Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-2   Win (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
TDN-3   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-4   Win (3/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
TDN-5   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-6   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $6.60  
TDN-8   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 5.60

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTIS OTIS OTIS 4 3 11 1½   1 11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 59% 0.70 1.10 W
SIR 7 1 31 2½   2 21 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 1.80  
LAZARUS PROJECT 6 4 712 710   5 3 (shanyfelt valerie)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 11.70  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 5 2 42 4   4 4 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50 11% 7.70 9.60  
SAHM TEQUILA 3 5 65 65   6 5 (lopez jr)DIAZ I 123 4.00 6% 16.50 4.30  
TOYI 1 7 5 54   3 68 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 42.50  
SMALL SAILOR 2 6 21 3   7 712¼ (genov)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 34.70  
 
TDN-2   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:012     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURBO TRIP 1 5 3 43   1nk 1nk (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 4.00 7.70 DQ↓2
MO SNOW 5 2 1½ 12   2nk 2nk (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.00 20% 4.00 3.60 W
DASH TO FINISH 2 4 4 22   3½ 3 (reust megan)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 6% 15.70 4.00 S
GAISGEACH 3 6 6 6   4 4 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
MR INVESTIGATOR 7 3 5 5   5 513½ (rettele richard)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 20.60  
AROUND THE MOON 6 1 2½ 32   6 620¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 123 12.00 40.00  
POP THE CORK 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 53% 0.90 0.60  
SCR  EQUITY CAT               (vlaun manuel)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
SCR  UZZIAH               (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON CAMO 6 2 3.2 31   14 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 56% 0.80 0.80 W
UNCLEJACKOMO 1 6 6 6   24 2 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 4.50 14.30  
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 3 4 5 53   38 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 18% 4.70 5.40 S
LEXATOGA 5 7 712¾ 713¼   711¼ 4 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 15.60  
FISHING FOR FUN 2 5 4 42   6 58 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.00 4.00  
TWICE AS SMART 4 3 2nk 1nk   48 611½ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
MASTER 7 1 1nk 2nk   5 714¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 5.10  
 
TDN-4   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:014     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAISE N GLORY 5 7 4 4   2nk 13 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00 24% 3.10 3.30 W
MOBIL ENSIGN 3 4 2 1nk   1nk 23 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 118 2.00 26% 2.90 2.20 P
MIDNIGHT GODDESS 7 2 5 5   4 35 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.20 S
GABADOST 2 8 3 3.2   3.2 46 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 21.60  
CATTY REMARK 8 1 6 6   5 512 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 5.00 3.50  
COUNT ON ME 6 5 8 7   7 614¼ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 30.20  
ONE LADY 1 3 1 2nk   6 718¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
PLAY BALL SUSIE 4 6 7 8   813¾ 821½ (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 15.00 38.60  
 
TDN-5   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:22 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTISSIMO 1 3 43 2nk   1½ 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 57% 0.80 0.10 W
CHALON'S FIRST 3 4 2½ 1nk   2½ 2 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 5% 19.00 13.20 P
FREEDOM STANCE 4 5 54 5   33 3 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 115 2.50 18% 4.50 8.60 S
MISBEHAVIN 5 1 31 4¾   45 412½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 10.00 41.50  
NIGHT NURSE 2 2 1½ 3½   511 520½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 3.50 6.60  
SCR  FASTER GATOR               (farrior anthony)HOUGHTON D 115 4.50    
 
TDN-6   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUB 5 2 1 12   1 13 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 1.80 52% 0.90 0.70 W
RYNO WRECKER 4 4 32 32   2 23 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.00 P
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 6 1 5 4   47 3 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 6.70  
HE'S A PISCES 2 3 2 22   34 4 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 15.70  
LEGENDARY STAR 1 6 64 68   6 510¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 18% 4.50 8.10  
SWIFT DANCER 3 5 4 57   59 610½ (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 10.00 41.60  
SCR  KEEPING IT SIMPLE               (romero a)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   09/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:141     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TIME RULER 1 4 1 11 1 12 1¾ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 2.30  
MR LAOBAN 3 3 2 21 2 22 2¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 4.00 46% 1.20 1.10 P
R CARDINAL PRINCE 2 2 33 3 32 33 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 1.80  
APACHE 4 1 4 43 44 4 4 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 19% 4.10 9.10  
SCR  EL BAMBINO               (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
SCR  PLEASANT VALIANT               (wolochuk david)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00    
 
TDN-8   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.00 28% 2.60 4.80 W
BIG ROWDY DAN 5 2 57 47   45 21 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 2.50 3.50  
REAL NAUGHTY 1 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 1.80 0.70  
SMOKIN' HOT 4 1 32 33   34 44 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 29% 2.40 3.70  
GILLIGAN 2 5 4 5   59 510½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SCR  THAT KHENNY               (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.