Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $44.40 $32.40 270%
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-4-2 $129.60 $105.60 440%
TDN-3   WIN (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.60 $2.60 33%
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $16.70 $10.70 178%
    DD (2/1/3/5)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $36.40 $24.40 203%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PERMAFROST 3 2 3½ 1nk   14 12½ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 34% 2.00 2.40 W
4  TAP VALLEY 4 7 63¾ 63¾   54¼ 22½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90 P
2  SKYPASS 2 5 1nk 3.2   24 35¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40 S
6  LIBERTANGO 6 1 4¾ 41¼   44¼ 45¾ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 5.00 7.60  
7  LUMIERE 7 6 78¼ 78¾   79¼ 59½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 6.00 17% 4.90 3.80  
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA 1 4 2nk 2nk   34 611½ (crumley jevo)HALDAR J 117 10.00 28.80  
5  ALTER THE STARS 5 3 52¼ 53¼   66¾ 712¾ (suarez javier)DIAZ I 118 4.00 6.30  
 
TDN-2   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :461 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTA 1 4 21½ 31½   31½ 1½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 3.30  
7  PANTHERA'S FATE 6 2 31½ 21½   1nk 2½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 1.80 34% 2.00 0.60 P
6  SIR MASON 5 1 11½ 11½   2nk 33½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 115 6.00 5% 19.00 27.30 S
3  MSHINDI 3 3 53½ 45½   46 45 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 5.30  
5  AWE SUMSUNFUN 4 6 66½ 58   59½ 511¼ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 15.00 14.60  
2  BOXSTER 2 5 42½ 68¼   613½ 612½ (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 4.00 7.80  
SCR  ON AN ISLAND               (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GATHA'S SONG 2 6 23 22   21 1nk (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.30 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of LYRIQUE by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  FLAME FOR REAL 8 2 13 12   11 2nk (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 1.50  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  J. P INDY 7 1 56 56½   57½ 35½ (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 12.80  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  OLYMPIC WINGS 5 8 76¼ 45½   34½ 45¾ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
1  SMARTASSET 1 4 33 35½   45½ 58½ (cline c)DIAZ I 123 2.00 26% 2.90 2.60  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
3  BETTY JUNE'S GIFT 3 7 45½ 66¾   69 612½ (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 12.00 17% 4.80 32.30  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 6 3 88¼ 88¾   810½ 714¾ (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 11.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
4  JUSTWORTHASHOT 4 5 66¼ 78¾   710½ 816 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 12.30  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
 
TDN-4   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MORETHANREADYEDDIE 3 4 1nk 11½   14 1¼ (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 12% 7.10 4.00 W
3  DOCTOR WU 2 3 2nk 31½   24 2¼ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 25% 3.00 2.90 P
7  BOBBY G 6 2 66½ 44   55¾ 31¾ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 5.30  
1  ROGER MCQUEEN 1 6 56 64¾   45½ 41¾ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 3.90  
6  SIR 5 1 3½ 21½   34 54¾ (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 3.00 25% 2.90 1.80  
5  K P SILVER BULLET 4 5 43½ 54½   610¾ 69¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00 17.40  
SCR  STATESBORO               (winters mich)HALDAR J 123 2.00    
 
TDN-5   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWAYBACK MOBIL 5 3 61¾ 43   3.2 12 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.00 ★ 3.20  
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
2  RIVER BYE 2 4 51¾ 67   52¾ 22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 51% 0.90 3.70 P
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of STORM ON BYE by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
3  FORT GRANDE 3 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 32½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 1.60  
  (by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
1  RUN PANCITA 1 7 84¾ 55   64¼ 42½ (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 12.00 13.30  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  WEEKEND RETREAT 8 1 3.2 2nk   2nk 52¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 4.10  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
6  JUST A ROCKSTAR 6 6 41¼ 31   41¾ 67¾ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 8% 11.60 32.20  
  (by DANZA out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
7  HURRYCANE DON 7 2 2nk 89¼   711¼ 715½ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 19.10  
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
4  THE PRECOCIOUS ONE 4 8 74¼ 79   813¼ 818¾ (an)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 8% 11.60 19.00  
  (by CORFU out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
 
TDN-6   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXPRESS FASHION 2 6 21½ 32   21 1¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 4.30  
5  KISSING MEDALS 5 2 11½ 11½   11 2¾ (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 117 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
3  THE KID'S PRAYER 3 3 42½ 54   33½ 31 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 4.50 18.80  
6  CATABOUT 6 1 53½ 44   43½ 42 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 121 10.00 6.10  
4  VILLAGE CAT 4 4 31½ 21½   53¾ 514¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 3.50 22% 3.50 1.30  
1  IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 5 67½ 6100   6100 6100 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 52% 0.90 2.30  
 
TDN-7   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS 1 5 22½ 24½   21½ 1nk (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 38.10  
3  RECKLESS L J 3 2 35 35½   31½ 2nk (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 123 1.80 0.50  
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS 2 3 12½ 14½   11½ 3½ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 3.50 S
6  BISCUITS AND GRITS 6 1 56½ 57½   41¾ 4¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
4  RAISE THE PURSES 4 4 67 611½   65¼ 53 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 14.60  
5  CLASSIC MO 5 6 46 47½   54¼ 64½ (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 26% 2.80 3.70  
 
TDN-8   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHO DA BOSS 6 1 31 2½   1½ 12¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 22% 3.60 0.90 W
4  KNOCK WOOD 4 3 1nk 1½   2½ 22¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 4.70  
3  INTO GOLD 3 4 41¼ 41½   34 35¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 36% 1.80 2.10 S
1  CONDEMNATION 1 5 53¼ 52½   46½ 49 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 26.10  
2  K KID 2 6 65¾ 64   68 510¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
5  I'M HIM 5 2 2nk 31½   58 614¼ (engler jeff)MCKEE J 123 3.00 7.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.