Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(5/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(5/6/2/3)-(6/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/3)-(6/3/4)-(3/5/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/5/7/1)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/7/1)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/1)-(1/4/3)-(6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/1/5)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5/6)-(5/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOYI Aug27 Aug15 Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
2  SMALL SAILOR Sep05 Aug13 Jul25 Jul03 Jun08 (gen)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAHM TEQUILA Sep09 Aug27 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (lopez enrique )DIAZ I 123 4.00 6% 16.50    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
5  BAD LITTLE BEAST Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50 11% 7.70    
6  LAZARUS PROJECT Aug27 Aug05 Jul01 Jun13 May27 (shanyfelt valer)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
7  SIR Sep05 Aug26 Aug01 Jul17 Jul08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
 
TDN-2   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURBO TRIP Jun10 May21 May07     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 4.00    
2  DASH TO FINISH Sep03 Aug27 Aug05 Mar24 Feb16 (reust megan)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 6% 15.70    
3  GAISGEACH Sep26 Sep08 Jul26 Jun15 Jun05 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EQUITY CAT Aug19 Aug01 Jul22 Jul01 May28 (vlaun manuel)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
5  POP THE CORK Jul02 Jun05 May21 Apr30 Apr08 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  MO SNOW Sep03 Aug27 Jul10 Jun22 Jun12 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  UZZIAH Aug02 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May18 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 8.00    
8  AROUND THE MOON Sep03         (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 12.00    
9  MR INVESTIGATOR Sep03         (rettele richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLEJACKOMO Feb05 Jan22 Jan02 Dec14 Dec06 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
2  FISHING FOR FUN Sep05 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Dec06 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.00 ★    
3  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Aug25 Jul08 May27 Nov21 Oct31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
4  TWICE AS SMART Mar18 Feb27 Feb14 Jan18 Jan03 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEXATOGA Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 Nov21 Nov01 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
6  MON CAMO Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 May20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
7  MASTER Sep10 Aug26 Aug15 Aug05 Jul23 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
 
TDN-4   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE LADY         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of CHROME CRUISER by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  GABADOST         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THIRST FOR TRUTH by STAY THIRSTY)
3  MOBIL ENSIGN Sep12 Aug22 Aug06     (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
4  PLAY BALL SUSIE Sep12         (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 15.00    
  (by SEGOVIA out of AFTERTHEBALLISOVER by BERNSTEIN)
5  PRAISE N GLORY Sep12         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
6  COUNT ON ME Sep12         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  MIDNIGHT GODDESS Sep06         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
8  CATTY REMARK         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 5.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
 
TDN-5   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTISSIMO Aug10 Jul19 May29     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 57% 0.80    
2  NIGHT NURSE Aug14         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 3.50    
3  CHALON'S FIRST Aug22 Jul23       (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FREEDOM STANCE Jul18 Jun26 Jun08     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 115 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  FASTER GATOR Jun23         (farrior anthon)HOUGHTON D 115 4.50    
6  MISBEHAVIN Aug29 Jul18 Jul04 Jun05 Apr10 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGENDARY STAR Sep11 Aug15       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
2  HE'S A PISCES Aug28 Feb04 Jan06 Oct25 Oct07 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS HOROSCOPE by ASTROLOGY)
SCR  KEEPING IT SIMPLE         (romero a)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS DIVINITY by DIVINE PARK)
4  SWIFT DANCER Aug29 Aug17 Jul25 May26 May04 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AMERICAN SWAGGER by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
5  RYNO WRECKER May05 Apr21 Mar15 Feb24 Jan26 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MEGHAN W by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  HUB Jun02 May09 Apr27     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by MITOLE out of HUG ME TIGHT by WITH DISTINCTION)
7  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Aug20 Jul31 Jul13 Jun09 Apr13 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
 
TDN-7   09/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME RULER Sep12 Aug29 Aug20 Aug12 Jul24 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
SCR  EL BAMBINO Sep05 Aug19 Jul29 Jun27 Jun08 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE Sep05 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
SCR  PLEASANT VALIANT Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 May23 (wolochuk dav)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00    
5  MR LAOBAN Sep05 Aug13 Jul02 Jun08 May18 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  APACHE Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 19% 4.10    
 
TDN-8   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NAUGHTY Sep03 Jul23 Jul08 Jun13 May21 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 1.80    
2  GILLIGAN Sep12 Aug29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  INSIDE STUNT Jun11 May20 Apr22 Mar28 Mar17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  THAT KHENNY Sep10 Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
5  SMOKIN' HOT Sep03 Jul23 Jul02 Jun03 May14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  BIG ROWDY DAN Jun08 Jun01 May09 Apr20 Mar08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.