Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
TDN-2   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-3   Win (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
TDN-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
TDN-5   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.40  
TDN-6   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.60  
TDN-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $78.20  
TDN-8   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PERMAFROST 3 2 3½ 1nk   14 12½ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 34% 2.00 2.40 W
4  TAP VALLEY 4 7 63¾ 63¾   54¼ 22½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90 P
2  SKYPASS 2 5 1nk 3.2   24 35¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40 S
6  LIBERTANGO 6 1 4¾ 41¼   44¼ 45¾ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 5.00 7.60  
7  LUMIERE 7 6 78¼ 78¾   79¼ 59½ (cline c)BRACHO A 119 6.00 17% 4.90 3.80  
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA 1 4 2nk 2nk   34 611½ (crumley jevon)HALDAR J 117 10.00 28.80  
5  ALTER THE STARS 5 3 52¼ 53¼   66¾ 712¾ (suarez javier)DIAZ I 118 4.00 6.30  
 
TDN-2   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :461 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTA 1 4 21½ 31½   31½ 1½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 3.30  
7  PANTHERA'S FATE 6 2 31½ 21½   1nk 2½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 1.80 34% 2.00 0.60 P
6  SIR MASON 5 1 11½ 11½   2nk 33½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 115 6.00 5% 19.00 27.30 S
3  MSHINDI 3 3 53½ 45½   46 45 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 5.30  
5  AWE SUMSUNFUN 4 6 66½ 58   59½ 511¼ (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 15.00 14.60  
2  BOXSTER 2 5 42½ 68¼   613½ 612½ (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 4.00 7.80  
SCR  ON AN ISLAND               (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GATHA'S SONG 2 6 23 22   21 1nk (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.30 W
8  FLAME FOR REAL 8 2 13 12   11 2nk (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 1.50  
7  J. P INDY 7 1 56 56½   57½ 35½ (clin)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 12.80  
5  OLYMPIC WINGS 5 8 76¼ 45½   34½ 45¾ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
1  SMARTASSET 1 4 33 35½   45½ 58½ (cline c)DIAZ I 123 2.00 26% 2.90 2.60  
3  BETTY JUNE'S GIFT 3 7 45½ 66¾   69 612½ (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 12.00 17% 4.80 32.30  
6  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 6 3 88¼ 88¾   810½ 714¾ (overholt g)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 11.20  
4  JUSTWORTHASHOT 4 5 66¼ 78¾   710½ 816 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 12.30  
 
TDN-4   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MORETHANREADYEDDIE 3 4 1nk 11½   14 1¼ (gonzalez ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 12% 7.10 4.00 W
3  DOCTOR WU 2 3 2nk 31½   24 2¼ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 25% 3.00 2.90 P
7  BOBBY G 6 2 66½ 44   55¾ 31¾ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 5.30  
1  ROGER MCQUEEN 1 6 56 64¾   45½ 41¾ (mann)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 3.90  
6  SIR 5 1 3½ 21½   34 54¾ (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 3.00 25% 2.90 1.80  
5  K P SILVER BULLET 4 5 43½ 54½   610¾ 69¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00 17.40  
SCR  STATESBORO               (winters michel)HALDAR J 123 2.00    
 
TDN-5   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWAYBACK MOBIL 5 3 61¾ 43   3.2 12 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.00 ★ 3.20  
2  RIVER BYE 2 4 51¾ 67   52¾ 22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 51% 0.90 3.70 P
3  FORT GRANDE 3 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 32½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 1.60  
1  RUN PANCITA 1 7 84¾ 55   64¼ 42½ (morales m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 13.30  
8  WEEKEND RETREAT 8 1 3.2 2nk   2nk 52¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 4.10  
6  JUST A ROCKSTAR 6 6 41¼ 31   41¾ 67¾ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 8% 11.60 32.20  
7  HURRYCANE DON 7 2 2nk 89¼   711¼ 715½ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 19.10  
4  THE PRECOCIOUS ONE 4 8 74¼ 79   813¼ 818¾ (ande)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 8% 11.60 19.00  
 
TDN-6   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXPRESS FASHION 2 6 21½ 32   21 1¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 4.30  
5  KISSING MEDALS 5 2 11½ 11½   11 2¾ (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 117 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
3  THE KID'S PRAYER 3 3 42½ 54   33½ 31 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 4.50 18.80  
6  CATABOUT 6 1 53½ 44   43½ 42 (murillo-rodrig)HALDAR J 121 10.00 6.10  
4  VILLAGE CAT 4 4 31½ 21½   53¾ 514¾ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 3.50 22% 3.50 1.30  
1  IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 5 67½ 6100   6100 6100 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 52% 0.90 2.30  
 
TDN-7   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS 1 5 22½ 24½   21½ 1nk (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 38.10  
3  RECKLESS L J 3 2 35 35½   31½ 2nk (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 123 1.80 0.50  
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS 2 3 12½ 14½   11½ 3½ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 3.50 S
6  BISCUITS AND GRITS 6 1 56½ 57½   41¾ 4¾ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
4  RAISE THE PURSES 4 4 67 611½   65¼ 53 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 14.60  
5  CLASSIC MO 5 6 46 47½   54¼ 64½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 26% 2.80 3.70  
 
TDN-8   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHO DA BOSS 6 1 31 2½   1½ 12¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 22% 3.60 0.90 W
4  KNOCK WOOD 4 3 1nk 1½   2½ 22¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 4.70  
3  INTO GOLD 3 4 41¼ 41½   34 35¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 36% 1.80 2.10 S
1  CONDEMNATION 1 5 53¼ 52½   46½ 49 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 26.10  
2  K KID 2 6 65¾ 64   68 510¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
5  I'M HIM 5 2 2nk 31½   58 614¼ (engler jeff)MCKEE J 123 3.00 7.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.