Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TDN-7   Win (5/2/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-8   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-9   Win (10/8/1/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGORITA Mar29 Mar21 Feb10 Jan21 Dec02 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 121 3.00    
SEMIRAMIS Apr30 Dec09 Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 (cordero-l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 6% 16.30    
UNESCORTED Apr05 Mar23 Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 110 2.00 55% 0.80    
FIONA Apr05 Feb20 Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 11% 7.80    
MORE MUCHO Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
VAVITE Apr24 Feb27 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO AUNT JOANS Apr15 Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Jan30 (dubie kat)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SCR  RESERVATION Apr15 Apr03 Mar23 Mar07 Jan12 (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50    
ASK THE UMPIRE Mar08 Feb02 Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 (casalino)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
BUILT LIKE TARZAN Mar07 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec06 (casalinova tina)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
BAY DEFENSE Apr03 Nov19 Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 (diehl candace)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00    
BLAST THE MUSIC Mar23 Feb17 Feb09 Jan22 Aug31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 16% 5.30    
BON DEUX Apr15 Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 10% 9.10    
 
TDN-3   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL LASS Apr05 Mar20 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
SURE FIRE READY Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
DEW IT WITH STYLE May11         (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 52% 0.90    
TV TIZ GORGEOUS Mar20 Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 Nov23 (tumblin andrew)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GO GIRL Apr06 Nov12 Oct29 Sep29 Sep14 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 9% 10.70    
EXPRESS FASHION Apr05 Mar20 Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00    
KETTLE KISS Nov15 Nov01 Sep29     (feliciano benny )DIAZ I 115 8.00    
 
TDN-4   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSACIABLE PRINCE Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Nov29 Nov02 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
BLUNDER Mar06 Feb16 Jan23 Dec21 Dec06 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
STREET TRAFFIC Apr25 Jul14 Jun29     (jackson james )TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK Apr05 Mar21 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 20% 3.90    
KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Mar06 Feb22 Jan18 Jun18 Apr30 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 20.00 12% 7.60    
ONE FOR THE MONEY Apr15 Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 (gorham m)TORREALBA JG 118 3.50    
NAPA DUDE Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Jan12 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUMBER Mar30 Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 Dec20 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
GILES Apr03 Mar14 Mar02 Feb22 Feb02 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 18% 4.70    
SHELL FIRE Nov28 Nov10 Oct24 Oct14 Oct05 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
DUEL FUEL Apr24 Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
OPEN OUT Mar16 Dec29 Dec05 Nov02 Oct13 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
ROSAS WAY Apr03 Mar16 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
UNIDENTIFIED MAN Apr03 Mar17 Jan26 Jan06 Dec11 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
MASTER OF WAR Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 Jan23 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 30.00    
FUEGO CALIENTE Apr13 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  NOT A GAME Apr04 Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Jan23 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50    
 
TDN-6   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOUS CLOWN Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 Mar06 Jul05 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 2.50    
STARLITESLEW Apr05 Mar20 Oct25 Sep26 Sep14 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
CHILLVILLE Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (lopez jac)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
SCR  ROARING GINGER Mar09 Feb06 Dec27     (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 4.00 8% 11.20    
ANIMO STAR Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jul01 Jun27 (gonzalez donac)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
KISS VALENTINA Mar27 Mar09 Feb20 Dec27 Dec13 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.50    
SECRETS UNTOLD Oct06 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
TDN-7   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Apr04 Aug01 Jun21 Jun02 May06 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Dec03 Oct27 Sep22 Jun25 May07 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 13% 6.70    
CALBOYZEKE Nov19 Oct29 Sep15 Aug17   (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 11% 8.40    
ZAKARIA Apr26 Mar28 Oct25 Oct03 Aug30 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 119 20.00    
BIG TRUCK Dec28 Dec03 Sep22 Aug31 Jul22 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Dec03 Nov07 Sep22 Aug31 Aug13 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
RELISH THE RIDE Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep22 Sep06 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
SHANGHAI PRINCE Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 Jan26 Dec27 (cline c)ROSARIO L 121 4.50    
MOBIL SOLUTION Dec03 Sep22 Sep07 Jul22 Jun25 (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan16 Dec12 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 117 15.00    
SCR  GARRETT Apr12 Mar13 Feb22 Jan11 Dec12 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 20.00    
SCR  NEBULOSA Apr26 Mar27 Feb13 Jan28 Jan17 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
13  PAT'S KARMA Apr06 Mar09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 30.00    
14  MOESTER Apr26 Feb28 Feb13 Jan28 Dec20 (brown glenroy)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSPLASH Mar28 Mar14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec08 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
SCR  SPECIAL BEACH Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Jan09 Dec28 (mahan p)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50    
MISS OVER THERE Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 (mannin)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 10.00    
SHELLEY'S GEM Apr24 Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
RADIANTRITHYM Apr24 Mar02 Feb08 Jan28 Jan09 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 34% 1.90    
DIVINE MARTHA Apr24 Mar28 Mar15 Nov01 Oct19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
PRINCESS HALIME Apr24 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-9   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY INCLUSIVE Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 Jun13 May12 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 5% 18.20    
MACHEN REIGNS Nov16 Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May12 (baird michael)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
ANCHORWOMAN Apr10 Mar21 Sep21 Aug24 Jul14 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 5% 19.00    
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 (yoder d)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 30.00    
SCR  BACOPA BAY Mar08 Jun30 May12     (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00    
MARGARITA CINCO Apr24 Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec27 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
COSTUME JEWELRY Dec27 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 Oct26 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
TALE OF THE LYON Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.80    
BROWNIE Apr10 Mar02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
10  NEECHI Apr10 Mar23 Dec01 Oct31   (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00 60% 0.70    
11  HELLO SWEETS Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 Dec31 Dec15 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 8.00    
12  MISS ELLIE Apr27 Apr10 Mar16 Mar01 Feb09 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.