Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - January 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   WIN (1/8/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/7/4)-(1/8/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/7/4)-(1/8/5/7/4)-(1/8/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/5/7/4)-(6/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-2   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(1/2/3/6)-(2/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6/5)-(1/2/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(2/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(2/10/9)-(6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
OP-4   WIN (2/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/9)-(2/10/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/9)-(2/10/9/4/5)-(2/10/9/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/10/9)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9)-(6)-(7/12/6/1/10) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
OP-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/1/12) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/1/12)-(6/5/1/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(7/12/6/1/10) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (6)-(7/12/6/1/10)-(10/6/7/5/2) 25 $0.50 $12.50 
OP-6   WIN (7/12/6/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/6/1/10)-(7/12/6/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/6/1/10)-(7/12/6/1/10)-(7/12/6/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/6/1/10)-(10/6/7/5/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/12/6/1/10)-(10/6/7/5/2)-(6/10/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-7   WIN (10/6/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/7/5/2)-(10/6/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/7/5/2)-(10/6/7/5/2)-(10/6/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/7/5/2)-(6/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/6/7/5/2)-(6/10/4)-(5/10/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-8   WIN (6/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/4)-(6/10/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/10/4)-(6/10/4/1)-(6/10/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/10/4)-(5/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
OP-9   WIN (5/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/2)-(5/10/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/2)-(5/10/2/9/6)-(5/10/2/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OJITOS Nov11 Oct27 Sep28 Sep14 Aug28 (silva miguel)MOJICA O 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
OBVIOUSLY TOO Sep24 Aug27 Aug08 Jul02 Jun18 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 120 8.00    
ROCK CITY ROCKET Sep18 Jul31 Jul03 Jun17 May30 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 2.00    
J'S LITTLE MAN Dec10 May30 May16 Apr22 Apr10 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 7% 14.40    
AFRICAN WARRIOR Sep03 Aug07 Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 (prather j)TORRES A 120 3.00 8% 12.20    
SERBIAN SAILOR Dec18 Dec09 Oct12 Sep16 Aug14 (hewitt micha)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 30.00    
HOLDING PATTERN Dec10 Oct03 Sep04 Aug02 Jul04 (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00 7% 12.40    
ORBITAL STARR Aug02 Jun19 Jun04 May07 Apr10 (prather john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
RISKY SITUATION Dec18 Dec09 Jun04 May07 Apr30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
 
OP-2   01/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS PRINCIPAL Nov06 Oct12 Sep18 Aug13 Jun23 (hartlage gary)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 5.00    
SKYLINE Dec09 Nov15 Oct11 Sep23 Aug25 (haran john)HARR KELSI 114 6.00    
SEE SPOT RUN Dec09 Oct26 Oct19 Oct05 Mar21 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00    
BACKGATE RED Sep06 Jul26 Jul03 Jun20 May07 (prather j)TORRES A 116 8.00    
MORNING DRIVE Dec18 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 (lauer michae)JORDAN R 116 30.00    
BILLY YANK Dec08 Nov05 Oct14 Oct02 Sep04 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
JACKS FIRE BALLS Nov27 Nov06 Oct26 Aug31   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
MYSTIFIER Nov12 Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 Jul30 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
RCAPTIVATING Dec16 Nov07 Sep24 Aug28 Jul10 (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 109 12.00    
SCR  WORDS OF WISDOM Oct27 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 (schultz l)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 7% 13.60    
 
OP-3   01/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($45K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMER Dec11 Oct21 Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
EASTSIDE COOL Dec17 Dec01 Nov08 Oct12 Aug15 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
LORD DRAGON Nov06 Sep11 Aug18 Jun18 May21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
HUGE BIGLY Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 Sep05 Aug14 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00    
PEEKACHO Nov12 Oct21 Sep30 Aug20 Jul15 (vance r)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00    
ANTIGRAVITY Nov02 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 Jun25 (hollendorfer jer)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 10% 9.20    
SECOND OF JULY Oct15 Sep08 Aug13 Jul24 Jun26 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 4.50    
 
OP-4   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME FAMILY Dec16 Nov04 Oct16 Oct07 Sep23 (riecken bruc)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 30.00    
WARTIME HERO Dec17 May08 Apr07 Mar17 Feb19 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
MORNING SNOW Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 Jun25 (pish danny)BAZE C 117 15.00    
EGO Dec11 Jul17 Jun23 May24 Apr23 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 120 3.00    
MULBERRY STREET Nov19 Nov06 Oct12 Sep01 Aug09 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00    
GEORGIA DEPUTY Dec17 Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 Sep01 (petalino )DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
FOREVAMO Dec10 Nov09 Oct27 Aug30 Jul24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 20.00    
RECKLESSNESS Oct22 Sep29 Sep14 Aug15 Jul14 (mason ingrid)WALES T 120 30.00    
VALDOLOBO (IRE) Sep12         (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 30.00 7% 12.60    
10  FORT PECK Apr22 Mar26 Mar06 Feb19   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 1.40 24% 3.20    
 
