Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (5/3/12/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (9/7/2/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (3/1/2/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (2/1/10/14/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (1/12/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFT POCKET MONEY May21 Sep24       (pittman bonnie)NAVAS YOEL 117 15.00 14% 6.20    
2  CAMP GRAY Jun22 Feb23       (foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI Jul09 May29 Apr30 Mar19 Feb17 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
4  PUNCTUALITY Jun25 May07 Apr13     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 0.40 43% 1.30    
5  SECRET EDGE Jun10 Apr29 Aug27 Aug12   (hancock ja)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00    
6  ALPHA LEA Jul01 Jun21 Jun03 Feb15 Dec09 (howard maryanne)BAYS BROOKE 108 20.00    
7  BEAU DAY Feb24 Feb03 Oct30 Oct09   (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
 
ELP-2   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W W CRAZY Mar23 Nov27 Nov02 Sep24 Aug30 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
2  INTREPID HEART Jun11 May18 Feb20 Jan21 Dec26 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  NEPOTISM Mar09 Jan14 Nov27 Nov02 Oct13 (scherer mari)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
4  DIXIE DRAWL Jun18 May18 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
5  SPRINKLEHEAD Jun24 May25 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 5.00    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN Jun02 May13 Apr23 May12 Apr15 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 2.00    
 
ELP-3   07/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMANON         (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
2  LADY OF DEVON         (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 119 8.00    
3  MYA'S HALO         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  LUCKY LADY SADIE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
5  TWO HEARTED Jun12 May23       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 43% 1.30    
6  WONDER WAVE (IRE)         (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
7  SHE FEELS PRETTY         (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
8  STAR PERFORMANCE         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  WINSOME BEAUTY         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
10  MAGHRA (IRE)         (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
11  DON'T BRING CRAZY         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  FANCY LOOKER         (maker micha)TORRES A 119 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  TIANMA         (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  FINAL DRAFT         (casse mark)TORRES A 119 10.00    
15  MASHKA Jun12         (matejka pavel)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
SCR  WHITE DOVE         (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  SCARE         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMARA'S WAY Jun18 May26 Jan01 Dec17 Nov10 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
2  HALO OF FIRE Jun24 May20 Apr08 Jan25 Mar17 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
3  COLORATURA Jun11 May19 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS Jun30 Jun11 May19 Mar05   (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
5  CHARLEY RUDE May03 Mar11 Feb08 Dec17 Nov09 (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  FAST GAL Jul02 Jun11 May18 May02 Jan25 (porter michael)COURT K 118 6.00    
7  COEXIST Jul02 Jun11 May27 May12 Apr19 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
ELP-5   07/16/2023 6600ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARNIVORE Jun02 May05 Mar19 Feb11 Jan08 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
2  KING CURLIN May28 Apr27 Mar25 Dec31 Dec03 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 5.00 20% 3.90    
3  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Jun25 Jun01 Apr12 Mar02 Jan28 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00    
4  SMOKEY LEE May31 Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 Nov30 (cundiff waylon)NAVAS YOEL 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANGLOPHILE Jun17 May06 Apr01 Jul30 Jul10 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
6  MOUNT RUNDLE May20 Apr19 Mar10 Oct26 Sep05 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
7  JARREAU Jun29 May13 Apr12 Sep05 Jul27 (maker micha)TORRES A 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
SCR  FAMILY MAN Nov12 Oct02 Jul17 Jun29 May15 (medina rober)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00    
 
ELP-6   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANNAMARIA         (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
2  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF Jun10         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  SHIMMERING ALLURE Jun10         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
4  ENTICING SUNSET         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLASSY'N CONNECTED         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50    
6  MO TWILIGHT         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
7  UP ON THE EDGE         (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
8  NAUGHTY MISS Jun25         (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
9  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN Jun10 Apr26       (sims p)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
10  NOSHUGFORPOP May27         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
11  BEEN REAL BUSY         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-7   07/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pea Patch Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN APPLE May27 May03 Apr14 Nov04 Oct08 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  TWICE AS SWEET Jun14 Apr01 Feb04 Dec26 Nov12 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
3  DARING DO May28 Apr20 Mar02 Jan18   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  FOOLISH Jun24 Apr30 Mar17 Feb12 Jan20 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
5  ERNA Jun15 May17 Mar12 Jan07 Dec11 (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
6  CONDENSATION Jun11 May05 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) Jun24 May14 Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
8  MORNIN' BOSS Jun24 Jun01 Apr20 Jan04 Sep15 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
9  TWIRLED Jun10 Apr14 Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  LILIESFORMILLIE Feb11 Dec31 Dec07 Oct22   (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
11  ZOOM ERIN Jun01 Apr18 Mar08 Aug13   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-8   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGLE DOT YAHT Jun11 Sep21       (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
2  CUSP May27         (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM Jun24 May21       (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
SCR  CHIRON Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr01 Mar17 (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 124 10.00    
5  TEXAS PRIDE Jun25 May06 Apr02 Jan28 Dec16 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
6  TOWN BARBER         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
7  DAI VERNON Jun22         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
8  DENIER Jun18         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
9  BOONE'S PATH Jun22 Apr15 Mar25 Mar02 Jan25 (young terry)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  FEAR OF UNION May06         (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
11  SMILE MON Jun11 May14 Dec31 Nov26   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
12  SMOKE WAGON Jul02 May21       (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  BOBWHITE BOBBY Jun10         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
14  SPEED INSTITUTE Jun23 Oct21 Sep17     (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  CATEGORY TEN Jun04         (mott riley)TORRES A 118 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDEKI Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 (walsh d)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  FOUR DAWN Nov09 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 Aug08 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
3  ONLY KIDDING Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Feb08 Jan11 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
4  UP TO SOMETHING Nov20 Oct09 Sep08 Jul09   (oliver vic)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
5  EMPIRE OF MY OWN Jun11 Apr08 Mar02 Aug26 Aug14 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 25.00    
6  L J'S EMMA Jun02 Apr23 Mar01 Jan21   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 9% 9.60    
7  DEVINE CHARGER May20 Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 May14 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHARRIERE Jun24 May27 Feb17 Jan14 Dec19 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  BUTTONS Jun01 Oct28 Sep08 Jun28   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  DESIGNED BY KITTEN Jun24 Apr22 Mar17 Feb15 Jan14 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
11  RUTHLESS RUA Nov24 Oct22       (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00    
12  SHANNON Nov30 Oct19 Sep01 Jul31 Apr22 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
13  ALWAYS AT EASE Mar25 Feb11 Jan08 Nov25 Oct29 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.