Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/3/4)-(9/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(9/5)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/5)-(9/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/5)-(6/1/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/5)-(6/1/3/2)-(5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/2)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(1/8/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(1/8/3/5)-(3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/5)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/5)-(3/2/5)-(9/12/10/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(9/12/10/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (9/12/10/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/10/3/4)-(9/12/10/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/10/3/4)-(9/12/10/3/4)-(9/12/10/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MONOCLONAL         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CATCHY TUNE by BERNSTEIN)
1A  CLASSIC TIME         (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of READING ROOM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2B  HONORARY AMERICAN (IRE)         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by CHURCHILL out of HEARTLINES by BERNARDINI)
SCR  AFTER TAXES (IRE)         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60    
  (by KODIAC out of JEVA by SEA THE STARS)
3  SOONTOBEKING May10         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
4  TAPWRITS TEMPER         (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of TROPIC HOLIDAY by SUMMER FRONT)
5  DANCING BEAR         (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
SCR  CHEVAL DE GUERRE Apr25         (kenneally edd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CHAMPAGNE DIET by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SCR  JACE IS NO JOKE         (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DIXIE DANCER by UNION RAGS)
 
BAQ-2   05/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY GIRL Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Jan18 (toscano j)CAMACHO JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GAV'S DREAM GIRL Jan21 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00    
3  TRY IT AGAIN May02 Feb16 Feb04 Jan26 Dec03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
4  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Apr07 Mar07 Feb11 Jan26 Nov25 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  MAGGIE May12 Mar28 Mar10 Mar02 Feb16 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50    
6  FIRST CLASS CAT Apr25 Mar15 Feb17 Jan13 Dec30 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH JACKSON Apr07 Mar14 Dec30 Nov30 Apr30 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00    
2  DIVINE CROSS Mar15 Feb24 Jan28 Jan04 Dec28 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
3  ST. BENEDICTS PREP May03 Apr13 Feb28 Dec20 Nov23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.40 30% 2.30    
4  LA GROTTE Apr18 Mar24 Feb19 Dec30 Nov09 (belsoeur yvon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROMAN GODDESS May03 Mar07 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 (kantarma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00    
6  CONTROLLED TEMPER Apr11 Mar21 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
BAQ-4   05/24/2024 7260ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEENS FABLE (IRE) Jan20 Dec02       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of RYMSKA by LE HAVRE)
SCR  DARK POOL May03 Feb21 Nov05 Oct05 Sep03 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of CHESTNUT GROVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MS SEDONA Apr05 Dec14       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LASEEN by DYLAN THOMAS)
4  PAST TENSE May04 Mar31 Mar10 Nov18 Oct20 (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RETRO by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  JITTERBUG Feb03         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 7% 14.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of APT by A.P. INDY)
SCR  INVESTMENT PROCESS Jan21         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TANGAROO by LONHRO (AUS))
7  WAKE UP LAUREN Apr20 Feb18 Nov03 Sep17   (maker michael)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
SCR  MIZOULA (IRE) Apr05 Mar03 Feb03     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by ZOUSTAR out of STELLAR GLOW by SEA THE STARS)
9  JUST MUSIC May09 Apr05 Feb24 Feb18 Jan19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
 
BAQ-5   05/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MAMA MIA May03 Sep15 Aug19 Jul17 May18 (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
2  PROPER GRAMMAR Apr20 Apr07 Mar22 Mar14 Feb18 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Apr25 Jan18 Dec08 Aug19 Sep30 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  PRACTICAL MISS Apr27 Feb02 Jan07 Nov26 Nov10 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
5  LADY FORTUNA Apr07 Mar28 Feb11 Jan07 Nov26 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 124 3.00    
6  JAY'S LOVE May03 Apr14 Mar02 Feb03 Jan05 (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  ALTERINA Apr07 Feb19 Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE ON AIR         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of VALENTINES ROMANCE by ARCH)
2  I'M KIDDING         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ANNIE WALKER by WAR CHANT)
3  AUNT YOLA Apr21 Mar22 Feb10     (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  FOXY FRANCES         (saul da)NAVARRO J 124 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  GEOPOLITICS Feb10         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
6  NIKKI BRAINBURST         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PERFECT FREUD by FREUD)
7  EMPIRE MAGIC         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAJESTIC HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  LA BANQUERA         (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TIMELESS BEAUTY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
 
BAQ-7   05/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Nov10 Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 (giddings melan)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
2  BORN DANCER Nov10 Aug27 Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
3  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Mar09 Nov10 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CABLE READY May03 Apr14 Nov07 Oct30 Oct09 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00    
5  CLEVER FOREVER Apr26 Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 Jan05 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BAR FOURTEEN Apr26 Mar07 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 (brown r)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
7  SELL SOMETHING Nov16 Oct04 Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
8  BE OF COURAGE Apr28 Dec17 Nov16 Oct28 Oct04 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
9  KING OF COMEDY Nov10 Sep15 Aug17 Jul02 Jun10 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  ROCKET AND ROLL May11 Apr25 Apr07 Jan18 Dec16 (chatterpaul naipa)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
SCR  HORSE BE WITH YOU Apr13 Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
SCR  BALDIZAR Feb19 Jan06 Dec08 Oct14 Sep23 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
SCR  DR. KRAFT May02 Apr19 Mar24 Feb11 Dec16 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY CARA May16 Apr18 Mar16 Feb24 Jan05 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.50    
2  DUCKPHAT Apr18 Mar24 Mar02 Dec30 Dec08 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 4.50 19% 4.40    
3  ECHO IN ETERNITY Apr25 Mar22 Jan27 Jun16 Apr29 (levine bruce)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
4  KRYSTALHEIR Apr18 Mar29 Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
5  JOEY THE FISH May10 Apr21 Apr04 Mar08 Feb24 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHIGEKO Apr25 Mar16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
7  CHASING DAYLIGHT Apr18 Mar28 Mar02 Feb11 Dec30 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/24/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Mar15 Feb04 Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00    
2  MZ BIG BUCKS Nov16 Aug31 Jul19 Jun18 May04 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
3  TRUE EMPRESS May05 Mar17 Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 (martin car)RIVERA R 123 20.00 6% 16.10    
4  CONCERTI Apr20 Dec14 Aug27 Jul14   (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPOOKY LADY Apr25 Nov19 Oct06 Sep04 Jul22 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
6  DREAM CENTRAL Nov09 Oct19 Jun25 May26 Oct30 (sells rache)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00    
7  SOLIB Apr04 Jan05 Dec14 Nov14 Nov03 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
8  SOLOSHOT Apr27 Mar17 Mar03 Feb09 Dec16 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 116 8.00    
9  SNOWY EVENING Apr25 Nov09 Oct27 Sep04 Aug16 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
10  AUTUMN GLORY Nov09 Oct26 Jul02 May14   (quick patric)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 16% 5.30    
11  MOONAGE DAYDREAM Jun25 May29 Apr28 Mar04 Nov05 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00    
12  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Mar17 Dec02 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 116 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  NO CHALK May07 Nov08 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 (iorio jr)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
SCR  THE SHOE LADY Apr07 Feb24 Jan14     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
SCR  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Apr12 Jan19 Nov25 Oct08 May14 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
SCR  BACKED BY GOLD May05 Apr13 Aug20 Jul27 Jul07 (quick j)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.