Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/6/7)-(3/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(3/1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5)-(9/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/5)-(9/2/1)-(7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/1)-(9/2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1)-(9/2/1/6/3)-(9/2/1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1)-(7)-(5/2/3/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7)-(5/2/3/9/6)-(4/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/2/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/9/6)-(5/2/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/9/6)-(5/2/3/9/6)-(5/2/3/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/9/6)-(4/3/6)-(10/8/1/3/12) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TDN-8   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(10/8/1/3/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-9   WIN (10/8/1/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/1/3/12)-(10/8/1/3/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/1/3/12)-(10/8/1/3/12)-(10/8/1/3/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGORITA Mar29 Mar21 Feb10 Jan21 Dec02 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 121 3.00    
2  SEMIRAMIS Apr30 Dec09 Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 6% 16.30    
3  UNESCORTED Apr05 Mar23 Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 2.00 55% 0.80    
4  FIONA Apr05 Feb20 Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 (erdel )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 11% 7.80    
5  MORE MUCHO Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
6  VAVITE Apr24 Feb27 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Apr15 Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Jan30 (dubie k)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SCR  RESERVATION Apr15 Apr03 Mar23 Mar07 Jan12 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50    
3  ASK THE UMPIRE Mar08 Feb02 Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 (casali)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Mar07 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec06 (casalinova tina)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
5  BAY DEFENSE Apr03 Nov19 Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 (diehl candace)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00    
6  BLAST THE MUSIC Mar23 Feb17 Feb09 Jan22 Aug31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 16% 5.30    
7  BON DEUX Apr15 Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 10% 9.10    
 
TDN-3   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL LASS Apr05 Mar20 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
2  SURE FIRE READY Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
3  DEW IT WITH STYLE May11         (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 52% 0.90    
4  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Mar20 Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 Nov23 (tumblin andrew)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GO GIRL Apr06 Nov12 Oct29 Sep29 Sep14 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 9% 10.70    
6  EXPRESS FASHION Apr05 Mar20 Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00    
7  KETTLE KISS Nov15 Nov01 Sep29     (feliciano benn)DIAZ I 115 8.00    
 
TDN-4   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Nov29 Nov02 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SUSTAIN by VINDICATION)
2  BLUNDER Mar06 Feb16 Jan23 Dec21 Dec06 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
3  STREET TRAFFIC Apr25 Jul14 Jun29     (jackson jame)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Apr05 Mar21 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 20% 3.90    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
5  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Mar06 Feb22 Jan18 Jun18 Apr30 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 20.00 12% 7.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEONA'S KNIGHT by SUAVE PROSPECT)
6  ONE FOR THE MONEY Apr15 Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 (gorham robert )TORREALBA JG 118 3.50    
  (by STRONG CONTENDER out of MAUX MONEY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
7  NAPA DUDE Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Jan12 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HARBIN by GONE WEST)
 
TDN-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBER Mar30 Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 Dec20 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
2  GILES Apr03 Mar14 Mar02 Feb22 Feb02 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  SHELL FIRE Nov28 Nov10 Oct24 Oct14 Oct05 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 ★    
4  DUEL FUEL Apr24 Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
5  OPEN OUT Mar16 Dec29 Dec05 Nov02 Oct13 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
6  ROSAS WAY Apr03 Mar16 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 ★    
7  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Apr03 Mar17 Jan26 Jan06 Dec11 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
8  MASTER OF WAR Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 Jan23 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 30.00    
9  FUEGO CALIENTE Apr13 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  NOT A GAME Apr04 Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Jan23 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50    
 
TDN-6   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CLOWN Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 Mar06 Jul05 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 ★    
2  STARLITESLEW Apr05 Mar20 Oct25 Sep26 Sep14 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00    
3  CHILLVILLE Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (lopez j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
SCR  ROARING GINGER Mar09 Feb06 Dec27     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 117 4.00 8% 11.20    
5  ANIMO STAR Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jul01 Jun27 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
6  KISS VALENTINA Mar27 Mar09 Feb20 Dec27 Dec13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.50 ★    
7  SECRETS UNTOLD Oct06 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
TDN-7   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Apr04 Aug01 Jun21 Jun02 May06 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Dec03 Oct27 Sep22 Jun25 May07 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 13% 6.70    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  CALBOYZEKE Nov19 Oct29 Sep15 Aug17   (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 11% 8.40    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of SARAH'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
4  ZAKARIA Apr26 Mar28 Oct25 Oct03 Aug30 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 119 20.00    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
5  BIG TRUCK Dec28 Dec03 Sep22 Aug31 Jul22 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by BIRDRUN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Dec03 Nov07 Sep22 Aug31 Aug13 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of FLY GOLD AIR by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
7  RELISH THE RIDE Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep22 Sep06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CRYPTOS' BEST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
8  SHANGHAI PRINCE Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 Jan26 Dec27 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 121 4.50    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of SHANGHAI PRINCESS by PRIVATE VOW)
9  MOBIL SOLUTION Dec03 Sep22 Sep07 Jul22 Jun25 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PERFECT SOLUTION by SEEKING THE GOLD)
10  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan16 Dec12 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 117 15.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
SCR  GARRETT Apr12 Mar13 Feb22 Jan11 Dec12 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 20.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MIRACULOUS KNIGHT by HOLY BULL)
SCR  NEBULOSA Apr26 Mar27 Feb13 Jan28 Jan17 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
13  PAT'S KARMA Apr06 Mar09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 30.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of JUMP RAISE by I'LL RAISE YOU ONE)
14  MOESTER Apr26 Feb28 Feb13 Jan28 Dec20 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
  (by MOBIL out of FOR MY WIFE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
TDN-8   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSPLASH Mar28 Mar14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec08 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
SCR  SPECIAL BEACH Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Jan09 Dec28 (mahan p)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50    
2  MISS OVER THERE Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 10.00    
3  SHELLEY'S GEM Apr24 Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  RADIANTRITHYM Apr24 Mar02 Feb08 Jan28 Jan09 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  DIVINE MARTHA Apr24 Mar28 Mar15 Nov01 Oct19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
6  PRINCESS HALIME Apr24 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-9   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY INCLUSIVE Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 Jun13 May12 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 5% 18.20    
2  MACHEN REIGNS Nov16 Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May12 (baird micha)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
3  ANCHORWOMAN Apr10 Mar21 Sep21 Aug24 Jul14 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 30.00    
SCR  BACOPA BAY Mar08 Jun30 May12     (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00    
6  MARGARITA CINCO Apr24 Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
7  COSTUME JEWELRY Dec27 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 Oct26 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
8  TALE OF THE LYON Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.80    
9  BROWNIE Apr10 Mar02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
10  NEECHI Apr10 Mar23 Dec01 Oct31   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00 60% 0.70    
11  HELLO SWEETS Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 Dec31 Dec15 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 8.00    
12  MISS ELLIE Apr27 Apr10 Mar16 Mar01 Feb09 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.