Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/1/7)-(3/8/5/6/10) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(3/8/5/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(3/8/5/6/10)-(2/5/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (3/8/5/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6/10)-(3/8/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6/10)-(3/8/5/6/10)-(3/8/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6/10)-(2/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/6/10)-(2/5/7)-(9/3/11/10/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-4   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(9/3/11/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(9/3/11/10/4)-(4/8/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/3/11/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/11/10/4)-(9/3/11/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/11/10/4)-(9/3/11/10/4)-(9/3/11/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/11/10/4)-(4/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/11/10/4)-(4/8/7/6)-(7/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/6)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/6)-(7/6/5)-(8/9/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(8/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT TODAY Dec11 Nov27 Oct19     (buttigi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  I GOT ANALYZED Oct16 Sep11 Aug08 Jul20 Jun13 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  BETHPAGE Dec04 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 126 4.00    
4  LADY CAIRO Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 Sep21 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  VALENTINA MIA Dec06 Oct31       (robillard julie)VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00    
6  LUNA PRIMAVERA Dec11 Nov27       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
7  BROADWAY CHARM Dec13 Nov15 Aug24 Mar05   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-2   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANES LAST SONG Dec21 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Mar20 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Dec21 Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
3  MOBIL MEMORY Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  MY TWO JAKES Dec21 Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
SCR  EMERALD EYES Dec05 Nov06 Oct23 Sep28 Sep06 (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
6  LATE DATE Dec05 Nov06 Oct03 Sep22 Sep01 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 124 15.00    
7  DANZANITEAWAY Nov30 Nov13 Oct28 Sep22 Aug30 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
MVR-3   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE CONNIE Dec12 Nov06 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10 (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
2  DOMI Dec19 Dec12 Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 (mahan p)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
3  GRAND GIZMO Dec04 Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 Aug22 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  STREET MAX Dec19 Dec04 Nov09 Oct13 Sep25 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 4.00    
5  MIGHTY FROSTED Dec03 Nov12 Oct29 Oct04 Sep19 (gotera car)LEON A 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  KILLER BEE Dec27 Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Sep21 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR LAOBAN Dec04 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 (szczepanski emily)DIAZ R 124 10.00    
8  MR. CELLULAR Dec12 Nov27 Nov09 Mar22 Feb16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
9  STAR DEPUTY Dec13 Nov21 Feb09 Jan16   (rhoden carlt)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
10  RESVALON Dec27 Dec11 Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTHO Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
2  CAPITAL GAL Nov20 Oct30 Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 (hughes g)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
4  WILDCAT DREAM Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Aug31 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
5  JUST LIKE MAGIC Nov24 Jun10 May19 Apr07 Feb25 (cox h)BRACHO A 124 1.60 16% 5.10    
6  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Dec19 Dec07 Nov16 Aug23 Aug01 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 ★    
7  CHICA CHULA Dec12 Nov28 Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 124 15.00 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-5   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT LIKE A LADY Dec10 Nov13 Oct18 Jun26 Jun14 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
2  DESIGNATE Dec27 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep14 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
3  BASTET Dec14 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  CROSSTOWN GIRL Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Sep24 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MANHATTAN LADY Dec10 Nov27 Nov15 Oct18 Sep20 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00    
6  O K BABY Dec05 Nov19 Oct24 Sep24 Aug28 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
7  LUCKY TUESDAY Sep28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 Nov30 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
8  MALIBU MARLEE Dec10 Nov15 Nov07 Oct10 Sep19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
9  ORBITING THE SKY Dec06 Nov07 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
10  ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Nov14 Oct02 Sep19 Sep03 Jul25 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  GRAND PRIZE Dec14 Nov28 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
 
MVR-6   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT YET CHARLIE Dec10 Nov01 Oct18 Oct03 Aug31 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
2  ADIOS BOBBY Dec20 Nov20 Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
SCR  TUSKEGEE CAT Dec06 Oct31 Oct09 Sep01 Aug24 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
SCR  TATE Jul21 Jun29 May20 Apr20 Mar31 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  POLITICAL Dec04 Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  IT'S FATE Dec20 Nov20 Oct13 Sep27 Sep05 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Dec13 Dec04 Nov15 Oct09 Sep20 (clouston edwa)BRACHO A 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  DISTORTED LIMITS Dec20 Dec05 Nov15 Oct06 Sep18 (galloway k)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 5.00 23% 3.40    
9  DEJOHN Dec13 Dec04 Nov21 Oct29 Oct09 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 Nov01 Oct06 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
2  CUE THE BAND Jul13 Jun24 May24 Apr24 Dec27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
3  BOX STEP Aug02 Jul17 Jun01 May20 Feb14 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
4  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 Oct10 Oct02 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00    
5  MISSION GIRL Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep12 Aug21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
6  DIVA POWER Dec19 Nov16 Oct28 Oct02 Aug16 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 12% 7.40    
7  AUJARA Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Aug21 Aug07 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  WINDY LU WHO Dec04 Jul22 Jun23 Jun07 May11 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-8   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Y'ZIN UP Dec12         (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 8.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PSALM TWENTY THREE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  SPYRO Dec14         (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SOCIAL SECURITY by NOTEBOOK)
3  OVER MY LIMIT Dec14         (short thomas)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  MEET YOU NOW Nov10         (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 122 5.00    
  (by QURBAAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  READ THE ROOM         (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GOOD OMEN by SMART STRIKE)
6  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Dec27 Nov26 Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 10.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of SANS DOUBTE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
7  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Nov29         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 10.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of THIRTY EIGHTH ST. by CITIDANCER (IRE))
8  AXED AVENGER         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of YOU AXED ME by TWIRLING CANDY)
9  CUSSIN N FUSSIN Dec14 Nov27 Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.