Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - June 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(7/5/2/8)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/2/8)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/8)-(6/5/3)-(6/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/2/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/2/1)-(4/6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/2)-(7/5/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/8/1)-(7/5/6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILIN' FOR GEMS May28 May07 Apr22 Mar25 Feb29 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60    
VERNON'S BEST Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 Jun30 Jun16 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00    
MR SIX May13         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FORMYBOYS May28 May07 Apr08 Mar17 Mar07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
TOOK THE RISK         (langley )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
PLUM TUFF         (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 25% 2.90    
 
TDN-2   06/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPASS POINT May27 May08 Apr25 Apr02 Mar18 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
MARLEY LUCK May27 May08 Apr13 Apr02 Mar05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 11% 8.50    
NOBLE BEHAVIOR Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep27 Sep05 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
MASTER Jan31 Dec30 Dec06 Nov16 Nov08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
OWN THE TOWN May14 Dec13 Oct09 Sep11 Aug14 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
UNCAPTURED LYON Nov16 Nov02 Oct09 Sep21 Aug21 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
AMERICAN PRINCE May23 Sep13 Aug16 Jul25 May20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.80 38% 1.70    
BROADWAY JONES May13 Mar20 Mar05 Feb05 Jan01 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   06/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMALL TOWN GOSSIP         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 4.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
BUCKEYE BLUE         (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 118 10.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
INSTIGATION         (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
SIOFRA         (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
TOASTMASTER         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SILVER KISS         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by BLOFELD out of JUSTGIMMEAKISS by CONGRATS)
COLORYOUREGGS         (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 8.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of MEDIA RULES by MASS MEDIA)
 
TDN-4   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAKARIA Feb20 Dec13 Nov14 Oct06 Sep04 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN May20 Apr25 Oct28 Sep28 Aug07 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
PROSECUTOR May23 May04 Apr01 Mar18 Feb29 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
RUN ROCKY Aug09 Jul27 Jan05 Nov30 Nov15 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
EAGLE NEST May23 May08 Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
OKLAHOMA JOE May04 Apr09 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-5   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKES SENSE TO ME May06 Apr25 Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
FULL TIME STRUTIN Jun04 Nov07 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
ELIKA Nov01 Oct23 Oct05 Sep19 Aug11 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 8.00    
PINK PARTY PANTS May06 Mar29 Mar16 Feb07 Nov13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00    
DELOVELY May21 May01 Apr08 Mar20 Mar05 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 121 1.80 25% 2.90    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Jun03 May15 Apr22 Mar20 Feb28 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNKY ONE May29 May13 Apr22 Apr10 Mar11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50    
THE KID'S PRAYER May29 May13 Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
CORA CORONA May27 Apr22       (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
QUICK RENDEZVOUS May27 Nov28       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
VAMONOS PIACENTE May29 Apr10 Jan22 Dec20 Aug29 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
FEELING EASY May29 May13 Apr22 Nov30 Oct12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 20% 3.90    
MANDOLIN BREEZE May29 May13 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LOVES IT Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Aug02 Jun20 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
NUBLADA May13 Mar12 Feb14     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Apr11 Mar25 Mar11 Feb21 Jan04 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Apr24 Oct28 Sep25 Aug12 Jul13 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 115 3.00 42% 1.40    
KISSING MEDALS May28 May13 Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 15.00    
MIDNIGHT WONDER Jun03 Apr01 Feb07 Dec20 Nov23 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  DOLCE MARIE May29 Apr22 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
SCR  IMA MOM May28 May13 Apr24 Feb01 Dec14 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 5.00    
 
TDN-8   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINUS O'S ME May28 Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
VERTISALUTE May27 Oct10       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
BOLD NICKY Feb19 Jan23 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
SOMETHING LUCKY Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Dec28 Nov28 (doering mar)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SMARTASSET Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Sep19 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE May09 Jan30       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
MIESHA May28 Apr28 Mar22 Feb25 Feb02 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CUPCAKE TATE by THE FACTOR)
QUETZALY May28 May09 Apr24 Apr08 Jan30 (atala jose)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUNDALK DUST by MILITARY)
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Feb19 Feb07 Jan23 Dec20   (maddox rach)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.