Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/6/3)-(4/3/2/9/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(4/3/2/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(4/3/2/9/5)-(3/2/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (4/3/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/9/5)-(4/3/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/9/5)-(4/3/2/9/5)-(4/3/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/2/9/5)-(3/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/9/5)-(3/2/1)-(9/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(9/10/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(9/10/4/1)-(4/2/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/10/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/1)-(9/10/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/1)-(9/10/7/4/1)-(9/10/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/4/1)-(4/2/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4/1)-(4/2/10/7)-(1/8/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/2/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/10/7)-(4/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/10/7)-(4/2/10/7)-(4/2/10/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/10/7)-(1/8/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/10/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(2/9/5/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/7)-(2/9/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/9/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/1/6)-(2/9/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/1/6)-(2/9/5/1/6)-(2/9/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BELEN Oct02 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Jul30 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 12.00    
2  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Oct02 Jul25 Jul10 Dec04 Nov21 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 10% 9.30    
3  BLAZING ZENNA Sep11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun13 May30 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 2.00    
4  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
5  GENERAL GINNY Oct05 Sep25 Aug09 Jul12 Oct07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
6  SIERRA DIAMOND Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 May04 Apr24 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 Jun17 May27 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
2  DRILLS WILD BRAT Oct23 Oct02       (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  MANDOLIN BREEZE Oct21 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul10 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BETTER HALF Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 Jul12 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 12.00    
5  KISS VALENTINA Aug22 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May28 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
6  FEELING EASY Oct21 Oct05 Sep18 Aug31 Aug07 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
MVR-3   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINK PARTY PANTS Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jun17 May06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
2  FOREVER NOTED Jul25 Jun24 Apr16 Oct28 Jun07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHANGE THE PLAY Oct02 Jun01 Apr27 Mar09   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  ARMY KITTEN Jul06 Jun15 May26 May04 Apr07 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50 57% 0.70    
5  ROYAL ITCH Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Jul18 Jun28 (wilson davi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Oct09 Sep23 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
7  QUEEN LEXI Oct04 Sep27 Sep13 Sep04 Jul27 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
8  LIVING IN STYLE Oct21 Sep05 Aug22 Jan21 Jan06 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
9  READY SET ADIOS Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul02 (bush s)HESS SARA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZ SHACKED UP Oct26 Sep18 Aug10 Jul15 Dec13 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  KETTLE KISS Sep20 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
3  CROSSED UP Oct26 Sep19 Aug21 Aug01 Jun27 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  LADY LOTTIE Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 Jun07 May18 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.80    
5  HIGH FIRE Sep09 Jul17 Jun27 May30 May09 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 20.00    
6  TWERK Apr11 Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 Nov28 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
7  LADY FORTUNE Sep04 Aug01 Jul04 Jun18 Jun03 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   11/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P SILVER BULLET Oct19 Oct07 Sep12 Aug21 Aug13 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE Oct25 Sep29 Aug30 Apr21 Aug06 (magee kieron)PEREZ A 126 3.50    
3  TWICE AS SMART Sep24 Mar18 Feb27 Feb14 Jan18 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 20.00    
4  ENZOEXPRESS Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOCK ON Oct03 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jul12 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 121 30.00    
6  MARLEY LUCK Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 Jul30 Jul08 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
7  LAUDA SPEED Oct02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun03 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 ★    
8  UNCLEJACKOMO Oct19 Oct11 Sep24 Feb05 Jan22 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00    
9  UNCLE B Aug18 Jul20 Mar23 Jan04 Dec01 (farrior anth)BATISTA A 126 1.60 52% 0.90    
10  FRONTLINER Oct19 Jul30 May06 Apr01 Feb24 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 8.00 25% 3.10    
11  UPTOWN GUY Aug13 Jun05 May23 May13 Apr13 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 126 30.00    
 
MVR-6   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY INCLUDED Oct10 Sep26 Dec26 Dec07 Nov14 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
2  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Oct10 Sep10 Aug20 Dec26 Nov14 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Sep17 Aug21 Jun22 Jun05 May18 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
4  OKLAHOMA JOE Sep26 Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 124 6.00 48% 1.10    
5  BISCUITS AND GRITS Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jul04 Jun12 Apr11 Mar26 Mar18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
7  QUIET AMIGO Oct10 Sep10 Dec26 Nov20 Oct04 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HENRY MAC Aug10 Jul15 Jun07 May01 Dec26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
9  UPTOWN Jul09 Jun07 May14 Apr25 May10 (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
10  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Oct03 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May22 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
MVR-7   11/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST COOKIE Oct22 Sep29 Sep09 Aug19 Aug01 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
2  STREAMSONG Oct08 Sep20 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
3  MASTER OF THE NITE Oct22 Sep30 Aug19 Jul30 Jul05 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 122 20.00    
4  LEAVENWORTH Oct01 Sep10 Aug28 Aug05 Jun19 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
5  LORD OF MISCHIEF Oct25 Oct10 Sep22 Aug31 Aug15 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40    
6  TIMESATAPPIN Oct22 May06 Apr23 Feb20 Feb01 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
7  EPIC KNIGHT Oct08 Jul30 Jun18 May19 Mar20 (garcia amalio)HESS SARA 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANDY CANT Oct20 Aug16 Jul06 Jun28 May18 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
MVR-8   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUBLADA Aug30 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 May13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50 6% 17.00    
SCR  SILENT RULE Sep02 Aug10       (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  BIG FACTS Oct21 Sep03 Aug10 Jun18 May18 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
4  OPIE'S GIRL Oct05 Sep18 Aug15 Jul10 Jun15 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
5  COMPUTE THIS Sep03 Aug12 Mar27 Mar04 Jan30 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
6  AZ WE SPEAK Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 Jun18 Jun03 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HERE COMES DOLLY Sep03 Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 Oct23 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
SCR  SPICE ICE Sep30 Sep03 Aug14 Feb08 Jan10 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
9  MIESHA Oct21 Sep30 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
10  MS. DEBBIE ALAN Oct05 Sep06 Aug21 Oct30 Sep27 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.