Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/4)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/4)-(7/3/6)-(2/1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(2/1/3/5)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/5)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/5)-(6/3/4)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(2/4/6)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/4/5)-(2/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/5/6)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA Sep09 Aug15 Jul24 Jun12 May21 (crumley jevo)HALDAR J 117 10.00    
2  SKYPASS Aug12 Jul16 Jun19 May21 Mar24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  PERMAFROST Sep16 Mar22 Mar10 Feb23 Feb10 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  TAP VALLEY Sep16 Aug12 Jul24 Jun12 May21 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALTER THE STARS Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 Jun28 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 118 4.00    
6  LIBERTANGO Sep16 Jul05 Jun01 May07 Feb09 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 5.00    
7  LUMIERE Sep18         (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-2   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTA Sep16 Mar25 Mar12 Feb03 Dec31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
2  BOXSTER Aug05 Jul10 Jun17 May09 Jan05 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
3  MSHINDI Sep16 Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Nov30 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  ON AN ISLAND Sep23 Sep02 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
5  AWE SUMSUNFUN Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Sep23   (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 15.00    
6  SIR MASON Sep16 Aug26 Mar26 Mar04 Feb15 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PANTHERA'S FATE Sep16 Sep03 Jul10 May21 Apr29 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 1.80 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTASSET Sep17 Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 (cline c)DIAZ I 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
2  GATHA'S SONG         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LYRIQUE by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  BETTY JUNE'S GIFT         (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 12.00 17% 4.80    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  JUSTWORTHASHOT Sep23 Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Feb28 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
5  OLYMPIC WINGS Sep23 Aug28 Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Sep27 Sep13 Aug28 Jun18 May29 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
7  J. P INDY Sep17 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Dec21 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  FLAME FOR REAL Sep17 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 May28 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
TDN-4   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGER MCQUEEN Sep12 Aug15 Aug05 Jun25 Jun13 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00    
SCR  STATESBORO Sep11 Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 (winters mich)HALDAR J 123 2.00    
3  DOCTOR WU Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 Jan15 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
4  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Sep19 Aug12 Jun25 Jun04 Apr25 (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
5  K P SILVER BULLET Sep12 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul18 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00    
6  SIR Sep24 Sep05 Aug26 Aug01 Jul17 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  BOBBY G Jun05 May22 May05 Mar02 Jan27 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN PANCITA Aug28         (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of DAYLIGHT KATY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  RIVER BYE Aug28 Aug07       (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 51% 0.90    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of STORM ON BYE by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
3  FORT GRANDE Sep16 Aug28       (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  THE PRECOCIOUS ONE         (an)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 8% 11.60    
  (by CORFU out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
5  SWAYBACK MOBIL Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 3.00 ★    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
6  JUST A ROCKSTAR         (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 8% 11.60    
  (by DANZA out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
7  HURRYCANE DON Aug28 May10       (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
8  WEEKEND RETREAT Sep16 Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
TDN-6   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TROUBLED WATERS Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 May13 Apr29 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  EXPRESS FASHION Sep20 Sep10 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
3  THE KID'S PRAYER Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 4.50    
4  VILLAGE CAT Sep17 Sep04 Jul30 Jun18 Oct12 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  KISSING MEDALS Sep17 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CATABOUT Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 May18 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 121 10.00    
 
TDN-7   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul18 Jan22 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 May18 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  RECKLESS L J Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 123 1.80    
4  RAISE THE PURSES Sep17 Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jul25 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
5  CLASSIC MO Aug21 Jul18 Oct13 Sep20 Sep04 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  BISCUITS AND GRITS Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 Jun22 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDEMNATION Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 Jul25 Oct23 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
2  K KID Sep03 Oct23 Oct06 Aug23 Jul31 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  INTO GOLD Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 Jun28 Nov09 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  KNOCK WOOD Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
5  I'M HIM Sep13 Aug15 Jul31 Jun27 Jun07 (engler jeff)MCKEE J 123 3.00    
6  WHO DA BOSS Sep03 Jul29 Jun22 Jun07 May10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.