Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(6/3/2)-(10/8/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(10/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(10/8/7/9)-(3/7/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (10/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/7/9)-(10/8/7/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/7/9)-(10/8/7/3/9)-(10/8/7/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/7/9)-(3/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/8/7/9)-(3/7/5/6)-(1/5/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/6)-(1/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/6)-(1/5/6/4)-(15/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(15/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(15/9/3)-(15/16/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (15/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (15/9/3)-(15/9/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (15/9/3)-(15/9/3/6)-(15/9/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (15/9/3)-(15/16/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (15/9/3)-(15/16/3/10)-(3/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (15/16/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (15/16/3/10)-(15/16/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (15/16/3/10)-(15/16/3/10)-(15/16/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (15/16/3/10)-(3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (15/16/3/10)-(3/8/1)-(7/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/7/1)-(3/8/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESILIENT HERO         (jimene)GRISALES DANILO 119 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
WAR TAX         (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRANSACTION TAX by GEMOLOGIST)
KATERINA RISTOVA         (chichakly a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KENDALIN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
AUTHENTIC KINGDOM         (servis c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 41% 1.40    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CYRIELLE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
MY MITOLE         (martin car)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of BOARD BATTLE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
PAULA'S A STAR         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 116 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEKING A STAR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
BAQ-2   05/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC13 FIRM Wonder Again Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEGESTA Apr21 Mar09 Jan21     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
GRAYOSH Apr20 Mar03 Jan21     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ROSIE O'PRADO by PADDY O'PRADO)
VIVE VEUVE Mar30 Feb11 Nov19     (sisterson ja)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of CANDY STORE by LOPE DE VEGA)
SY B Apr05 Mar06 Feb07     (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OCEAN DRIVE by BELONG TO ME)
CURLIN'S GIRL Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 Jan04 Dec01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of QUALITY ROCKS by ROCK HARD TEN)
SWEET REBECCA Apr28 Mar10       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWEET N DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  SIX PACK SENORITA May03 Apr11 Jan07 Nov23 Oct13 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BAQ-3   05/27/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPIRIT May18 Oct19 Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
HOLD THE SALSA Apr26 Dec30 Dec17 Nov18 Oct19 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 124 20.00    
TRULY QUALITY Apr25 Mar03 Feb03 Oct28 Sep10 (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
SCR  GOING CONCERN (GB) Apr26 Feb14       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00    
NIGHT EFFECT May18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
GOOD MEDICINE May09 Apr25 Mar03 Jul21 Jun10 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
BE LIKE CLINT Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb18 Jan21 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
CATCH A WAVE Apr26 Mar10       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
SAMBURU (GB) Apr26 Feb22 Jan24 Jan01 Dec08 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BETTER BET Apr25 Mar16 Jan18     (sweezey ken)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKSON'S DIXIE May05 Mar30 Mar17 Mar02 Feb11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50    
BANK ON ANNA Apr19 Mar17 Jan11 Oct29 Aug11 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SANDY'S GARDEN Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 Sep24 Sep02 (grabowski john )DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
BACKED BY GOLD May05 Apr13 Aug20 Jul27 Jul07 (quick )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00    
QUEENS MASTERPIECE Apr12 Jan19 Nov25 Oct08 May14 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
NO CHALK May07 Nov08 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 (iorio jr)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPERMENTAL May05 Apr12 Mar10 Feb03 Dec08 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
BAQ-5   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED D G P Apr05 Mar21 Feb29 Feb17 Nov24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
HEIR PORT May04 Apr13 Mar01 Jan06 Nov26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
SCR  F F ROCKET Apr13 Mar17 Jan18 Nov11 Nov03 (shivma)GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00    
PRINCE JAMES Apr27 Mar28 Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
COLONEL VARGO Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 Jan18 (toscan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
DADDY KNOWS Apr26 Apr14 Mar24 Mar07 Feb18 (david a)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
HONORARY DEGREE May17 Apr27 Apr05 Mar17 Mar10 (jones eduardo )LUZZI J 118 15.00    
