
2  A LISTER Dec01 Nov19 Sep21 Aug23 Jun18 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 117 20.00    
3  STEADY PROGRESS Dec03 Jul19 Jun18 May19 Apr29 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 122 2.50    
4  PHANTOM JEWEL Nov26 Nov10 Sep05 Jul03 Jun03 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Oct28         (sciacca ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00    
6  NO SURRENDER Dec01 Nov12 Oct13     (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  I LOVE CARA Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 Aug17   (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
8  DUDLEY DICKERSON Dec10 Nov17 Oct24 Sep25 Sep11 (moore micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-4   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Nov02 Jul04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
1A  UNCLE GEORGE Dec09 Jan21 Nov20 Aug25 Jun18 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  BARNSTORMING Nov01 Oct06 Nov26     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 24% 3.30    
3  NEUSCHWANSTEIN Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 (brion keri)RIVERA R 118 5.00 12% 7.10    
4  CAPONE Dec28 Nov24 Oct22 Sep16 Sep17 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00 ★    
5  BOBBY THE TANK Dec01 May21 Apr27 Feb20 Jan01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
6  FACE ABARRIO Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Oct07 Aug26 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
 
AQU-5   01/01/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS KRISTY Dec08 Oct28 Sep03 Aug06 May18 (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
2  JUST A NYQUIST Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 (barrera )DAVIS A 123 3.50    
3  GHOSTLY GIRL Dec03 Oct26 Oct07 Sep14 Aug11 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 115 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  I FEEL THE NEED Dec08 Oct18 Jul22 Jun16 Apr28 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80    
5  DOLCE SERA Nov30 Nov09 Oct08 Sep22 Jul30 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  STARRY MIDNIGHT Dec03 Apr16 Feb19 Jan22 Nov27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
 
AQU-6   01/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLU GROTTO Dec01 Oct13 Sep22 Jul03 May13 (rodriguez ru)HARKIE K 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
1A  CHARLIE FIVE O Nov02 Oct14 Sep18 Aug04 Jul15 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 113 2.00 ★    
2  LORD GATLING Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Sep17 Aug03 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
3  CENTAVO Dec15 Aug02 Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 8.00    
SCR  EBBEN Nov20 Oct18 Sep04 Jul26 Jul05 (guerrero car)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
SCR  CRITICAL THREAT Dec09 Oct28 Sep09 Nov21 Oct16 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 6.00    
6  FORTY TWO ACE Oct21 Sep21 Jul19 Jun03 May13 (baker charlton)LUZZI J 118 5.00 7% 14.00    
7  MASON MANIA Dec07 Nov04 Oct18 Sep26 Sep12 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-7   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORN OF PLENTY Dec15 Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 Jul31 (jacobson davi)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 ★    
SCR  BIG ENGINE Dec09 Nov30 Nov03 Sep21 Jul23 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
2  WHAT'S UP BRO Dec10 Oct19 Oct05 Aug23 Jun17 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
3  WARRIORS REVENGE Mar12 Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 Nov22 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 53% 0.90    
4  BRONX BOMBER Nov03 Sep28 Aug23 Jun03 Apr20 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 18.20    
5  SCILLY CAY Nov30 Oct28 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  MY MAN MATTY Dec01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan12 Nov27 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50    
7  WRITER'S REGRET Nov15 Nov01 Aug16 Jul23 Jun20 (d'alessand)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
8  THRILL OF IT Dec07 Nov04 Oct04 Aug23 Jul23 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE AGENDA Dec07 Oct21 Aug24 Jul16 May21 (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
2  PROVISION Dec07 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 (noda orlan)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
3  STREET COP OFFICER Dec17 Nov14 Oct25 Oct02 Sep06 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
4  DISAPPEARANCE Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 Aug31 Jul04 (barrera )DAVIS A 123 5.00 ★    
5  ANTHRACITE Dec15 Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 Aug24 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 7% 13.70    
6  REDDINGTON Nov23 Jun24 Apr29 Mar30 Oct01 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  UNION LIGHTS Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00    
8  WINNING CONNECTION Nov26 Oct21 Aug31 Jul22 Jul04 (dutrow rich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  IRON WORKS Nov26 Nov11 Oct13 Sep17 Jun09 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.