OP-5   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COROMANDEL Dec09         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00    
  (by TEKTON out of WOOD ROSE by TIZNOW)
ADAMANTLY         (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of SENNOCKIAN STORM by STORM CAT)
BROOKE'S ALL IN         (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 12.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of BROOKE'S A BOOKIN by JONESBORO)
PAT'S GAL Dec09         (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
  (by FIVE IRON out of ESSIE by GOLDENCENTS)
HAYTHERE JOGEEGIRL         (prather j)TORRES A 118 6.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of GENERATION OF LOVE by FORESTRY)
TIMBAVATI Dec09 Nov25       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 1.40 11% 8.50    
  (by JUST A COINCIDENCE out of DON'T BOSS ME by STREET BOSS)
FEATURETTE Dec09         (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BIG SIS by SPUDKNAC)
AUNT CARI Dec09         (petalino )DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
MISS PONY UP         (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 30.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of RAINBOWS ARE DUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
10  INDIAN SPIRIT         (jackson d)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of WICKED BEAUTY by VINDICATION)
11  WILD ROSEY Dec09 Nov20 Jul17     (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ROSEY BAY by GOLDEN MISSILE)
12  MAGNOLIA MAE Dec09 Nov25 Sep23 Sep09   (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of CLASSY CORINTHIAN by CORINTHIAN)
SCR  HONEYCAMP Dec09         (cates al)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of FERRIS WHEEL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Dec10 Jul13       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 0.80 65% 0.50    
  (by ASTERN out of BIRD HARBOR by BOSTON HARBOR)
 
OP-6   01/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAS ARTHUR Nov09         (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
BACKSIDE BUZZ Dec16 Nov26 Oct30 Oct09 Jul17 (vance d)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
LEOLA Oct23 Sep22       (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
DELUCA Dec10         (mott rile)TORRES A 122 4.50    
ROCKING ROCKET Dec10 Aug21       (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 30.00    
JUILLIARD Dec10         (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
LET ME LOVE YOU Dec16 Nov23 Nov03 Sep28 Sep05 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
CAMBIASO Dec18 Dec11 Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00    
PIER PRESSURE Dec16         (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00    
10  HONOR THE LAW         (villafranco martin)MOJICA O 122 30.00 6% 16.20    
11  CHICAGO'S GRAY Dec10 Nov19       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
12  EIGHT STRAIGHT Nov16 Nov03 Sep21     (mcpeek g)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
OP-7   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONO GRATO Nov27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 126 20.00    
CAN'T HUSH THIS Dec11 Nov23 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 (morse l)CABRERA DAVID 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
STELLAR TAP Nov02 Sep17 Aug12 Jul10 Jun22 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 30.00    
ST ANDREWS Dec17 Nov02 Oct08 Sep14 Aug20 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Nov20 Sep25 Aug19 May14   (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 126 6.00 6% 14.80    
MAC DADDY TOO Oct22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul22   (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 2.50 11% 8.20    
DRIVEN ONE Dec17 Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 (mason ingrid)WALES T 126 10.00 7% 13.30    
SUMMER IN MALIBU Dec18 May14 Apr03 Mar19 Feb26 (vance thomas )BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00    
SCR  GET THROUGH Dec18 Oct19 Sep25 Aug28 Aug12 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 126 30.00    
10  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Nov27 Oct28 Oct14     (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 1.60 49% 1.00    
11  MIACOMET Dec16 Nov24 Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 124 10.00    
12  CARNIVORE Dec18 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Sep01 (keithan rachael)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
13  KATTATH Dec18 Oct02 Aug25     (schultz lind)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 15.00    
 
OP-8   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDGE TO EDGE Dec11 Nov11 Sep25 Apr02 Feb20 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
PAYNE Nov23 Oct20 Sep03 Jul13 May30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S TOWER Aug02 Jul03 Jun22 May30 Apr30 (hartman chris)BAZE C 120 15.00    
CAIRAMA Dec11 Apr30 Apr10 Feb26 Jan01 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  WHISKEY DOUBLE Nov25 Oct25 Oct04 Aug21 Jul16 (vance d)JUAREZ NIK 120 30.00    
AIR COMBAT Dec11 Nov11 Sep30 Aug14 Jul15 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Dec10 Nov17 Sep22 Jun19 May28 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00    
CITY RAGE Nov26 Oct15 Aug13 Jun17 May21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
WHELEN SPRINGS Nov09 May21 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 115 20.00    
10  ALBIZU Dec11 Nov14 Oct29 Sep18 Aug21 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
11  NO SHIRT NO SHOES Dec11 Nov05 Oct16 Aug07 Jul08 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 120 20.00    
 
OP-9   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO DANZING Dec16 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (stuart c)BAZE C 124 20.00    
BEER CHASER Dec18 Oct14 Sep27 Sep05 Aug17 (puhl kim)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
RVINDICATED Nov14 Oct26 Oct01 Sep01 Aug04 (keithan rach)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00    
AMONGST FRIENDS Dec10 Oct27 Sep24 Aug25 Aug04 (shorter a)TORRES A 120 20.00    
TONKA WARRIOR Oct28 Oct01 Sep03 Aug14 Aug03 (robertso)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
U S NAVY CROSS Dec17 Dec01 Sep25 Aug20 Jul16 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
EMERALD EXPRESS Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 Oct15 Sep18 (morse l)CABRERA DAVID 117 15.00    
STORMY PATTERN Dec17 Oct14 Sep10 Jul24 Jul01 (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
DIAL IN FOR LUTE Nov07 Oct15 Sep29 Sep07 Aug19 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
10  WINTERWOOD Dec17 Nov02 Sep17 Jul15 Mar04 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
11  DEBATE Nov27         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 117 4.50    
12  BLAME ELI Dec10 Sep19 Aug26 Jul23 Jun27 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 30.00    
SCR  TWO BY TWO Nov25 Oct21 Sep07 Jul31 Jul07 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.