FIRST DEPUTY Apr27 Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 Jan18 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER May05 Apr11 Mar08 Feb04 Jan12 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORI         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PRINCESSOF THE NYL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  TIPPLE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
DREAMS SHE DREAMS Apr04 Mar10       (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of URBANINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  IZZY SWEET GIRL (IRE) May02 Mar29       (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of BIONIC BUFFY by DARK ANGEL)
SCR  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Apr21 Feb23       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50    
  (by DUBAWI out of PRICELESS by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
MAGIC EIGHT BALL Nov18 Oct20 Aug13 Jun02   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PREDICTRESS by VICAR)
BEWILDERED May02         (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GOLDRUSH GIRL by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SCR  ECHO BAYBE (IRE) Nov05 Sep02       (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
  (by CABLE BAY out of ART INSTITUTE by ARCH)
SASSY ALLIE         (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SEATTLE SASS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
10  AMERICAN KESTREL Apr14         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of OKEEHEELEE by DANSILI (GB))
11  DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE)         (jimene)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LA SALVADORENA Apr18         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LADY ASTOLA by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  CORONA PRINCESS Apr28         (seyler douglas)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LEROY'S PRINCESS by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  WRIGLEYVILLE Apr20         (sisterson jac)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MARKETING MIX by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
15  SHOP LIFTING Nov19 Nov04 Aug26     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 66% 0.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
16  QUIESCENT Apr21 Feb23 Jan26 Aug23 Jul30 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 124 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SAARLIGHT by SAARLAND)
 
BAQ-7   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Apr27 Nov19 Oct27 May11   (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00    
DOLLY'S BANK Apr27 Apr11 Mar14 Feb18 Jan26 (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 124 15.00    
WILLINTORISKITALL Sep17 Aug17 Jul20 Jun11 May05 (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.50 7% 12.60    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE Nov19 Oct27 Aug23 Jun01 Nov11 (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50    
VIN SANTO May10 Apr13 Mar24 Jan13 Dec17 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  EZ ROLL Apr28 Nov03 Sep17 Aug23 Jul28 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  AMERICAN GRANT Apr28 Apr05 Aug27 Jul13 Jun25 (brown r)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
SCR  PROVISION Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 Feb10 Jan01 (shivmangal)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
SCR  RELATE Jul26 Jun24 Nov26 Oct29 Aug14 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
10  CLEAR CONSCIENCE Dec14 Oct26 Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 (lewis l)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMAGE OF QUALITY Apr21 Nov11 Aug17 Jul22   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00    
SCR  GEM MINT TEN Apr28 Oct26 Aug27 Aug03 Jun18 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00    
13  KING FREUD Apr28 Mar24 Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY May03 Apr06 Dec17 Nov18 Oct26 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50    
15  MIGHTY ATLAS May04 Apr13 Mar15 Aug26 Aug10 (maker j)RIDER TBA 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
16  SAFALOW'S MISSION Apr13 Feb29 Jan13 Aug05 Jul03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
BAQ-8   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN DON'T STOP May02 Apr12 Mar24 Feb25 Jan19 (noda o)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAMA'S DREAM Apr28 Mar14 Feb18 Feb02 Nov12 (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
COOL OPERATOR Apr12 Mar09 Jan27 Dec02   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
RETAIL MAN Apr19 Mar24 Mar07 Jan06 Dec08 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 15.00    
AVA'S UNCLE BILLY May02 Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 Dec10 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SECURED LANDING Apr01 Feb02       (servis tyle)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
STORMQUIST May12 Apr19 Jan28 Nov05 Oct07 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
ERIC FROM MIAMI May02 Feb18 Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
BAQ-9   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT EXPRESS May05 Apr12 Mar08 Feb03 Mar30 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
ENDOWED May09 Apr05 Jul26 Jun09 Nov19 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE May09 Apr26 Mar29 Mar08 Jan11 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
SCR  ICE ROAD Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Dec28 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
BARNSTORMING May09 Apr25 Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
JUNGFRAU Apr05 Feb29 Feb11 Jan27 Dec28 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIMAEUS Apr26 May06       (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  OCTOBER BLISS May09 Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 Jan26 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 126 20.00    
SCR  CHALKY CAT Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.