Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/2/3)-(1/3/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/3/5/7)-(2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/7)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/7)-(2/5)-(3/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/4/1)-(1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/4)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/4)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Sep16 Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
2  SAGE RUNNER Sep16 Aug05 Feb14 Jan24 Dec29 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  STEVIE T Aug19 Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 May30 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
4  ON AN ISLAND Sep02 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 Jun04 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Aug31 Aug22 Jul13 Jun15 May26 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 115 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Aug26 Jun25 Jun08 May28 May14 (rini anthony)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 15.00    
7  MARSICO Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 (a)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKE SCREEN Jul31 Jul15 Jun12 May30 May13 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00    
2  HIDDEN RANSOM Aug29 May13 Apr23     (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 13% 6.50    
3  GRAY TORMENTOR Sep14 Jul15 Jun27 Jun12 May30 (vazquez ivan)VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRIVATE MOMENT Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 May30 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 115 1.60 56% 0.80    
5  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 (flores israel)DIAZ I 115 10.00    
6  ROMANIAN PRINCE May04 Mar28 Mar05 Feb22 Dec19 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 115 2.50    
 
TDN-3   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARDY PLEASER Sep05 Aug19 Jul11 Jun22 Jun04 (ge)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  MANGORITA Sep02 Sep20 Aug08 Jul20 May06 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
3  UNESCORTED Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 3.50 9% 9.70    
4  TRAMA QUEEN Sep05 May20 May01 Jan09 Dec13 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 6.00    
5  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 6% 14.40    
6  BEAUTY IN MOTION Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun10 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
7  KRISTIN Sep02 Aug19 Jun24 Jun13 May27 (rettele richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLYMPIC WINGS Aug28 Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60    
2  CATZANOVA Aug10         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Feb28   (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
SCR  RON DAH LOU Aug26 Aug07       (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 1.80    
5  BOLD NICKY Sep04 Jul01 Jun17 Feb19 Jan23 (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 18.00    
 
TDN-5   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZING ZENNA Sep11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun13 May30 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 6% 15.20    
2  HOT CAROL Sep04 Dec30 Jul21 Jun04 May26 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00    
3  OPULENT WAYS Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May30 Oct04 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 43% 1.30    
4  PRANCIPANTS Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May27 Apr23 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  CONSTITUTIONALIST Sep09 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
SCR  MAGICGIRL Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May22 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
 
TDN-6   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE AND WAVES Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 Jun12 May18 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
2  GARDEN SECRETS Aug12 Jun10 May27 May09 Apr17 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of THE GARDENER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  ATHENA'S GHOST         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of MONETARY DREAMER by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
4  CATCHMENOW Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Oct05 Sep13 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
5  HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ)         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SAINTED DANCER by SAINT ANDDAN)
SCR  VALERIE BLUE May30 May02 Mar29 Mar14 Feb22 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAPTANA by TAPIT)
 
TDN-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEAR PERFECT Jun22 Apr09 Mar25 Feb29 Jan08 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 4.50    
2  CITY SCENE Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jul04 Jun03 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 1.80 65% 0.50    
3  SHE'S CRAFTY Aug27 Aug10 Jun19 May09 Apr13 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
4  R THREE ANGELS Aug10 Jul23 Jun19 May09 Mar18 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOBIL LADY Aug27 Jun19 May23 May04 Mar11 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
6  LIONISTIC Sep05 Aug27 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN FREEDOM Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02   (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
2  STICK AROUND Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 May18 Mar27 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 4.50    
3  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Aug30 Jul22 Jun07 May28 May09 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER Sep02 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 May24 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
5  LESOTHO Sep06 Aug21 Aug02 Jul03 Jun05 (cline robert )BRACHO A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  COUNTESS COLETTE Aug07 Jul04 Jan11     (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.