Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-3   Win (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
TDN-7   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-8   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 4 4 11½ 12½   14 16 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 115 2.00 44% 1.30 0.60 W
2  SAGE RUNNER 1 6 43 22½   24 26 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00 P
3  STEVIE T 2 5 55½ 48½   38 310 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 9.00  
6  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 5 3 21½ 34½   48 415½ (rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 15.00 30.00  
7  MARSICO 6 1 66 612   514 526¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00 15.90  
4  ON AN ISLAND 3 2 33 510   614½ 630¼ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 33% 2.00 1.70  
SCR  SERGEANT COUNTZLER               (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRIVATE MOMENT 4 4 31 32   1½ 11¼ (hurley l)HALDAR J 115 1.60 56% 0.80 0.90 W
2  HIDDEN RANSOM 2 2 1½ 1½   2½ 21¼ (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 13% 6.50 2.90 P
6  ROMANIAN PRINCE 6 3 2½ 2½   3½ 32¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 115 2.50 1.70  
3  GRAY TORMENTOR 3 5 53½ 44½   44 45½ (vazquez ivan)VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
5  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE 5 1 65½ 611   612½ 513½ (flores israel)DIAZ I 115 10.00 30.10  
1  SMOKE SCREEN 1 6 43½ 55   59½ 615 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 22.90  
 
TDN-3   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:144     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARDY PLEASER 1 3 1½ 11½ 12 14 13 (geno)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 58% 0.70 0.50 W
5  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 5 5 53½ 53 35 24 23 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 6% 14.40 2.90 P
3  UNESCORTED 3 6 75 75½ 76¾ 57 35½ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 123 3.50 9% 9.70 10.90 S
4  TRAMA QUEEN 4 2 42½ 21½ 22 35 46¾ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 6.00 11.80  
2  MANGORITA 2 7 63½ 64½ 66¾ 77¼ 58½ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 17.80  
7  KRISTIN 7 1 2½ 32 45 47 69½ (rettele richard)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
6  BEAUTY IN MOTION 6 4 32 43 55¼ 67¼ 710¼ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 10.70  
 
TDN-4   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:013     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CATZANOVA 2 3 33 33   23½ 11 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.30 W
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT 3 2 11 11½   13½ 21 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 5.00 6.30  
1  OLYMPIC WINGS 1 4 49 48   44½ 31½ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 2.70  
5  BOLD NICKY 4 1 21 21½   34½ 48 (maddox rachael)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 18.00 9.60  
SCR  RON DAH LOU               (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 1.80    
 
TDN-6   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE AND WAVES 1 3 2½ 11   15 17 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 40% 1.50 0.05 W
5  HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) 4 1 1½ 21   25 27 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 3.60  
2  GARDEN SECRETS 2 4 47 48½   39 39 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 15.00 44.70  
4  CATCHMENOW 3 2 34 35½   413 419 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
SCR  ATHENA'S GHOST               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  VALERIE BLUE               (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:134     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CITY SCENE 1 2 1½ 22½ 21½ 2nk 11½ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 115 1.80 65% 0.50 0.30 W
4  R THREE ANGELS 3 4 2½ 12½ 11½ 1nk 21½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.50 P
6  LIONISTIC 5 3 45½ 410½ 36½ 33 32¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 2.00 ★ 3.00 S
3  SHE'S CRAFTY 2 5 58 515 515 512½ 411¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 5.10  
5  MOBIL LADY 4 1 34½ 39½ 48½ 49 511½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 28.10  
SCR  NEAR PERFECT               (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
 
TDN-8   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WORK'N ON A BUZZ 3 4 21½ 1nk   12 14¼ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 60% 0.70 0.10 W
6  COUNTESS COLETTE 5 2 43½ 41¼   32 24¼ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 115 2.50 16% 5.10 3.60 P
1  ROLLIN FREEDOM 1 3 31½ 31   22 34½ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 29.50  
2  STICK AROUND 2 5 57 52¾   53¼ 45¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 4.50 8.60  
5  LESOTHO 4 1 11½ 2nk   43 510 (cline c)BRACHO A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 30.10  
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER               (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.