Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $22.60 $16.60 277%
TDN-5   DD (2/5)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $8.00 $2.00 33%
TDN-7   EXA (2/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-4 $9.40 $5.40 135%
    TRI (2/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-4-6 $24.50 $20.50 513%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 4 4 1 1   14 16 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 115 2.00 44% 1.30 0.60 W
SAGE RUNNER 1 6 43 2   24 26 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00 P
STEVIE T 2 5 5 4   38 310 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 9.00  
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 5 3 2 3   48 415½ (rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 15.00 30.00  
MARSICO 6 1 66 612   514 526¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00 15.90  
ON AN ISLAND 3 2 33 510   614½ 630¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 33% 2.00 1.70  
SCR  SERGEANT COUNTZLER               (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE MOMENT 4 4 31 32   1½ 1 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 115 1.60 56% 0.80 0.90 W
HIDDEN RANSOM 2 2 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 13% 6.50 2.90 P
ROMANIAN PRINCE 6 3 2½ 2½   3½ 3 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 115 2.50 1.70  
GRAY TORMENTOR 3 5 5 4   44 4 (vazquez ivan)VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE 5 1 6 611   612½ 513½ (flores israel)DIAZ I 115 10.00 30.10  
SMOKE SCREEN 1 6 4 55   5 615 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 22.90  
 
TDN-3   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:144     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARDY PLEASER 1 3 1½ 1 12 14 13 (ge)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 58% 0.70 0.50 W
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 5 5 5 53 35 24 23 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 6% 14.40 2.90 P
UNESCORTED 3 6 75 7 7 57 3 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 3.50 9% 9.70 10.90 S
TRAMA QUEEN 4 2 4 2 22 35 4 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 6.00 11.80  
MANGORITA 2 7 6 6 6 7 5 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 17.80  
KRISTIN 7 1 2½ 32 45 47 6 (rettele richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
BEAUTY IN MOTION 6 4 32 43 5 6 710¼ (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 10.70  
 
TDN-4   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:013     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATZANOVA 2 3 33 33   2 11 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.30 W
JUSTWORTHASHOT 3 2 11 1   1 21 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 5.00 6.30  
OLYMPIC WINGS 1 4 49 48   4 3 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 2.70  
BOLD NICKY 4 1 21 2   3 48 (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 18.00 9.60  
SCR  RON DAH LOU               (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 1.80    
 
TDN-6   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE AND WAVES 1 3 2½ 11   15 17 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 40% 1.50 0.05 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) 4 1 1½ 21   25 27 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 3.60  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SAINTED DANCER by SAINT ANDDAN)
GARDEN SECRETS 2 4 47 4   39 39 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 15.00 44.70  
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of THE GARDENER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
CATCHMENOW 3 2 34 3   413 419 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
SCR  ATHENA'S GHOST               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of MONETARY DREAMER by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
SCR  VALERIE BLUE               (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAPTANA by TAPIT)
 
TDN-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:134     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY SCENE 1 2 1½ 2 2 2nk 1 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 1.80 65% 0.50 0.30 W
R THREE ANGELS 3 4 2½ 1 1 1nk 2 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
LIONISTIC 5 3 4 410½ 3 33 3 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00 3.00 S
SHE'S CRAFTY 2 5 58 515 515 512½ 411¼ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 5.10  
MOBIL LADY 4 1 3 3 4 49 511½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 28.10  
SCR  NEAR PERFECT               (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 4.50    
 
TDN-8   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK'N ON A BUZZ 3 4 2 1nk   12 1 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 60% 0.70 0.10 W
COUNTESS COLETTE 5 2 4 4   32 2 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 2.50 16% 5.10 3.60 P
ROLLIN FREEDOM 1 3 3 31   22 3 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 29.50  
STICK AROUND 2 5 57 5   5 4 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 4.50 8.60  
LESOTHO 4 1 1 2nk   43 510 (cline robert )BRACHO A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 30.10  
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER               (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.